[Note] Offseason Outlook: Baltimore Orioles
The moves that led the Orioles to their first postseason berth since 1997
weren't particularly splashy -- certainly not the sort of deals that generate
much hype. But Dan Duquette's plan worked, and the Orioles came within a game
of playing for the American League championship. Expect more relatively
low-profile moves as Duquette looks to reinforce the team this coming
offseason.
Like most playoff teams, the Orioles enter the offseason with many pieces in
place for 2013. Yet they do have needs on the right side of the infield and
uncertainty in left field. Pitching also figures to be a priority for
Duquette and the team's front office executives.
金鳥需要補強二壘,充滿不確定性的左外野。
此外,投手也被認為是需要優先補強的部份。
Though Mark Reynolds recovered from a slow start to hit 15 home runs from
August 1st on, the Orioles will likely decline the $11MM option on the
infielder's contract. He'd then be eligible for arbitration, though with a
projected salary of $9MM, they might decide to non-tender him. While Reynolds
could be a fit at the right price, it might take some time for this to play
out since the Orioles can't cut his salary by more than 20% until the
November 30th deadline for teams to tender contracts to arbitration eligible
players.
風扇哥仍會是個值得留下的球員,前提是球隊有辦法砍掉他20%以上的薪水。
Second base presents another challenge for Duquette, who has a number of
options at the position. Brian Roberts can't be relied upon at this stage,
Robert Andino didn't hit much this past year and Ryan Flaherty's hardly a
sure thing. Andino could be non-tendered with a projected salary of $1.8MM
and unimpressive offensive numbers.
二壘的位置是Duquette的另一個挑戰。Roberts看來已經無法勝任這個位置,Andino今年
的表現也不夠讓他站穩這個位置,而Flaherty看來也不是一個好選擇。
Andino看來不會留下來,準備跟他說Bye-Bye吧。
The free agent market doesn't offer many compelling alternatives at second
base. Kelly Johnson would add a lot of swings and misses to a lineup that
already includes more than its share of high-strikeout hitters. Maybe a
contact hitter such as Marco Scutaro would be a fit. Even at 36, Scutaro
continues to provide versatility and reach base. Alternatively, Skip
Schumaker doesn't appear to have a significant role on the Cardinals anymore.
He's a solid hitter against right-handed pitching and boasts a career on-base
percentage of .345, so the Orioles could target the 32-year-old in a trade.
Players with on-base skills figure to appeal to Duquette, who spoke of
improving the team’s on-base percentage last offseason only to see Baltimore
finish the year with a .311 OBP that ranked 23rd in MLB.
目前自由球員市場上並沒有什麼特別令人注目的二壘手。Kelly Johnson不會是個好選擇
,除非金鳥想讓他們的打線變的更盲。或許巧打型打者-像Scutaro這種-會比較適合金
鳥。即使已經36歲,Scutaro仍然可以上壘以及提供調度上的靈活性。此外,紅雀的
Schumaker也是一個不大起眼的好選擇。他對右投打的還不錯,而且生涯上壘率有.345。
上壘率突出的球員會吸引Duquette的注意,他曾在去年表示要增加金鳥的團隊上壘率,然
而今年金鳥的上壘率還是只有.311,排名23。
The Orioles could also add a left fielder if they intend to improve their
offense next year. Josh Hamilton would represent a significant upgrade for an
offense that finished 15th in MLB in runs scored this past season. He'd
almost certainly require the largest contract in franchise history, a
commitment owner Peter Angelos would have to approve. Angelos has spent on
premium players such as Albert Belle and Miguel Tejada in the past, so a
major free agent signing wouldn't be unprecedented. Nick Swisher and Melky
Cabrera are among the other intriguing free agent corner outfielders, but the
Orioles could simply rely on internal options.
金鳥也有可能補強左外野來增強他們的攻擊能力。Hamilton的加入會大大增強這支球隊的
打擊表現,但他也幾乎確定會要求一紙隊史上最大的合約,而我們的老闆-Peter Angelos
-看起來也是個會慷慨給大約的人。Angelo過去曾經花大錢簽了Miguel Tejada和
Albert Belle等人,所以到時金鳥如果亂灑錢簽下Hamilton也不用太驚訝。Swisher和毒奶也是
不錯的選擇,不過現階段的金鳥也能夠輕易的從內部挑選堪用的即戰力。
Nolan Reimold has had success in the past and could remain in the left field
mix next year. The Orioles could also look to re-sign Nate McLouth, who
played well in Baltimore after signing with the team midseason. Endy Chavez,
another free agent, probably won't return.
Reimold去年的好表現鞏固了他在左外野的位置。金鳥也打算簽回McLouth,至於Chavez,
一樣準備Bye-Bye。
Adding a prominent free agent outfielder would be expensive, and the Orioles
already have $53MM in pre-existing commitments for 2013. With an extremely
large arbitration class that could cost $30MM next year, they don't appear to
have a tremendous amount of payroll flexibility. While Duquette has indicated
that the Orioles will have enough resources to “continue to field a
highly-competitive team,” that doesn’t mean they’re going to spend at the
top of the free agent market.
金鳥不太有意願,也不太有能力去角逐自由球員市場裡頂級的球員。
It won't be surprising if the Orioles pursue starting pitching again this
offseason. Though the Orioles already have a number of rotation candidates,
including promising prospects Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman, they could look
to acquire an established pitcher to join the likes of Jason Hammel and
Wei-Yin Chen in the rotation. Perhaps Edwin Jackson or Ryan Dempster will be
a target. Free agent left-hander Joe Saunders could be of interest to the
Orioles, who pursued him last offseason before acquiring him from Arizona in
a mid-season trade. At the very least, Duquette should pursue minor league
free agents in case a Miguel Gonzalez-like contributor can be obtained for a
modest guarantee.
金鳥很有可能會去追求一些先發投手,就如同前幾年一樣。雖然金鳥已經有一些輪值的人
選,例如備受期待的新秀Dylan Bundy和Kevin Gausman,他們也可能會去找一個
established pitcher(不太會翻,請大家自行體會)加入他們的先發輪值。
Edwin Jackson和Ryan Dempster可能會是目標,Joe Saunders也是金鳥感興趣的投手。不
過至少,Duquette會簽一些像Miguel Gonzalez這樣的小聯盟投手以備不時之需。
Orioles relievers were among the best in the game at inducing ground balls
and limiting walks and home runs this past season. Remarkably, they
maintained this level of production while pitching the fourth-most innings in
baseball, 545 1/3. Still, it makes sense to pursue relief help. The Orioles
should exercise Luis Ayala's option following a strong season from the
right-hander, and they shouldn't stop there. Adding another left-handed
reliever could make sense given the team's righty-heavy bullpen and the
possibility that Brian Matusz and Zach Britton will be starting.
金鳥的牛棚今年表現的很好,製造了很多滾地球出局,還有降低保送及被全壘打的數量。
他們維持著這樣的壓制力投了高達545又1/3局。金鳥應該試著留下Ayala,並且持續尋求
左手牛,以平衡目前右頃的牛棚,並且也為Matusz和Britton將來返回先發時作準備。
As mentioned before, the Orioles have a large arbitration class with an
MLB-leading 15 players eligible. The group includes non-tender candidates in
Reynolds, Taylor Teagarden, Steve Pearce, Lew Ford and Omar Quintanilla. It
also includes multiple extension candidates in Hammel, closer Jim Johnson and
catcher Matt Wieters (pictured). As an All-Star caliber player entering his
prime, Wieters has a strong case for a long-term deal. Though the Orioles
will presumably look to obtain control of free agent years on an long-term
deal, agent Scott Boras may advise his client to sign for three years or less
so as not to delay free agency. Unless the Orioles can obtain team options or
lock Wieters in for free agent years, it'd be better to go year to year in my
view.
如同先前提過的,金鳥有著一大票等著仲裁的選手,這些人裡有些可能不會續約:風扇哥
、茶花園、Pearce、Lew Ford和Quintanilla;有些還要兩三年才會進FA,像Hammel、
Jim Johnson和Wieters。身為一個將要進入全盛期的明星球員,救世主絕對有足夠理由要
求一個長約。雖然金鳥很可能會提前用長約綁住Wieters,但Boras也可能建議他的客戶先
簽三年約,以便到時投入自由市場。
It sounds as though the Orioles have some interest in bringing Jim Thome back
as a bench bat and designated hitter. Some of the team's other free agents --
Chavez, Randy Wolf, Nick Johnson and Bill Hall -- aren't expected to return.
金鳥有興趣將Jim Thome簽回來當代打或DH,至於其他人:Chavez、Randy Wolf、
Nick Johnson和Bill Hall則大概不會留在金鳥。
A year ago this time it seemed like no one wanted to take the Orioles' GM
job. Now, as Duquette prepares for his second winter in Baltimore, the
franchise seems far better off. Yes, the team has some significant offseason
needs, but with many key players in place and promising young players about
to contribute at the MLB level, there are more answers than questions for the
first winter in a while.
閒來無事試著做些摘要,如果有誤請提出我再修改。
來源:
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012/10/offseason-outlook-baltimore-orioles.html
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