[外絮] 溜馬休賽季: 傷病纏身的賽季中的未知數

看板PACERS (印第安那溜馬)作者lens82801 (開始QQ的見習生)時間4年前 (2021/05/21 14:32)推噓30(30推 0噓 24→)

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Offseason moves for the Indiana Pacers: Addressing uncertainty after injury-plagued season 溜馬休賽季: 傷病纏身的賽季後的未知數 https://t.co/QXYEYr5meY by Bobby Marks The Indiana Pacers have been a constant presence when it comes to the playoffs. Since 2011, Indiana has failed to reach the postseason only twice: the 2014-15 season (when Paul George missed most of the year recovering from a broken leg) and this injury-ravaged season. 溜馬向來是季後賽的常客，自從2011年以後，溜馬只有兩次例行賽打完就放假： 2014-15賽季(PG大傷)和被傷病摧殘的這一季。 They came within a game of making it back to the playoffs, but after their play-in round loss, the Pacers' focus now shifts to rookie head coach Nate Bjorkgren. Is he part of the future or will Indiana be looking for a new coach for a second consecutive offseason? 他們一路努力到距離季後賽僅有一場之遙，但在入圍賽的落敗後，溜馬的重點將轉移到菜鳥教頭Nate Bjorkgren身上。他究竟會是溜馬未來的一部分、還是印第安納要再重新找個新教練呢？ There is also the unknown when it comes to their roster. 他們的球員名單也存在著未知數。 Indiana returns 12 players from a roster that was ravaged by injuries this season, leading to a 34-38 record. Was the disappointing season a result of health or is it time for the Pacers to begin retooling their roster? Now eliminated from postseason contention, let's look ahead to the free agency, draft and trade decisions facing Indiana this offseason. 在這傷病纏身的賽季中溜馬打出了34-38的成績，而球員名單中有12個下一季還有合約在。這個失望的賽季究竟是傷兵的問題，抑或是球員名單需要retool呢？放假就該是關注自由市場、選秀以及潛在的球員交易的時候了。 The future of Nate Bjorkgren Nate Bjorkgren的未來 Bjorkgren is the first to admit that he is a work in progress. Bjorkgren首先坦承他還需要更多成長。 "It's been a tough year," Bjorkgren said following a report by Adrian Wojnarowski that his style of coaching and communication with his players and staff have been at the center of turmoil this season. "There's a lot of challenges being a head coach in this league. I don't make excuses for things. I'm a young coach. I'm learning, I'm growing and I've got to coach better. This is on me. I'm the head coach. Things should be pointed at me and rest on my shoulders." Bjorkgren：「這是個艱困的一年。」在Woj的爆料中，Bjorkgren的執教風格與溝通方式成為了本季的動盪的核心。「在聯盟中成為一個總教練有很多的挑戰，我不會找藉口，我是個年輕的教練，我還在學習、還在成長，必須要執教的更好。這都是我的錯，既然我是總教練那我就該承擔起這些責任。」 Bjorkgren could draw up plays like Hall of Famer Phil Jackson, but in this league when a coach begins to lose the locker room and fails to develop relationships, he has no chance of surviving. Bjorkgren能夠劃出像是名人堂教練Phil Jackson的戰術，但在聯盟裡面當教練失去了更衣室的信任而且無法跟球員培養關係的話，他沒有任何機會存活下來。 "Communication is an enormous part of it," Bjorkgren said. "It's the management of personalities. That's where I've got to keep growing and get better." 「溝通占了很大一部分原因。」Bjorkgren表示：「這是關於不同人格特質的管理，這是我該成長並做得更好的區塊。」 Bjorkgren could have easily pointed to plenty of reasons beyond communication issues for the Pacers finishing below .500: having to field 21 different starting lineups, starting forward T.J. Warren playing just four games, or even the realization that former All-Star Victor Oladipo was a shell of himself, before getting traded for Caris LeVert -- who was then immediately diagnosed with a cancerous mass on his kidney and didn't make his Pacers debut until nearly two months after the trade. Bjorgren可以很輕易地指出除了溝通問題以外的原因：被迫嘗試了21種不同的先發組合、先發小前鋒Warren只打了四場球、徒有其表的前全明星球員Victor Oladipo，交易來了 Caris LeVert結果被診斷出腎臟的腫瘤，過了兩個月才有辦法為溜馬打球。 Instead Bjorkgren addressed that he is in need of a coaching makeover on how he communicates with his team. He could have easily let his pride get in the way and not addressed the situation. However, it remains to be seen whether his reaction was lip service, knowing that his job status is uncertain moving forward, or if he actually means it. Bjorkgren選擇了把問題擺在他自己在執教上需要針對與隊伍間的溝通作出調整，他是可以維護自己不把這件事情拿到檯面上的。然而，究竟這些話只是因為他為了保住工作在耍嘴皮子還是他真的這麼想就暫時不得而知了。 In his introductory news conference last October, Bjorkgren emphasized the need for communication between players and coaches. The question is now: Is it too late? 在去年十月的記者會上Bjorkgren強調了球員與教練間的溝通，現在的問題是：是不是太晚了呢？ President of basketball operations Kevin Pritchard deserves credit not for not bottoming out in the aftermath of Paul George demanding a trade in 2017 and keeping the team in the postseason in the years since. However, despite being part of the organization since 2011, Pritchard had never been the sole decision-maker when it came to hiring a head coach until Bjorkgren was tabbed in October. (He did have a relationship with former Pacers head coach Nate McMillan from their years together in Portland.) KP帶領了球隊從PG吹密的低谷中走出來，成功的讓球隊多年打進季後賽值得一些嘉獎。然而自從2011年加入球團以來，KP從未獨自扛下尋找新任總教練的決策，直到去年找來了 Bjorkgren為止。 It is now up to Pritchard to decide if the man he hired just last October is the right fit moving forward or if Indiana needs to open up the search process once again. 現在KP要決定是否要留下他去年十月找來的人選，還是要再一次開啟雇用新教練的流程。 The Pacers are not known for having a revolving door of head coaches and have prided themselves on stability. Every head coach that the Pacers have hired dating to Larry Brown in 1993 has survived at least three seasons. They have never had a non-interim head coach fail to make it to a second season. 溜馬並不是頻繁更動總教練的球團，會給他們一定的穩定度。從1993的Larry Brown起，每個正式的總教練都至少待了三個球季。 Keep in mind that Indiana has 12 players under contract for 2021-22. Although Bjorkgren has pledged to foster a better relationship with the roster, what happens when the first sign of adversity hits? 要注意的是下一季溜馬會有12個球員還在隊上，儘管Bjorgren保證了會改善與球員間的關係，但是當第一個逆境的徵兆來臨時，會發生什麼事呢？ While there is plenty of blame to share, starting with Pritchard, the players in the locker room and of course Bjorkgren, Indiana would be best going in a different direction now and not waiting until midseason when the same issues could resurface. 有很多能夠拿出來檢討的點，KP、球員當然還有Bjorkgren，而溜馬最好現在就調整他們的方向，而不是等到季中了一樣的問題又浮上檯面。 Doug McDermott and T.J. McConnell There are two words that do not mesh well in the NBA: lottery and tax. 在NBA中有兩個不該扯上邊的詞；抽樂透、繳稅。 After losing in the play-in round, the Pacers are headed to the lottery. They were not a tax team this season and will dodge paying a penalty. 在輸掉入圍賽後溜馬要去抽樂透了，他們這季不在稅線上所以不需要繳稅。 However, Indiana enters the offseason with a projected payroll of $125 million (including their draft pick), $11 million below the 2021-22 tax threshold. The team's top two reserves, Doug McDermott and T.J. McConnell, are set to become free agents, and retaining both players would require Indiana to pay the luxury tax for the first time since 2005-06 unless they move off salary at some point during the 2021-22 season. 然而在這個休賽季，他們下一季的團隊薪資來到125M，離2021-22的稅線剩下11M的空間，兩個隊上的重要替補：Doug McDermott和T.J. McConnell將要成為自由球員，如果留下這兩位球員將會讓溜馬自從2005-06以後第一次繳稅，除非他們在下一季季中想辦法倒掉一點薪資。 McDermott should receive votes for Sixth Man of the Year after averaging career highs in points (13.6), field goal percentage (53.2%), true shooting percentage (63.2%), rebounds (3.4) and offensive rating (110.5). He also ranks No. 6 among all small forwards in offensive real plus-minus. Since the All-Star break, the forward has shot 56.1% from the field and 41.5% from 3-point range. 本季的McD拿下了生涯新高的得分、FG%、TS%、籃板跟ORTG，他理應會得到一些年度第六人的選票。在所有小前鋒的ORPM中排名第六，明星賽後有56.1%的FG%和41.5%的3P%。 McDermott has outplayed his $7.3 million contract this season by close to $5 million according to ProFitX and at the very minimum will see offers that start at the $9.5 million midlevel exception. McD的表現超出了他本季所領的7.3M合約，在ProFitX的模型中多了將近5M的價值，他下一季起碼能拿到起價9.5M的中產合約。 McConnell shows up for work every night, having missed only nine games due to injury since entering the league in 2015-16 and has evolved into one of the top two-way backup point guards in the NBA. Besides averaging a career-high 8.6 points (in 26 minutes), McConnell ranks No. 2 in steals (behind Jimmy Butler) and No. 1 among all reserves in assists (6.5). TJM幾乎每場都能上場打球，僅僅在2015-16的新人賽季中因傷缺席了9場，並且成長為聯盟中攻守兼具的頂尖替補控衛。除了生涯新高的場均8.6分以外，還有聯盟第二的抄截以及替補中聯盟第一的助攻數。 Like McDermott, the guard has outperformed his $3.5 million contract this season by $4 million according to ProFitX and is a strong candidate for a team to use a good portion of the $9.5 million midlevel exception, if not all of it. 就跟McD一樣，TJM打出了超越他合約3.5M的價值，在ProFitX的模型中多出了4M，非常有機會拿下9.5M中產合約的大量額度甚至是全部拿下。 The Pacers' replacement for either player could come at lower cost in the July draft with their lottery pick. 溜馬很有機會藉由他們的樂透籤用較低的價碼在選秀中找到其中一位的替代選項。 Note: ProFitX is a dynamic financial and performance index powered by Artificial Intelligence with front-office optics displaying 17 visual and time-series models for 480+ NBA Athletes. The Athledex models historical, dynamic & future performance data to monitor and project insights on contracts, performance, injuries, team fit, development, and potential. 註：ProFitX是用AI預測球員合約、表現、傷病、球隊適性、球員發展與潛力的系統。 The state of the roster 球員名單的狀態 Get used to the words "expiring contract" when talking about the construction of the Pacers' roster. 當談到溜馬如何建隊時，要習慣聽到「到期約」這三個字。 While the Pacers should get high marks for having six players on contracts that range from $10.5 to $21.7 million (despite the possibility of losing McDermott and McConnell), only Domantas Sabonis is under contract in 2023-24. 溜馬有六個球員薪資在10.5M~21.7M的球員，這點做得很不錯，但其中只有Sabonis 的合約會持續到2023-24。 That means the Pacers enter this season with three key players on expiring contracts (T.J. Warren, Jeremy Lamb, Aaron Holiday). Four more players have contracts that expire after 2022-23 (Malcolm Brogdon, Caris LeVert, Myles Turner and Justin Holiday). 這意味著下一季時會有三個球員的合約成為到期約(T.J. Warren、Jeremy Lamb跟 Aaron Holiday)。四個其他球員(Malcolm Brogdon、Caris LeVert、Myles Turner、 Justin Holiday)則是會在2022-23成為到期約。 Outside of Justin Holiday, every player on the above list can be extended either before the start of the season (Aaron Holiday, Brogdon, LeVert and Turner) or during the course of the season (Warren and Lamb). 除了Justin Holiday以外，上述的所有球員都能在下一季的開季前延長合約，Warren跟 Lamb在季中也可以。 Despite the Pacers' loss in the play-in tournament -- and the team's failure to get beyond the first round of the playoffs since 2014 -- this roster isn't stuck in neutral. Every player on this roster has trade value, both financially and on the court. 儘管在入圍賽中失利而且2014到目前為止的所有季後賽都是一輪跪，這個球員名單並不算卡在不上不下的窘境。每個名單上的人都有交易價值，不論在金額上或球場上都是。 The Pacers still also don't know what this roster is capable of when fully healthy. The projected 2021-22 starting lineup of Brogdon, LeVert, Warren, Sabonis and Turner played zero minutes together this season. 溜馬也不知道當這些球員全員健康時能做到什麼程度，目前預測的2021-22開季先發名單的五人組合(Brogdon、LeVert、Warren、Sabonis、Turner)本季完全沒有一起打過球。 Team needs 隊伍需求 For everyone to be on the same page 全員步調一致 A healthy T-J- Warren 健康的渦輪 Stretch-4 延伸四號 Resources to build the roster 建隊資源 The draft: one first-round pick (lottery) and possibly three second-round picks 選秀: 一張首輪樂透籤、可能有三張的二輪籤 Exceptions: $9.5M midlevel (but more likely $5.9M) and $3.7M biannual (but dependent on their own free agents). $4.9M and $2.9M trade exceptions. 特例: 9.5M全額中產(大概只能花5.9M)、3.7M雙年特例、4.9M交易特例、2.9M交易特例 Cash: $5.8 million to send or receive in a trade 現金: 5.8M額度 Dates to watch 關鍵日期 ‧ Expect the Pacers to exercise the $2.3 million team option of Edmond Sumner by Aug. 1. In 53 games this season, Sumner averaged 7.5 points on 39.8% from 3. According to ProFitX, Sumner has outplayed his $2.1 million contract for the 2020-21 season by a remarkable $8 million. 預期溜馬會在8/1前執行Sumner的球隊選項，根據ProFitX的模型，Sumner的表現超越了本季2.1M合約以外足足8M的價值。 ‧ The $1.7 million contract of Kelan Martin becomes guaranteed on Aug. 7 (one day after the moratorium ends). The 25-year-old appeared in 30 games, averaging 6.9 minutes and 2.9 points. Kelan Martin的1.7M合約在8/7後將轉為保障。 ‧ There is no offseason trigger date on the $1.7 million non-guaranteed contract of Oshae Brissett. The Pacers can waive Brissett up until the Saturday before the regular season starts and not incur a financial penalty. The full amount will get guaranteed on Jan. 7. Oshae Brissett的合約會在明年1/7轉為保障合約。 The draft 選秀 After sending last year's pick to Milwaukee as part of the Malcolm Brogdon trade, the Pacers are back to having their first-round pick -- and back in the lottery for the first time since 2015, when they drafted Myles Turner No. 11 overall. The Pacers also have all their future first-round picks, and have only traded out of the first round twice since 2006. 在去年把Malcolm Brogdon交易案中欠公鹿的首輪籤還掉了以後，溜馬今年保有自己的首輪籤 -- 自2015年用#11選下Myles Turner後的第一張樂透籤。目前未來的所有首輪都握在自己手上，從2006年以後只賣過兩次。 Here's how ESPN's Jonathan Givony and Mike Schmitz have Indiana selecting in July: ESPN預測選秀人選 No. 13 (own): Josh Giddey, PG, Australia No. 54 (from MIL): Matthew Mayer, SF/PF, Baylor No. 60 (from UTAH): Sandro Mamukelashvili, PF/C, Seton Hall Since taking over as head of basketball operations in 2017, Kevin Pritchard has made three draft-night trades, the most notable coming in 2019, when the Pacers acquired T.J. Warren and three second-round picks as part of a three-team deal with Miami and Phoenix. 自從2017年接任籃球營運總裁以來，KP做過三筆選秀夜交易，包括了最著名的2019年在與太陽、熱火的三方交易中得到T.J. Warren跟三張二輪籤。 -- 可以改看選秀啦！ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 111.246.211.87 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/PACERS/M.1621578753.A.AD1.html ※ 編輯: lens82801 (111.246.211.87 臺灣), 05/21/2021 14:46:17

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