[FanGraphs]Organizational Rankings: #25
Ownership: N/A
Thanks to a messy divorce, long time owner John Moores was forced to sell the
team this winter to a group of investors led by Jeff Moorad, and the sale is
expected to be finalized in the next few weeks. The Padres will almost
certainly be run differently, but exactly how it looks, no one really knows.
Moorad has already said that he’s going to be replacing Sandy Alderson as CEO,
and Alderson will be leaving the organization. This is an ownership group in
transition, and we just don’t have enough information to give them any kind of
grade. I will, note, however, that it’s at least got the appearance of
shadiness that Moorad was allowed to enter an agreement to buy the Padres while
employed by the Diamondbacks. Even if there wasn’t a conflict of interest, it
sure looks like there was. Seems to me that could have been handled better.
Front Office: B-
Kevin Towers is a smart, likable guy, and currently the longest tenured GM in
the game. He’s done a pretty good job building the Padres into a solid team
without significant capital, and overall, you’d have to describe his tenure
as a success. However, there’s some serious question marks about how the team
will be run going forward. With Alderson on the way out, does he take Asst. GM
Paul DePodesta with him? Can Towers avoid being fired if the team struggles in
2009, especially with new ownership?
This is not a baseball operations department built on pillars of stone.
Major League Talent: C-
PETCO Park skews a lot of the perceptions about the talent on the Padres roster
- the pitchers aren’t as good as advertised, and the hitters are a bit better
than everyone thinks. But even with the park adjustments, the Padres scored 637
runs last year while getting a career year from Jody Gerut and an excellent
age-37 season from Brian Giles. Regression needs to be expected from both, and
there just isn’t much in the way of run production for the Padres outside of
those two and Adrian Gonzalez. Chase Headley is a solid enough young player,
but when he represents the hopes of your future line-up, things aren’t great.
The club really should have sold high on Jake Peavy this winter, as now they
have to hope he stays healthy, pitches well, and they can get comparable offers
at the deadline. Even in a mediocre NL West, it’s hard to see this team
contending for a playoff spot, and it’s not a roster that’s going to get
better.
Minor League Talent: C-
This is a system with a bunch of polarizing prospects. Some people see Matt
Antonelli as a potential all-star second baseman, while others think he’s more
of an average-at-everything kind of guy. Some people are in love with Kyle
Blanks‘ power, while others wonder where an NL team is going to play him.
There aren’t any position prospects here that everyone loves, and the ranks of
the pitching prospects are full of guys who throw 87 MPH and try to get by on
smarts. It isn’t a horrible farm system, but it’s not a very good one either,
and for a team in need of a talent injection, that’s a problem.
Overall: C
The Padres are a tough team to judge because of the transition period they find
themselves in. Without knowing what kind of owner Moorad will be, how the front
office will shake out under his leadership, and whether they’re going to try
to rebuild or take a last shot at winning with the Peavy-Giles combination
makes this perhaps the most uncertain franchise in baseball. If you’re a glass
half full guy, you can hold onto the fact that the D’Backs were very well ran
while Moorad was in Arizona, and that the front office is full of guys who
could run a team well. If you’re a glass half empty guy, then you see an
organization that lacks talent, has only a couple of really valuable players
(two of whom have full no-trade clauses), and who plays in a division with two
teams that are better, younger, and have greater revenue steams. I have a
feeling that San Diego is in for some tough times ahead.
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