Re: [情報] Padres Top 20 Prospects for 2012
看板Padres作者zeroinfany (zero & infany & Tudou)時間13年前 (2012/01/18 07:26)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)留言1則, 1人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)
San Diego Padres Top 20 Prospects for 2012 http://ppt.cc/Zabv
1) Yonder Alonso, 1B, Grade B+: Acquire in the big Mat Latos deal with the
Cincinnati Reds. His style of hitting should fit better in San Diego than
Anthony Rizzo's. I expect Alonso will hit for average, post a strong OBP, and
provide at least moderate power.
2) Yasmani Grandal, C, Grade B+: Also acquired in the Latos deal. Needs more
polish on defense, although he has the tools to thrive and I'm optimistic about
his glove. Like Alonso, he should provide a solid OBP with moderate power.
3) Rymer Liriano, OF, Grade B+: You can make a case to rank him above Rizzo,
although they are very different players. Five Tool/Seven Skill potential is
obvious, and he made strides with the strike zone last year. Scouts love him
and the numbers are catching up.
4) Jedd Gyorko, 3B, Grade B+ : I believe in the bat and he can handle third
base. Should hit for average, post solid OBP, with at least moderate power.
5) Robbie Erlin, LHP, Grade B+: Extremely close between Erlin and Wieland, but
I'll go with Erlin due to lefty premium and nine month age edge. I know he
doesn't have a blistering fastball, but the guy has superb command of deceptive
stuff, plus pornographic statistics. Should do well in this ballpark.
6) Joe Wieland, RHP, Grade B+: Hard to believe they got Wieland and Erlin for
Mike Adams. Like Robbie, Joe's fastball plays past it's velocity due to
terrific command and impressive secondary pitches.
7) Keyvius Sampson, RHP, Grade B+: Baseball America seems oddly reserved about
him, but he looks great to me, other Midwest League sources are very positive,
he throws hard, his stat profile is strong, and he's athletic.
8) Casey Kelly, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. Kelly will rank ahead of Erlin and
Wieland on most lists, and I might be undergrading him a notch, but there are
some things here that hold me back from a higher grade. He didn't dominate
Double-A despite repeating the league, his secondary stuff isn't as refined as
Erlin/Wieland, his fastball isn't consistently faster, and he is a full year
older than Erlin and almost two years older than Sampson. He still looks like a
fine mid-rotation starter but I don't see him as a potential ace. I'm thinking
about this grade and this one is far from final.
9) Cory Spangenberg, 2B, Grade B: Borderline B+: On-base machine with some gap
power and 70-speed. Needs to polish defense but pure hitting skills are sharp.
He was a slight overdraft at 10th overall but not by a terrible amount.
10) James Darnell, OF-3B, Grade B-: I like the bat a lot, but age and
positional questions preclude a higher grade. Should be a solid run producer.
11) Joe Ross, RHP, Grade B-: Could theoretically be the top pitching prospect
in the system a year from now. More advanced than brother Tyson at the same
age, and has a higher physical upside than the pitchers ahead of him, but let's
get some data first.
12) Brad Boxberger, RHP, Grade B-: Another part of the Latos deal. Very live
arm, took well to bullpen role last year. At worst he should be an effective
middle reliever, and if his command holds up he has a chance to close.
13) Jaff Decker, OF, Grade B-: Seems to improve his physical conditioning every
year, even stole 15 bases in '11, strong throwing arm. Patient to a fault,
needs to find balance between aggression and passivity. Could put up huge
numbers at Tucson.
14) Austin Hedges, C, Grade B-: Superior defensive catcher. Scouts have mixed
opinions about his bat; some think he can hit for a decent average with touches
of power, others don't think he'll hit enough to play regularly despite his
glove. Not enough objective data yet to have a sabermetric opinion, although
most catchers with a similar plus-glove/questionable-bat profile coming out of
high school don't make it. If he hits, will rank much higher next year.
15) Anthony Bass, RHP, Grade B-: Doesn't have upside of the pitchers ahead of
him, but ready to help now. Lack of major league strikeouts is concerning, but
the park will help him.
16) Juan Oramas, LHP, Grade B-: Short, bad body, but exhibits strong command of
solid southpaw stuff, succeeded in Double-A. Could develop into a very nice
fourth starter, or possibly some tasty trade bait.
17) Donavan Tate, OF, Grade C+: Still has the Grade A tools, but constant
injuries and personality factors weigh his grade down. He has some patience,
but doubts about his swing persist and he needs at-bats to improve. Too soon to
give up but he's got work to do.
18) Jonathan Galvez, 2B, Grade C+: Fast, has some power, needs to sharpen
strike zone and polish up his defense, but has a broad range of tools and
skills.
19) Jace Peterson, SS, Grade C+. McNeese State shortstop/cornerback showed
terrific plate discipline in pro debut, along with speed. Has some pop in his
bat and I think he can remain at the position.
20) Blake Tekotte, OF, Grade C+: Ideal skills for a fourth outfielder, does a
little of everything.
21) Vince Belnome, 2B, Grade C+: Scouts don't like his tools much and he
doesn't look like a second baseman at 5-11, 210, but so far professional
pitchers haven't been able to control his bat. Hits for power and average with
good plate discipline.
22) Reymond Fuentes, OF, Grade C+: Excellent athleticism, speed, defense, but
lack of pop could prevent him from becoming a regular.
23) Mike Kelly, RHP, Grade C+: Intriguing high school arm from 2011 draft,
somewhat raw but has upside. Could rank much higher next year if he can improve
secondary stuff and command.
24) Edinson Rincon, "3B", Grade C+: I really like his bat but his glove is
atrocious. Likely to end up at left field or first base.
25) Brad Brach, RHP, Grade C+: Scouts nitpick him but the results speak for
themselves. Should be a fine middle reliever.
26) Matt Andriese, RHP, Grade C+: Ground ball-oriented strike-thrower from 2011
draft, grade could be much higher next year. Upside of mid-rotation starter.
27) Miles Mikolas RHP, Grade C+: Yet another live bullpen arm with strong
statistical track record.
OTHERS: "Yoan Alcantara," OF; John Barbato, RHP; Simon Castro, RHP; Zach Cates,
RHP; Drew Cumberland, 2B; Jason Hagerty, C; Pedro Hernandez, LHP; Duanel Jones,
3B; Matt Lollis, RHP; Alberth Martinez, OF; Mark Pope, RHP; Adys Portillo, RHP;
Kevin Quackenbush, RHP; Jorge Reyes, RHP, Jeudy Valdez, SS; Everett Williams,
OF.
This was already a very deep farm system, but adding Erlin and Wieland in the
Adams trade was a masterstroke. Erlin, Wieland, Kelly, and Sampson is an
exciting quartet, Joe Ross could be the best of all once he gets some innings
in, Bass and Oramas are not slouches, and there are a large group of solid
bullpen arms ready in the near future. That doesn't even include live-armed
pitchers in the "others" list like Castro, Cates, Lollis and Portillo who have
high ceilings albeit with question-marks. Hernandez and Reyes could also help
sooner than expected.
There is also the core of a strong offense here, with Rizzo, Darnell, Gyorko,
the enigmatic Decker, broad-skilled Tekotte, and overlooked Belnome ready or
almost ready for extensive major league trials. Tools hound Liriano has a high
ceiling and put some things together in '11. If Donavan Tate stays on the field
long enough to learn baseball, he still has star-caliber tools. Galvez,
Peterson, and Rincon would all get a lot more attention in other farm systems.
All told, this is a very rich system with exciting players at all levels.
--
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