Re: [ＢＡ] 2015農田十大新秀

看板Phillies作者GY6 (HONDA)時間9年前 (2015/02/06 21:43)推噓4(4推 0噓 0→)

留言4則, 3人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

因為季末變賣家產，所以排名有些更動。 http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/revised-2015-top-10-prospects-index/ 1.J.P. Crawford 2.Aaron Nola 3.Maikel Franco 4.Zach Eflin* (Rollins交易案，從躲人換來) 5.Tom Windle* (同上) 6.Ben Lively* (馬龍鳥交易案，從紅人換來) 7.Roman Quinn 8.Carlos Tocci 9.Aaron Brown 10.Matt Imhof 同場加映:各家評比(我看板上好像沒有?) John Sickles版的前20名(以及我亂翻的評語) http://ppt.cc/VOH1 1) J.P. Crawford, SS, Grade A-: Age 20, hit combined .285/.375/.406 with 11 homers, 24 steals between Low-A and High-A. Fine defensive tools, sound contact hitter with developing gap power, young, athletic, strong makeup. One of the top shortstop prospects in baseball without question. 評:就...很好很強大的SS新秀 2) Aaron Nola, RHP, Grade B+: Age 21, first round pick out of LSU, posted 2.93 ERA with 45/10 K/BB in 55 innings in pro debut between High-A and Double-A. Advanced college pitcher will need little time in the minors thanks to sharp command of 92-95 fastball, slider, change-up. Excellent pitchability and confidence, number two starter potential. 評:很好很強大的前兩號先發 3) Maikel Franco, 3B, Grade B+: Age 22, slow start in Triple-A but heated up as summer progressed, hit .257/.299/.428 with 16 homers for Lehigh Valley, .179/.190/.214 in 56 at-bats in the majors. Will need adjustment time but overall track record keeps him in premium prospect territory. Glove is under-rated. 評:陣痛期 4) Ben Lively, RHP, Grade B: Age 22, acquired from Reds for Marlon Byrd, posted 3.04 ERA with 171/52 K/BB in 151 innings, 117 hits between High-A and Double-A. Low-90s fastball, slider, curve, change, none of his pitches are outstanding but they are all solid and he usually throws strikes. Deceptive but repeatable delivery plays everything up. Number three starter potential and a personal favorite for this analyst. 評:可能是三號，罷特感覺就是還差了些.. 5) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: Age 23, posted 5.03 ERA with 80/44 K/BB in 82 innings in Double-A. Was pitching decently early in the year but was struck in the head by a large piece of hail during a thunderstorm in late May, giving him a concussion. He tried to pitch through the neurological damage with disastrous results and was eventually sent down to extended spring training to recuperate. Some sources have questioned his mental fortitude, but it is completely unfair to criticize Biddle for not pitching well under those conditions. You can't makeup your way out of a concussion. He should have never been rushed back in the first place. He gets an injury mulligan from me; concussion sufferers stick together. 評:痛痛，快皺掉的新秀 6) Zach Eflin, RHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: Age 20, posted 3.80 ERA in 128 innings in Cal League, 138 hits. Acquired from Padres in Jimmy Rollins deal. Potential number three starter with low-90s fastball, change-up, curve, gets grounders. Somewhat hittable and projects more as a workhorse than an ace, but there’s nothing wrong with that. 評:三號工具馬or以上 7) Roman Quinn, OF-INF, Grade B-: Age 21, hit .257/.343/.370 with 38 walks, 32 steals in 327 at-bats in High-A. Renowned for outstanding speed, lacks power and needs to boost on-base skills for speed to maximize value at higher levels. Power questionable. 評:窮得只剩腿 8) Jesmuel Valentin, 2B, Grade B-: Age 20, acquired from Dodgers last summer in Roberto Hernandez trade, hit .273/.341/.412 with 25 steals in 451 at-bats between Low-A and High-A. Solid tools across the board, has made progress with hitting, could develop more power in time, works well at second base. Under-rated prospect who deserves more notice. 評:看怎麼養囉~ 9) Matt Imhof, LHP, Grade B-: Age 20, second round pick out of Cal Poly, posted 2.98 ERA with 40/11 K/BB in 42 innings in pro debut at three levels, 40 hits. Classic finesse southpaw with 87-91 heat, curve, change-up, nothing spectacular but knows how to pitch and probably won’t need long in the minors. Potential fourth starter due to command. 評:技巧派左投=軟左 10) Kelly Dugan, OF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 24, hit .296/.383/.435 in 253 at-bats in Double-A, playing time limited by an oblique injury. Lefty hitter with power, effective defense at either corner. Often overlooked but this is a toolsy outfielder who has actually developed well. Should get a trial sometime this year. 評:什麼都還可以，甚至還有些炮瓦(不過好像也什麼都差一點) (我的感覺是...弱化版的五月莓) (反正混不下去就跟他爸去拍電影吧) 11) Aaron Brown, OF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 22, drafted in third round out of Pepperdine where he was also an excellent pitcher. Phillies want him to hit due to left-side power and overall tools, hit .268/.310/.383 with seven walks, 60 strikeouts in 235 pro at-bats. Impressive power, 20-homer potential but his approach has serious holes currently and he must improve sense for the zone. Could return to pitching if necessary. 評:盲炮 12) Tom Windle, LHP, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 22, acquired from Dodgers in Rollins trade, posted 4.26 ERA with 111/44 K/BB in 139 innings in Cal League. Some see him as more reliever than starter due to solid low-90s fastball/slider combination but need to improve change-up. 評:可能會是頭牛牛 13) Odubel Herrera, 2B, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 23, rule 5 pick from Rangers system, hit .315/.383/.388 with 52 walks, 21 steals in 479 at-bats between High-A and Double-A. Blocked by other players in Texas system, can play second base and outfield with mediocre results at both spots. Has always hit well, .294/.354 OBP in his career. Useful bat off the bench. 評:工具人 14) Yoel Macias, LHP, Grade C+: Age 21, recovering from Tommy John surgery, posted 3.21 ERA with 23/9 K/BB in 34 innings in Low-A. Low 90s, good change, still working on breaking stuff, projectable. Seen as breakthrough candidate now that Tommy John is in the past, number three starter upside. 評:有三號的天花板，變化球還很嫩 15) Dylan Cozens, OF, Grade C+: Age 20, hit .248/.303/.415 with 16 homers, 23 steals in Low-A. Huge, strong at 6-6, 235 but has a big strike zone to manage. Right field throwing arm, mobile for his size, considerable upside as a power hitter but contact/average will be an issue. 評:盲炮x2(不過這隻很特別，有腿的炮，會讓我想到Domingo Santana) 16) Carlos Tocci, OF, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .242/.297/.324 with 10 steals, 25 walks, 96 strikeouts in 487 at-bats in Low-A. Extremely young for his levels, very good fielder, has no power at all and may not develop much. High risk, high upside player. Other analysts are more enthusiastic so YMMV. 評:還有的學，尤其是完全沒炮瓦這點挺尷尬的(看來腿哥會是最大期望值) 17) Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, RHP, Grade C+: Age 28, Cuban defector slowed by shoulder problems in pro debut, posted 3.11 ERA with 54/26 K/BB in 46 innings at three levels. Should be solid bullpen contributor if healthy. 評:痛痛的牛牛(如果只能當牛就囧了) 18) Victor Arano, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, nice pickup from Dodgers in Hernandez trade, posted 4.08 ERA with 83/20 K/BB in 86 innings in Low-A. Midwest League sources like his pitchability and chance to develop into a solid workhorse starter. Good addition of depth to system. 評:從躲人偷來的好貨，有機會成為工具馬 19) Aaron Altherr, OF, Grade C: Age 24, marvelous athlete, hit .236/.287/.399 with 14 homers, 12 steals, 26 walks, 110 strikeouts in 449 at-bats in Double-A. Still trying to turn his tools into baseball skills, impressive with glove but bat is highly questionable. 評:其實跟Kelly Dugan有點像，只是完成度更低了點、天花板高了點 (不曉得有沒有人記得?其實他曾經落跑去打籃球，後來又回來打棒球) 20) Deivi Grullon, C, Grade C: Age 18, hit .227/.267/.297 in 273 at-bats in short-season A, low-A, high-A. Draws rave reviews for his defensive ability but is currently a very poor hitter. Young enough for that to improve, but very much a long-term, high-risk investment. 評:高風險、高報酬 (本來Ethan Martin在榜上但後來被拿掉-因為他已經不算菜鳥了，哭哭) 其他還有一票雜魚就不列了，有興趣的自己看吧。整體的評論就是...虛弱Orz Keith Law版前10大(整體農場排名25->要不是季後當賣家，否則原本是28名) 1.J.P. Crawford(SS) 2.Aaron Nola(P) 3.Maikel Franco(3B) 4.Roman Quinn(CF) 5.Zach Eflin(P) 6.Tom Windle(P) 7.Matt Imhof(P) 8.Franklyn Kilome(P) 9.Ricardo Pinto(P) 10.Cord Sandberg(OF) (一堆投手...) 對了，話說我忘記是BP還誰家的預測，費城今年拿狀元機率頗高... (管你信不信，反正我是信了~) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 220.142.10.167 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Phillies/M.1423230193.A.628.html ※ 編輯: GY6 (220.142.10.167), 02/06/2015 21:45:05