Re: 2010 Draft Preview – Pittsburgh Pirates
http://mlbbonusbaby.com/2010/02/04/2010-draft-preview-pittsburgh-pirates/
Andy Seiler's MLB Draft Blog
...
The Pittsburgh front office has a number of former scouts at high level
positions, and I don’t think scouting will be a problem for the club going
forward. Greg Smith has a great deal of experience, and his record is solid.
He engineered a very interesting philosophy to drafting when he executed his
2009 draft strategy of picking a large number of quality players, opting for
Tony Sanchez over some more heralded players available at the fourth overall
slot. I’m not quite sure if this is a trend or not yet, but it’s interesting
nonetheless. It seems that Smith does favor looking at players from California
and Texas, while Florida has entered the equation multiple times, too. These
trends are more unique to his time in Pittsburgh, and it reflects the fact
that while a scouting director may have a philosophy in general, whenever one
changes teams the scouts are different, and they’ll make different selections
geographically based on the strengths of the scouting staff. These trends
reflect the newer Pittsburgh staff, and the only things I really gleam from
Smith’s Detroit years are his preferences for ceiling and floor. In general,
the one thing Smith has begun to trend towards is drafting college players in
the early rounds of the draft. He was more balanced early on, but the recent
trends show a clear preference for college athletes. College infielders and
pitchers in particular come off as Smith’s targets. Beyond the early rounds,
Smith combines multiple prep arms and bats with the hope that one or more will
turn into something. This is a proven philosophy of the Atlanta Braves in the
1990s, so I won’t bash it. It’s solid, and there will be a normal return for
it if they handle their prospects correctly.
Looking at draft budgeting, the Pirates have spent liberally in recent years.
They’ve spent $8+ million in the two drafts that have been run by Smith,
which is at the top of the rankings. Such spending will turn into a solid
Major League club eventually if they have the patience to see it through. With
the same team in place for 2010, I expect another year of $8+ million
budgeting. They own picks 2, 52, 84, 117, and every 30 picks after this,
assuming that Rod Barajas signs a Major League deal with another team before
the draft. Since they have no extra picks as compensation, I expect more
overslot deals in later rounds of the draft. That means more August holdouts
and a later start for some of their better draft products, but this is the way
it has to go for the Pirates to get quality talent.
Connecting the Pirates to specific players is difficult at best at the moment,
as no one knows for sure whether they’ll go with a signable player early or
one they consider the best player available. Assuming that Bryce Harper is off
the board for pick two, the two big-name players that will cost a good part of
their budget are Anthony Ranaudo and Jameson Taillon. Taillon doesn’t fit the
M.O of Greg Smith, so I think it’s fair to throw him out unless new
information comes out about their preference for him. Therefore, Anthony
Ranaudo is the logical candidate if they choose to go with the best player
available philosophy, though Ranaudo may cost $5+ million and a Major League
contract. Scott Boras tends to do that. The other option is picking another
signable college player, one that is not represented by Scott Boras. The main
alternative in that philosophy is Christian Colon from Cal State Fullerton. He
would fit well as a fast-moving infielder with above-average potential, and he
should be signable for slot, perhaps below slot for the number two pick.
Alternatives include Deck McGuire, LeVon Washington, Chris Sale, and Drew
Pomeranz. For their second round pick, I’d look at Addison Reed, Jake
Thompson, and Daniel Tillman. Later picks could include Burch Smith, Rob
Segedin, Tommy Kahnle, and Dan Grovatt.
*Bonus information came from BA.
What do you guys think? What will the Pirates do?
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