Re: [BP] Pittsburgh Pirates Top 11 Prospects
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12400
Pittsburgh Pirates Top 11 Prospects by Kevin Goldstein
6. Bryan Morris, RHP
DOB: 3/28/87
Height/Weight: 6-3/210
Bats/Throws: L/R
Drafted/Signed: First round, 2006, Motlow State CC (TN) (Dodgers)
2010 Stats: 0.60 ERA (44.2-37-7-40) at High-A (8 G);
4.25 ERA (89.0-87-31-84) at Double-A (19 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Velocity/command
Year in Review: Seen as a disappointment entering the year, this former
top Dodgers pick had a bounce-back year, and more importantly, stayed
healthy.
The Good: Under the tutelage of minor-league pitching coordinator Jim
Benedict, Morris smoothed out his delivery and the results were immediate.
He's a big, strong right-hander who sits at 91-94 mph and touches 96, and
he complements the heater with two quality breaking balls in a slider and
hard curve that both project as at least big-league average.
The Bad: Morris' changeup trails behind other aspects of his arsenal.
While he tends to throw strikes, he can be guilty of throwing too many
hittable ones, a problem that is magnified when he overthrows his breaking
balls and causes them to flatten out. His history of arm problems,
including a Tommy John surgery, still gives some evaluators pause.
Ephemera: There have been 17 players drafted out of Motlow State, but only
David Weathers reached the big leagues.
Perfect World Projection: He could be a third starter, but some scouts do
wonder he if he'll have a better career as a reliever in the end with an
eighth-inning ceiling.
Fantasy Impact: Morris could end up a solid middle-rotation starter who
puts up solid but unspectacular numbers in all categories.
Path to the Big Leagues: Morris will join Owens in the Indianapolis
rotation, and the two will battle for in-season callup opportunities.
ETA: 2011, but like Owens, not a permanent fixture until 2012.
7. Starling Marte, OF
DOB: 10/9/88
Height/Weight: 6-1/170
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: Dominican Republic, 2007
2010 Stats: .346/.393/.692 at Rookie (8 G); .315/.386/.432 at High-A (60 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Defense/power
Year in Review: This athletic outfielder played just 68 games due to
injury, and a fractured hamate bone limited him when he was playing.
The Good: Marte's tools still offer plenty to dream on. He's a 60 runner
with a 60 arm, and combined with good instincts he's a potential impact
defender in center field. He has a quick, quiet swing and outstanding
hand-eye coordination, giving him the ability to hit for average and
leaving many scouts to think that eventually there will be a power aspect
to his game.
The Bad: Marte's hand problems prevented him from hitting for power in
2010, but it's not a complete excuse, as he's an upper-half swinger who
needs to incorporate his hips and legs into his swing. His tools project
him as an ideal two-spot hitter in the lineup, but his pitch recognition
needs to improve, as he expands his strike zone early in the count and is
highly susceptible to breaking balls.
Ephemera: Marte's plate-crowding ways could make him the next Ron Hunt,
as in 125 career games in the United States, he's already been hit by 28
pitches. (萬磁王=_=)
Perfect World Projection: He could be a plus defender with hitting ability
and speed, but not enough secondary skills to be a star.
Fantasy Impact: Marte could hit .290 with 25-35 stolen bases a year,
but you'll have to find your home runs elsewhere..
Path to the Big Leagues: Despite having yet to play more than 68 games
in a season, Marte will face a big test at Double-A in 2011.
ETA: Late 2012.
8. Jeff Locke, LHP
DOB: 11/20/87
Height/Weight: 6-2/180
Bats/Throws: L/L
Drafted/Signed: Second round, 2006, Kennett HS (NH) (Braves)
2010 Stats: 3.54 ERA (86.1-82-14-83) at High-A (17 G);
3.59 ERA (57.2-57-12-56) at Double-A (10 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Polish/overall stuff
Year in Review: Acquired from the Braves in the Nate McLouth deal,
the left-hander saw every aspect of his game step forward as he led the
organization with 139 strikeouts.
The Good: Pirates officials feel that Locke has finally put it all
together. He has three quality offerings, beginning with a 90-92 mph
fastball that he can add sinking or cutting action to. He throws a classic
curveball with good break, and his changeup is solid average. All of his
pitches play up due to his ability to throw strikes and use any of his
offerings at any point in the count. His delivery is clean and he has no
history of arm problems.
The Bad: There is no 'wow' aspect to Locke's game. He doesn't have a bad
pitch, but none are truly plus either, leaving many to wonder how he'll
miss bats at the big-league level. He's not a physical specimen, and he
still need to prove he can handle a big-league starter's workload.
Ephemera: Not only is Locke the only player every drafted out of Kennett
High School, he's also the only player drafted out of a New Hampshire high
school in the last five years.
Perfect World Projection: Locke could be a fourth or fifth starter,
similar in many ways to members of the current Pirate rotation.
Fantasy Impact: Minimal, unless you are in a deep league and need innings.
Path to the Big Leagues: Locke is considered a tick behind Owens and
Morris, and will likely return to Double-A at the beginning of 2011 with
the hope he can join his former teammates by mid-year.
ETA: 2012.
9. Diego Moreno, RHP
DOB: 7/21/86
Height/Weight: 6-1/177
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: Venezuela, 2006
2010 Stats: 1.17 ERA (38.1-14-5-57) at High-A (28 G);
7.04 ERA (7.2-10-3-12) at Double-A (7 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Velocity/slider
Year in Review: This flame-throwing Venezuelan smoked the Florida State
League before struggling a bit after a late-season promotion to Double-A.
The Good: Prior to the 2010 draft, Moreno had the best pure arm in the
system, sitting at 94-96 mph with his fastball and routinely touching 98.
Unlike many power-armed relievers, he has plus-plus control, walking only
eight of the 174 batters he faced in 2010. He's also unique in that his
best secondary pitch is a changup with deceptive arm action and good late
action.
The Bad: Without a plus breaking ball, some scouts have trouble seeing
Moreno as a future closer, as his slider if often overthrown in the upper
80s and lacks two-plane break. His fastball can be a bit flat at times,
and he lives in the upper part of the strike zone. He can wear his emotions
on his sleeve when pitching and has trouble getting out of trouble because
of it when he's not dominating.
Ephemera: Right-handed hitters facing Moreno in the Florida State League
went 7-for-80 (.088) with two walks and 31 strikeouts.
Perfect World Projection: Some see closer potential, some see a set-up man.
Fantasy Impact: He's the kind of pitcher who could pick up saves, as long
as he's on a second-division team.
Path to the Big Leagues: Moreno will begin 2011 back at Double-A, but
if he keeps putting up numbers, he could move quickly.
ETA: He has an outside shot at late 2011, but 2012 is more realistic.
10. Colton Cain, LHP
DOB: 2/5/91
Height/Weight: 6-3/225
Bats/Throws: L/L
Drafted/Signed: Eighth round, 2009, Waxahachie HS (TX)
2010 Stats: 3.77 ERA (14.1-12-5-15) at Rookie (4 G);
5.03 ERA (34.0-23-14-32) at short-season (11 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Command/secondary pitches
Year in Review: Given a well over-slot bonus of $1.15 million in 2009,
Cain showed plenty of promise in his pro debut, while also demonstrating
that he still has plenty to work on.
The Good: Cain is built like a classic power right-hander from Texas,
only he's a southpaw. He's highly projectable and already sits in the low
90s and tops out at 94 mph; Cain was able to retire short-season batters
on his velocity and command alone. Physically, he's a beast who approaches
the game with an aggressive mentality.
The Bad: Cain is still raw and needs to develop the rest of his arsenal.
He rarely gets good snap on his loopy curveball, and tips his changeup
with a slower delivery. More than anything, the Pirates feel he just needs
consistent innings to reach his potential.
Ephemera: Cain is the only player ever drafted out of Waxahachie High,
but the school has produced multiple NFL players, including All-Pro
offensive lineman Brian Waters.
Perfect World Projection: If Cain develops, he could become a good third
starter.
Fantasy Impact: Too early to say, but Cain could be provide solid ERA,
WHIP, and strikeout numbers when all is said and done.
Path to the Big Leagues: Cain is ready for a full-season assignment,
and will begin 2011 at West Virginia.
ETA: 2014.
11. Zack Von Rosenberg, RHP
DOB: 9/24/90
Height/Weight: 6-4/185
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: Sixth round, 2009, Zachary HS (LA)
2010 Stats: 3.20 ERA (59.0-60-13-39) at Triple-A (13 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Command/velocity
Year in Review: This highly projectable right-hander impressed in his pro
debut but is still seen as far more future than reality.
The Good: Rosenberg could be a star-level starter if he finds more
velocity. His body oozes projection, as he's a long-armed, skinny
right-hander with silky-smooth mechanics. He commands his 88-91 mph
fastball very well, and both his curveball and changeup are advanced for
his age and project as plus offerings.
The Bad: Rosenberg still has below-average velocity, and some scouts don't
believe he'll ever have more than an average fastball. He battles with all
of his pitches, but he struggled to generate swings and misses, even in
the New York-Penn League.
Ephemera: Rosenberg's high school won the Louisiana 4A state baseball
title in each of his last three years.
Perfect World Projection: Those that believe in the projection see a good
third, maybe even second starter; those that don't see a back-end rotation
piece.
Fantasy Impact: As variable as his projection.
Path to the Big Leagues: Von Rosenberg will be yet another part of one of
the most intriguing minor-league rotations at West Virginia.
ETA: 2014.
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