Re: [閒聊] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects for 2014
http://sbn.to/OWO4h1
1) Gregory Polanco, OF, Grade A-: Five Tool/Seven Skill player with glowing
scouting reports, dominated High-A but was merely good in Double-A, granted
at age 21 that’s just fine. Spring reports continue to sparkle. Best case
for Polanco I’ve read is right here by our very own KentuckyPirate. I buy
into it about 90% but feel like holding back on a pure A until I get the top
prospect list worked up and see how I want to slot him.
2) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Grade B+: Results don’t always completely live up
to the perceived talent with Taillon, who could be "just" a mid-rotation arm
instead of a genuine top-of-the-rotation ace. You realize of course that
becoming a number three starter would be a big success story given the
attrition rate among pitching prospects. I had him as a B+/A- borderline but
I want to see how the sore elbow issue resolves and if he can get his walk
rate down a little more.
3) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Grade B+: Ridiculously good K/IP and H/IP marks in
Low-A stand out as big positive and confirm reports of outstanding
movement/velocity combination. Walk rate was too high to get an A-grade at
this time, but he’s come a long way from being a high school kid throwing 86
MPH to throwing 95 and higher in three years. Further mechanical refinements
with 6-7 body will push him into truly elite prospect range and he’s not far
off right now.
4) Austin Meadows, OF, Grade B+: Excellent pro debut from ’13 first rounder,
easing concerns about his power with seven homers in rookie ball, combined
with good strike zone judgment and defensive ability. If you want to dream,
think Jim Edmonds as a maximal outcome.
5) Nick Kingham, RHP, Grade B. Borderline B+. Stuff not quite at Glasnow
level but command is much better, thrived in High-A and Double-A by throwing
strikes with low-90s fastball, good curve and changeup. This may wind up as a
B+ but I have a couple of other things I need to check first. One week older
than Taillon and not far off from him as a prospect if you’re objective
about it.
6) Josh Bell, OF, Grade B: Borderline B+. Hit "just" 12 homers in Low-A, but
37 doubles and strong relative rate of production (wRC+132) are reasons for
optimism. I think more home run power will come. Upside: Chili Davis after he
lost his speed, a switch-hitting slugger with good plate discipline.
7) Alen Hanson, SS, Grade B: Borderline B+. Had some plate discipline issues
after moving up to Double-A and questions persist about his defense and use
of his speed on the bases, but even at second base his combination of youth
and offensive ability should give him a good shot at being a productive
regular.
8) Luis Heredia, RHP, Grade B: Overweight and out of shape in ’13, he still
performed decently in Low-A at age 19-20 (3.05 ERA in 65 innings) although
scouting reports were mixed, command wasn’t as good as expected, and
velocity was down. Reportedly throwing much better this spring and in better
shape but let’s see how it plays when the games count. Still a very fine
prospect who could be a number two starter if he doesn’t sabotage himself.
9) Reese McGuire, C, Grade B: Superior defensive catcher and hit very well in
rookie ball (.330/.388/.392). Controls strike zone well, power is
questionable. Glove will get him to the majors, bat will determine if he’s a
star, a decent regular, or a defense-oriented platoon/backup type. I tend
towards optimism.
10) Harold Ramirez, OF, Grade B-: Borderline B. Signed out of Colombia for
$1,050,000 in 2011, hit .285/.353/.409 with 23 steals in New York-Penn League
which is very good for the context. Could develop into potent power/speed
combination if hitting skills carry forward to full-season ball.
--
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oh but maybe in the next world...
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