[情報] Sickels's Chicago Cubs Top 20 Prospects for 2009
Chicago Cubs Top 20 Prospects for 2009
by John Sickels
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don't get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of
the top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
are looking for.
1) Josh Vitters, 3B, Grade B+: Hopefully the home run power should start to
come in 2009. Great contact hitting skills and still very young.
2) Jeff Samardzija, RHP, Grade B: I have no idea what to expect here. Could
be great, could be horrible, track record very erratic.
3) Ryan Flaherty, SS, Grade B: Looks like a solid all-around player to me.
4) Andrew Cashner, RHP, Grade B-: High ceiling due to fastball and slider,
command issues may slow progress.
5) Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Grade B-: Scouting reports look great, but want to see
some numbers before ranking higher.
6) Jay Jackson, RHP, Grade B-: I LOVE this guy…good athlete, former
philosophy major, throws hard, throws strikes, great pro debut. I think he is
underrated by other sources.
7) Tyler Colvin, OF, Grade C+: Still worried about his plate discipline.
8) Welington Castillo, C, Grade C+: Good glove, hits well in flashes, maybe a
Miguel Olivo type?
9) Dae-Eun Rhee, RHP, Grade C+: Would rank higher if not for Tommy John.
10) Aaron Shafer, RHP, Grade C+: Wichita State product with sharp command.
Elbow injury cost him velocity.
11) Starlin Castro, SS, Grade C+: Intriguing toolsy infielder had strong AZL
debut. A sleeper.
12) Junior Lake, SS, Grade C+: Intriguing toolsy infielder had strong AZL
debut. A sleeper.
13) Dan McDaniel, RHP, Grade C+: Lots of strikeouts and grounders at Boise.
Command an issue. Could rank as high as 10th.
14) Micah Hoffpauir, 1B, Grade C: Too old to rank higher but he has a major
league bat. Where does he play?
15) Esmailin Caridad, RHP, Grade C: Low strikeout rate a concern, but I think
he can do well in relief.
16) Don Veal, LHP, Grade C: Stock has fallen massively due to command and
mechanical issues. Not protected for Rule 5, which tells you a lot.
17) Josh Kroeger, OF, Grade C: He finally learned some plate discipline and
has done well in Triple-A. Getting old for a prospect.
18) Tony Thomas, 2B, Grade C: Strike zone judgment collapsed in Florida State
League.
19) Chris Carpenter, RHP, Grade C: Command problems and poor health record
reduce stock, but he throws very hard and has upside if he can stay away from
doctors.
20) Mitch Atkins, RHP, Grade C: Possibly a fifth starter type if he can
sharpen command more.
Others include Darwin Barney, Justin Bristow, Matt Cerda, Hung-Wen Chen,
Dumas Garcia, Brandon Guyer, Josh Harrison, Dylan Johnston, Casey Lambert,
Alex Maestri, Jovan Rosa, Drew Rundle, Marquez Smith, Logan Watkins, and Ty
Wright. Most of these guys could rank anywhere from 14-20 depending on what
you are looking for.
If there is someone else that you really think should be included, make your
case. I always miss someone. Space is limited and some of the players above
will probably get cut if I have to add someone else.
I really like Jay Jackson and I think he is going to surprise a lot of
people. Colvin is a weird case, he actually played worse when he was trying
to work the count, and better when he went back to hacking, as Kevin
Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus has pointed out. I have some more thoughts
about that in the book.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF
The Cubs system has thinned out, and there is no one with impact hitting
potential at the higher levels. Guys like Vitters, Flaherty, and the AZL
tools guys give hope that that could change in the future. Samardzija is
completely unpredictable, he could be the second coming of Bobby Jenks or he
could totally flame out. It wouldn't' surprise me if Cashner ended up the
same way, alternating good and bad runs and leaving everyone scratching their
heads.
http://tinyurl.com/b3j54
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