The 2008 Rule 5 Draft: The Hitters
http://tinyurl.com/5tgo5o
By Marc Hulet
It is almost here. The 2008 Rule 5 Draft is 10 days away. Last week, we took
a look at some of the pitchers that could be scooped up during the draft, as
organizations look for cheap, talented options that will hopefully stick on
the big league roster for the entire 2009 season. As always, if you need a
refresher on the rules and history of the Rule 5 Draft, click here.
The Catchers
James Skelton | Detroit
Position: Catcher
Born: October 1985
2008 Level: High-A/Double-A
One of the more quizzical omissions from the 40-man rosters, James Skelton
creates flashes of Jesus Flores, whom the Washington Nationals stole from the
New York Mets with the sixth overall pick of the 2006 Rule 5 Draft. Flores is
now producing just as well for the Nationals as the Mets' big league
catchers, and at a much lower cost. The Tigers organization is seriously
lacking in prospects and the 40-man roster had room for Skelton. He was
originally selected by the Tigers in the 14th round of the 2004 draft out of
a California high school. Skelton has hit more than .300 in each of the past
three seasons - a rarity for catchers. This past season, he hit
.307/.467/.406 in 212 High-A at-bats and moved up to Double-A and posted a
line of .294/.423/.388 in 85 at-bats. There are concerns about Skelton's
defence. His is just 5'11'' and 165 lbs - small for a catcher. His arm also
lacks strength, but he threw out 43% of base stealers in 2007, and 19 of 54
(35%) at High-A in 2008, followed by nine of 19 (47%) at Double-A. It will be
shocking if no one takes a flyer on the left-handed hitting catcher with an
excellent eye at the plate and the ability to hit for a high average. The
list of clubs that could use catching depth include Toronto, San Diego,
Cincinnati, Houston, Chicago (NL), Washington, Florida, Balitmore, Chicago
AL, Tampa Bay and Boston.
===============================================================================
Francisco Hernandez | Chicago (AL)
Position: Catcher
Born: February 1986
2008 Level: High-A
The list of available catchers is not overly deep and Francisco Hernandez
sticks out as an interesting option. His bat regressed in 2008 -
.245/.333/.382 with a .137 ISO in 241 at-bats - but he was the 21st best
prospect in the organization prior to 2008, according to Baseball America.
His rates were respectable at 11.7 BB% and 13.7 K%. Hernandez has an
excellent arm and threw out 37 of 86 (43%) base stealers in 2008 and is at
least average in all other defensive facets. If selected, he won't hit much
but he should be at least average defensively as a back-up catcher.
===============================================================================
The Corner Infielders
Jordan Brown | Cleveland
Position: First Base
Born: December 1983
2008 Level: Triple-A
Jordan Brown has something a lot of Rule 5 prospects don't: A MLB-ready bat
(and he swings from the left side too). The first baseman, though, does not
have much power. Brown would be an excellent option for a National League
team looking for a pinch hitter. In 2008 at Triple-A, he hit .281/.336/.417
with an ISO of .136 in 420 at-bats. The former fourth-round draft pick is a
career .300 hitter and traditionally walks almost as much as he strikes out,
although his rates dipped in 2008 to 7.7 BB% and 16.0 K%. He would be a
cheaper and possibly more effective option for a club looking at a free agent
like Mark Sweeney, who has made a career out of coming off the bench.
===============================================================================
Jesus Guzman | San Francisco
Position: Third Base
Born: June 1984
2008 Level: Double-A/Triple-A
Jesus Guzman was originally signed by the Seattle Mariners and then signed as
a minor league free agent prior to the 2007 season by the Oakland Athletics.
He became a free agent once again after the 2008 season and recently signed
with the San Francisco Giants but was not placed on the 40-man roster, which
makes him eligible for the draft. A number of teams expressed interest in him
as a minor league free agent (including the A's) so one of those clubs that
missed out in the bidding process could nab him on Dec. 11. This past season,
Guzman hit .364/.420/.560 with a .196 ISO in Double-A. He was then promoted
to Triple-A but struggled a bit and hit just .237/.286/.373 in 59 at-bats.
The switch hitter also slugged 25 home runs and drove in 102 runs for
Seattle's High-A club in 2007. Guzman has the ability to play third base,
second base and the corner outfield, which could make him a valuable utility
player for a Major League club.
===============================================================================
Erik Lis | Minnesota
Position: First Base/Left Field
Born: March 1984
2008 Level: Double-A
Traditionally, first basemen are not overly popular in the Rule 5 draft, but
Erik Lis might be of interest to a Major League club. He hit .277/.322/.462
with a .185 ISO in 405 Double-A at-bats in 2008. The former ninth round draft
pick has seen his power output improve each season and he has above-average
bat speed. Lis is not overly athletic and is a one-dimensional player with
all his value wrapped up in his left-handed bat. He can play both first base
and left field, which adds to his attractiveness as a pinch hitter and left
fielder.
===============================================================================
Adam Loewen | Toronto
Position: First Base/Left Field
Born: April 1984
2008 Level: Hawaii Winter Baseball
A club in search of the next Rick Ankiel or Brian Bogusevic may look to
former Orioles hurler Adam Loewen, who recently signed with the Toronto Blue
Jays. He was a talented two-way player in high school and injuries ruined his
pitching career. A number of teams (including Seattle) were interested in
signing Loewen as a free agent hitter, but Toronto won out as the left-handed
hitter is a native Canadian. In his first taste of professional hitting,
Loewen hit .207/.368/.207 in 29 at-bats during the Hawaii Winter Baseball
league this fall. He is definitely raw as a hitter but has a ton of power
from the left side.
===============================================================================
The Middle Infielders
Daniel Mayora | Colorado
Position: Second Base/Shortstop
Born: July 1985
2008 Level: High-A
Daniel Mayora's exclusion from the Rockies 40-man roster is more a testament
to the organization's enviable middle infield depth than a comment on the
infielder's ability or promise. As it was, the Rockies added three middle
infielders to the roster this fall in order to protect them from the Rule 5
draft: Chris Nelson, Eric Young Jr., and Hector Gomez, joining four other
middle infielders already on the roster. Mayora lacks the athleticism of some
of the other prospects but he hit .288/.347/.422 with an ISO of .134 in 486
High-A at-bats. He stolen just eight bases in 2008, but nabbed 26 the
previous season. Mayora is solid defensively at both second base and
shortstop.
===============================================================================
Corey Wimberly | Colorado
Position: Utility Infielder/Outfielder
Born: October 1983
2008 Level: Double-A
Corey Wimberly, like Mayora above, was caught in the Big Roster Crunch of
2008. He has done nothing but hit and run in professional baseball after
being selected in the sixth round of the 2005 draft. He began his pro career
by hitting .381 and compiling 107 hits in 67 games. In 2008, the speedster
hit .291/.359/.345 with 59 stolen bases in 388 Double-A at-bats. He has no
power (.054 ISO in 2008) but he can steal a base in his sleep and can play
all over the diamond. Wimberly should definitely garner interest in the
draft, although it would help if he walked a little more often (9.6 BB% in
2008).
===============================================================================
Will Rhymes | Detroit
Position: Second Base
Born: April 1984
2008 Level: Double-A
Like Skelton, Will Rhymes' 40-man roster omission is a little surprising. At
Double-A, he hit .306/.361/.391 in 516 at-bats. He has limited power (.085
ISO) but he has the potential to steal 15-20 bases. Rhymes also has
respectable rates (although he could stand to walk a bit more) and does not
strike out much: 7.9 BB% and 12.8 K%. He is average defensively at second
base and his value is hurt by his lack of versatility. He held his own in the
Arizona Fall League by hitting .287/.322/.324 in 108 at-bats, but managed
just two extra base hits.
===============================================================================
The Outfielders
Jamie Romak | Pittsburgh
Position: Outfield
Born: September 1985
2008 Level: High-A/Double-A
The Rule 5 Draft's outfield depth is lacking, but Jamie Romak is an
interesting name. The former Braves prospect was traded to Pittsburgh during
the 2007 Adam LaRoche deal and was rated by Baseball America as the Pirates'
seventh best prospect entering into 2008. He offers massive power potential
but a low batting average. He is still very raw, but the Canadian has
intriguing upside. In 2008, he hit .279/.351/.552 with 25 doubles and 18
homers (.272 ISO) in 290 High-A at-bats. Upon a promotion to Double-A, he hit
.208/.307/.433 (.225 ISO) in 120 at-bats. He is a huge risk, but if he
rebounds in 2009 a club will have a tough timing prying him from Pittsburgh.
That said, he struggles with off-speed stuff and could easily become a Quad-A
slugger.
===============================================================================
Mitch Einertson, Eli Iorg and Jordan Parraz | Houston
Position: Outfielders
Born: April 1986, March 1983, and October 1984
2008 Level: Double-A, Double-A, and High-A
The remainder of the outfield depth for the upcoming Rule 5 Draft is
sponsored by the Houston Astros. Mitch Einertson, a former fifth round
selection out of high school, caught the baseball world's attention when he
made his pro debut and slammed 24 home runs in 63 games. But that was Rookie
Ball and also 2004. Since then, Einertson has struggled to live up to those
lofty numbers, especially considering he was never looked at as a power
hitter while in high school. This past season he hit .262/.309/.427 in 382
Double-A at-bats. He is more of an interesting name, rather than a true
threat to be nabbed in the draft.
Eli Iorg comes from a talented baseball family and is loaded with raw
athletic ability but has had troubles translating his skills to the baseball
diamond. At Double-A in 2008, he hit .268/.303/.407 with an ISO of .139 in
459 at-bats. He also stole 21 bases after nabbing 42 in 2006. Iorg walked
just 4.4% of the time in 2008. His numbers were down a bit in 2008 because he
was recovering from Tommy John surgery in late 2007.
Jordan Parraz is not quite as athletic as Iorg, but he has a better chance of
hitting for average. He has moved slowly through the system and was old for
High-A but he hit .289/.382/.419 with 21 stolen bases in 425 at-bats. Parraz
also has a cannon for an arm and can hit the mid 90s off the mound.
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