[情報] Sickels's Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 Prospects for 2009
http://tinyurl.com/54uzzc
Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 Prospects for 2009
by John Sickels
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don't get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of
the top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
are looking for.
1) Travis Snider, OF, Grade A-: In the long run I'm not worried about the
strikeouts, but might struggle at times in the early going.
2) Brett Cecil, LHP, Grade B+: I like him a lot. Love the
strikeout/groundball combination.
3) David Cooper, 1B, Grade B: Almost went with B+ because I think the home
runs will come.
4) J.P. Arencibia, C, Grade B-: Improved defense is good news, horrible plate
discipline likely to eat into his batting average.
5) Justin Jackson, SS, Grade B-: A high grade you might think. But I buy into
the projection and I think he will ultimately hit.
6) Brad Mills, LHP, Grade B-: Impeccable numbers overall, but fly ball ratio
is a concern and as a finesse guy he has to be perfect.
7) Kevin Ahrens, 3B, Grade C+: I will give him a break due to youth and the
fact that no one hit at Lansing.
8) Ricky Romero, LHP, Grade C+: Another guy with a higher grade than you
might expect given the numbers, but I will cut him slack one more year.
9) Mark Rzepczynski, LHP, Grade C+: I actually like him a lot, love the
ratios and the grounders, but want to see at higher levels.
10) Scott Campbell, 2B, Grade C+: Frank Catalonotto Part II Electric Boogaloo
11) Brad Emaus, 2B, Grade C+: Frank Catalonotto Part III In 3-D (hits
right-handed)
12) Eric Thames, OF, Grade C+: One of my favorites from the 2008 draft. Just
needs to get healthy.
13) Luis Perez, LHP, Grade C+: Interesting lefty with good numbers, strong
ground ball rate.
14) Andrew Liebel, RHP, Grade C: Polished strike-throwing college guy, needs
to show at higher levels for a higher grade.
15) Tyler Pastornicky, SS, Grade C: Speed, walks, defense, youth. Will power
show?
16) Robert Ray, RHP, Grade C: Looks like he could be a good utility pitcher.
17) John Tolisano, 2B, Grade C: Another young guy who couldn't hit at
Lansing, but could rebound.
18) Markus Brisker, OF, Grade C: Tools guy who looks like a sleeper to me.
19) Chad Beck, RHP, Grade C: Acquired from Arizona, has the arm strength to
surprise.
20) Tim Collins, LHP, Grade C: Great numbers, great human interest story as a
5-7 lefty signed as a free agent out of high school. Yes I know he's not
really as good a prospect in the classic sense as some of the guys in the 「
other」 category, but I want to point him out. He's cool.
Others: Bobby Bell, RHP; Fabio Castro, LHP; Yohermyn Chavez, OF; Brian
Dopirak, 1B; Eric Eiland, OF; Edgar Estanga, LHP; Alan Farina, RHP; Danny
Farquhar, RHP; Balbino Fuenmayor, 3B; Kyle Ginley, RHP; Brian Jeroloman, C;
Scott Richmond, RHP; Moises Sierra, OF; Mark Sobolewski, 3B; Nathan Starner,
LHP; Kenny Wilson, OF.
If there is someone else that you really think should be included, make your
case. I always miss someone. Space is limited and some of the players above
will probably get cut if I have to add someone else.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF:
The Jays have been adding more tools guys lately, being more aggressive
in Latin America (Fuenmayor, Chavez, Sierra) and drafting more high school
kids, but so far the results have been mixed at best. Ultimately,however, I
think that is the way to go: I prefer a balanced approach. I don't like it
when teams draft nothing but high school guys, or college guys. I think they
should draft both, mix the raw types with the polished guys.
I still really like Jackson despite his struggles last year, and will cut
some of the others some slack as well due to youth. They've done a good job
identifying useful college talent like Emaus and Campbell in the middle and
later rounds. I think Thames could be a steal if he's healthy. Luis Perez
looks like he could be a sleeper lefty.
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