[情報] Oakland Athletics Top 20+ Prospects for 2009
Oakland Athletics Top 20 Prospects for 2009
John Sickels
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don’t get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of
the top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
are looking for.
1) Trevor Cahill, RHP, Grade B+:
Borderline A-. I like him an awful lot. Just
needs to cut down on the walks a bit.
Rate him just a tad higher than
Anderson due to a better ceiling.
2) Brett Anderson, LHP, Grade B+:
Borderline A-. Very close to Cahill, stuff
not quite as impressive but more polished.
3) Aaron Cunningham, OF, Grade B:
A solid all-around player. Doesn’t have
the ceiling of some of these other guys,
but a surer bet to reach his.
4) Gio Gonzalez, LHP, Grade B.
This may seem too high to some, but even in
the majors he struck out a batter per inning.
I still like him.
5) Adrian Cardenas, 2B, Grade B:
I think he’s a second baseman. Equivalent
to a college junior entering 2009.
6) Chris Carter, 1B, Grade B:
Enormous power, but defensive questions and
spike in strikeout rate prevent a B+.
7) Jemile Weeks, 2B, Grade B.
I like him a lot due to across-the-board
skills, but I worry that he may be injury-prone
like his brother, hampering
his development.
8) Sean Doolittle, 1B, Grade B:
I think he’ll emerge as a .270-.290 hitter
with a solid OBP, 15-20 homers, and excellent defense.
9) Michael Inoa, RHP, Grade B-:
Very hard to grade. Terrific scouting
reports, projection, and youth stand out,
but no track record and high
attrition rate of young pitchers are big dangers.
10) Vin Mazzaro, RHP, Grade B-:
I don’t know what to make of him. Everyone
seems to be focusing on what he did at Midland,
ignoring what he did at Kane
County, Stockton, and Sacramento. I want to see more.
11) James Simmons, RHP, Grade B-:
Excellent command, but hittable. Stuff may
be a bit short to get beyond being a fourth starter.
12) Henry Rodriguez, RHP, Grade B-:
Opposite of Simmons: blistering stuff but
big command problems.
13) Josh Outman, LHP, Grade B-:
Remains a personal favorite for me and I
think he is underrated by others. Could
be solid fourth starter or a very
good reliever. Sort of a pitching equivalent
of Cunningham: doesn’t have the
ceiling of some others, but a surer bet.
14) Brett Hunter, RHP, Grade B-:
Huge upside here, but command and health are
issues until we get a bigger track record.
15) Andrew Carignan, RHP, Grade B-:
Could help quite soon in relief.
16) Corey Brown, OF, Grade C+:
Huge upside, but strikeout issues are a problem.
17) Andrew Bailey, RHP, Grade C+:
I still like him. Could help very soon in the bullpen.
18) Tyson Ross, RHP, Grade C+:
I think he’s an injury risk, but the upside is here.
19) John Donaldson, C, Grade C+:
I think he’ll hit, but the glove looks like a problem.
20) Fautino De Los Santos, RHP, Grade C+:
Enormous upside, but have to see how things look after Tommy John.
I’m conservative about that.
21) Sam Demel, RHP, Grade C+:
Love the strikeouts, command could wobble in Double-A.
22) Rashun Dixon, OF, Grade C+:
Another enormous upside guy with question marks.
23) Jason Christian, SS, Grade C+:
I thought he was a steal in the draft.
Worried some about strikeout rate, like tools and other skills.
24) Arnold Leon, RHP, Grade C+:
Yet another interesting relief arm. Could rank higher.
25) Jesus Guzman, 3B, Grade C+:
Nice pickup as a minor league free agent.
Still young enough to be interesting sleeper.
26) Petey Paramore, C, Grade C+:
Great glove, lots of walks, doubts about rest of bat.
Others: Jeremy Barfield, OF; Dusty Coleman, SS; Pedro Figueroa, LHP; Craig
Italiano, RHP; Jared Lansford, RHP; Nino Leyja, SS; Cliff Pennington, SS;
Landon Powell, C; Danny Putnam, OF; Anthony Recker, C; Matt Spencer, OF; Matt
Sulentic, OF; Daniel Thomas, RHP.
If there is someone else that you really think should be included, make your
case. I always miss someone. Space is limited and some of the players above
will probably get cut if I have to add someone else.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF:
This system has a huge amount of depth now, but other than Anderson and
Cahill even the potential impact guys have a few doubts about them. I opted
for a conservative approach on a lot of these grades. Inoa was a tough grade,
but decided to approach him like a high-upside high school kid entering his
draft year. He could be literally anything from Juan Marichal to a guy who
shreds his shoulder in rookie ball and is never heard from again.
I expect complaints about ranking Outman ahead of guys like Hunter and De
Los Santos, and perhaps I just like him so much because I’ve been tracking
him since college, but I’m going with my gut on that one. Certainly some of
the guys behind him have higher upsides, so adjust your own ranking
accordingly depending on what you like yourself.
Overall, this system has dramatically improved over the last couple of
years thanks to aggressive trades and impressive drafting. I like how they
have mixed polished talent and upside guys in recent drafts.
Reports on these guys and over 1,000 others can be found in the 2009
Baseball Prospect Book. Pre-order for January 31st shipping now!
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