[情報] Los Angeles Dodgers Top 20 Prospects for 2009
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Los Angeles Dodgers Top 20 Prospects for 2009
by John Sickels
1) James McDonald, RHP, Grade B+: Same grade I gave him last year, see no
reason to change it given his strong season. Only concern is fly ball
tendency.
2) Ethan Martin, RHP, Grade B: Higher ceiling than McDonald but need to see
how he adjusts to pro ball. Impressive power arm plus athleticism.
3) Ivan DeJesus, Jr, SS, Grade B: Took a step forward offensively, good
glove, just needs to cut down on errors and get more consistent. I think his
difficult Arizona Fall League was an aberration.
4) Andrew Lambo, OF, Grade B: Not sure about the glove, but the bat looks
quite strong to me.
5) Josh Lindblom, RHP, Grade B-: Rapid riser from the college ranks, could
help in the bullpen quickly.
6) Devaris Gordon, SS, Grade B-: I am giving him an aggressive grade. He's
raw, but immensely talented. I don't think he is Preston Mattingly.
7) Ramon Troncoso, RHP, Grade C+: Love the ground ball/power combination.
Hope he throws strikes. Hasn't broken 50 innings yet so still eligible for
the book.
8) Scott Elbert, LHP, Grade C+: This might be a notch too low, but command
and durability issues are still there.
9) Austin Gallagher, 3B, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect. Needs to tighten strike
zone, but I think more power will come.
10) Josh Bell, 3B, Grade C+: Making progress, but reports about weight are
disturbing and he might not hit enough for first base.
11) Xavier Paul, OF, Grade C+: Should be a very solid fourth outfielder.
12) Chris Withrow, RHP, Grade C+: Need to make sure he is healthy. Ceiling is
high but so is risk.
13) Justin Miller, RHP, Grade C+: Like the hard sinker, but needs to improve
secondary pitches to boost K-rate.
14) Tony Delmonico, 2B, Grade C+: Polished college hitter, making transition
from SS to 2B. Needs to reduce errors.
15) Pedro Baez, 3B, Grade C: Excellent power potential and a strong arm, but
there is a 43.7% chance (to pull a number out of the air) that he is pitching
four years from now. Horrible plate discipline.
16) Jaime Hoffman, OF, Grade C: Another guy like Paul who would make a good
reserve OF.
17) Jesus Castillo, RHP, Grade C: Added to the 40-man. Good control, not a
dominant type.
18) Kyle Russell, OF, Grade C: Enormous power potential, but strikeouts are
scary.
19) Nathan Eovaldi, RHP, Grade C: Possible steal from 2008 draft, high
ceiling, needs experience.
20) Javy Guerra, RHP, Grade C: Good arm, fits better in the pen than he did
as a starter.
Others: James Adkins, LHP; Geison Aguasviva, LHP; Danny Danielson, RHP;
Victor Garate, LHP; Thomas Giles, OF; Steve Johnson, RHP; Paul Koss, RHP;
Lucas May, C; Justin Orenduff, RHP; Jaime Pedroza, 2B-SS; Jordan Pratt, RHP;
Jon Michael Redding, RHP (a sleeper), Travis Schlicting, RHP; Cole St. Clair,
LHP; Josh Wall, RHP.
The Grade Cs are interchangeable. As usual, don't sweat so much about where
the Grade C+/C types rank exactly on this list. After I get past the top 10 I
don't worry so much about exact placement, since I'm trying to concentrate on
the book right now. Some of the Grade C guys could be C+ in the book, and
vice versa. I can probably fit one more player in, so make a suggestion if
you like.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF
The Dodgers system has thinned out a lot, and actually looks a bit weak
right now, though I trust Logan White and his people to recharge quickly.
Ethan Martin has the most impact ability, but given the attrition rate
for young pitchers, I want to see how he adjusts to pro ball. McDonald's
ceiling is not as high, but I can't in good conscience lower his grade from
last year. I think he will be a solid pitcher as long as he doesn't get
traded to Colorado or Texas. I like DeJesus and it looks like Lambo can hit,
though his glove doesn't get good reviews and he might have to move to first
base, reducing the value of his bat.
I'm giving Gordon an aggressive B-,which I guess may surprise some people
used to more conservative ratings from me. There are quite a few arms here
who have bullpen potential…Troncoso and Elbert close to the Show, plus
several others further away.
Some of the Grade C guys at the lower levels have the potential to get
higher grades once they prove themselves more fully, and this system could
look much deeper a year from now.
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