[情報] Organizational Rankings, Part 2, 1-5
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8633
Future Shock Organizational Rankings, Part 2
by Kevin Goldstein
1. Oakland Athletics
Last Year's Ranking: 2
Why They Might Be Better Than This: Their Triple-A rotation, led by Trevor
Cahill and Brett Anderson, could be better than some big-league rotations;
Michael Ynoa is the best Latin American prospect of the decade; 2008 draftees
Jemile Weeks and Rashun Dixon bring much-needed tools to an advanced group of
hitters.
Why They Might Be Worse: Ynoa has yet to pitch in a pro game; expected to be
the fifth starter, lefty Gio Gonzalez might fit better in the bullpen; there is
plenty of debate among scouts concerning the ceilings of hitters like Aaron
Cunningham and Sean Doolittle.
Outlook For 2010: Could depend as much on how well the big-league team does
during the first half of the season as anything else, as the second half is
either spent gunning for a post-season spot or the beginning of a rebuilding
mode, which could mean that a number of players will lose their prospect status
going into 2010.
2. Texas Rangers
Last Year's Ranking: 3
Why They Might Be Better Than This: A collection of pitching that is borderline
embarrassing-good, because beyond more advanced studs like Neftali Feliz and
Derek Holland they had the best Low-A staff in baseball last season, and they
will again this year with, with a new cast of characters no less; Justin Smoak
could be the steal of the 2008 draft; Engel Beltre's tools rank with anyone's.
Why They Might Be Worse: The position players fall a bit short, mostly due to a
poor approach; Beltre, shortstop Elvis Andrus, and outfielder Julio Borbon all
need to develop more patience to reach their potential; 2007 first-round pick
Blake Beavan needs to rebound from a loss of velocity; catcher Taylor
Teagarden's scouting reports range from big-league regular to simply "can't
hit."
Outlook For 2010: Much depends on the years that Feliz and Holland have, and if
they lose prospect eligibility, the system will obviously slip a bit;
nonetheless they have enough depth to stay near or at the top.
3. Tampa Bay Rays
Last Year's Ranking: 1
Why They Might Be Better Than This: You all saw in the postseason what David
Price is capable of; with the first pick in the draft, they added a possible
impact shortstop in Tim Beckham; Desmond Jennings comes back from a season lost
season to injury and still has one of the best packages of tools in the game;
just when you thought they were running out of pitchers, along come Matt Moore
and Nick Barnese, with over-slot 2008 signee Kyle Lobstein not far behind.
Why They Might Be Worse: Tim Beckham's performance in his debut was
significantly below expectations, and a cause for some concern; Reid Brignac's
bat has gone consistently backward as he's moved up; Jeremy Hellickson's
numbers are more impressive than his scouting reports.
Outlook For 2010: Certainly down, as Price graduates, and after years of
selecting at or near the top in every draft, they'll select 30th this coming
June.
4. Atlanta Braves
Last Year's Ranking: 8
Why They Might Be Better Than This: Jason Heyward and Tommy Hanson are the top
hitting and pitching prospect pair in all of baseball; Jordan Schafer is
looking nearly big-league ready this spring; the system has dozens of
intriguing young arms.
Why They Might Be Worse: Gorkys Hernandez needs to rebound following a
second-half slide and a hamstring injury; after Hanson and Schafer, the
remaining prospects will require patience, so there's plenty of time for things
to go wrong.
Outlook For 2010: Hanson and Schafer could be gone, but the Braves select
seventh this June, their highest selection in the draft since 1991; they'll
likely slip, but only a bit.
5. Florida Marlins
Last Year's Ranking: 21
Why They Might Be Better Than This: With Cameron Maybin, Michael Stanton, and
Matt Dominguez, the organization has three five-star position prospects, and
many believe that Logan Morrison should be the fourth; Kyle Skipworth is
unfairly downgraded by a tough pro debut; left-handed behemoth Sean West is a
favorite sleeper among scouts.
Why They Might Be Worse: Stanton strikes out too much, and both he and
Dominguez played in excellent hitter parks last year; the pitching offers no
certainty, especially as far as starting pitchers; the depth is below average.
Outlook For 2010: Maybin is certainly gone, and it's hard enough to move up
from fifth overall as it is; a slip is expected, but the Marlins should remain
in the upper half.
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 118.160.71.225
Prospect 近期熱門文章
PTT體育區 即時熱門文章
