[情報] Atlanta Braves Top 20 Prospects for 2010
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Atlanta Braves Top 20 Prospects for 2010
by John Sickels on Oct 25, 2009 5:36 PM EDT
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don't get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get beyond
the Top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
want to emphasize.
Feel free to critique the list, but use logic and reason rather than polemics
to do so. The list and grades are based on a blending of present performance
and long-term potential. Full reports on all these players can be found in
the 2010 Baseball Prospect Book, now available for pre-order..
Star-divide
1) Jason Heyward, OF, Grade A: A complete prospect, perfect Five Tool/Seven
Skill player.
2) Freddie Freeman, 1B, Grade B+: We'll have to see if the wrist injury cuts
into his power development, but given his age he gets some slack.
3) Julio Teheran, RHP, Grade B: I still worry about his health and durability.
4) Randall Delgado, RHP, Grade B: A rare thing, an Atlanta pitching prospect
that might be underrated. Usually Braves guys get too much hype.
5) Craig Kimbrel, RHP, Grade B: If his command holds up he can be a bullpen
force.
6) Mike Minor, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline Grade B. Excellent pitchability with
pretty good stuff. I hope I get to see him in Arizona Fall League.
7) Christian Bethancourt, C, Grade B-: Grade includes a lot of projection.
8) J.J. Hoover, RHP, Grade B-: A personal favorite. Need to see him at higher
levels, but I love the K/IP and K/BB ratios.
9) Zeke Spruill, RHP, Grade B-: Younger and more projectable than Hoover, but
I worry about his durability.
10) David Hale, RHP, Grade C+: Power arm from Princeton, another possible
relief mainstay if the command is there.
11) Mycal Jones, SS, Grade C+: Good speed, strikeout rate is rather high,
will he hit at higher levels?
12) Brett DeVall, LHP, Grade C+: Would rank higher if not for questions about
health.
13) Cody Gearrin, RHP, Grade C+: Another possible bullpen reinforcement.
14) Adam Milligan, OF, Grade C+: Great numbers in his pro debut, scouting
reports are mixed, poor BB/K ratio is a caution flag. Could rank as high as
11th.
15) Jose Ortegano, LHP, Grade C+: Could fit as fifth starter or swingman.
16) Robinson Lopez, RHP, Grade C+: Good rookie ball arm, a long way from
being ready but worth watching.
17) Luis Valdez, RHP, Grade C+: Older prospect, scouts don't love him, but
has been great in the upper minors and could help in the pen. Might knock him
down to a Grade C.
18) Edgar Osuna, LHP, Grade C: Numbers and scouting reports all slightly
weaker than Ortegano's.
19) Scott Diamond, LHP, Grade C: Like Osuna and Ortegano, he could appear in
the majors as soon as 2010. Doesn't have great stuff, but could be useful
under the right circumstances.
20) Dimaster Delgado, LHP, Grade C: Good numbers in the Sally League, but
another mediocre-stuff lefty according to the reports I have.
Others (all Grade C right now): Thomas Berryhill, RHP; Caleb Brewer, RHP;
Erik Cordier, RHP; David Francis, RHP; Cory Harrilchak, OF; Ty'Relle Harris,
RHP; Brandon Hicks, SS; Cody Johnson, OF; Jeff Lyman, RHP; Chris Masters,
LHP, Brett Oberholtzer, LHP; Angelo Paulino, RHP; Cory Rasmus, RHP; Gerardo
Rodriguez, 1B; Cole Rohrbaugh, LHP; Riann Spanjer-Furstenberg, 1B; Tyler
Stovall, LHP; Richard Sullivan, LHP; Jacob Thompson, RHP; Matt Young, OF
(might get cut due to space).
I ended up writing about 40 guys, but I have to say that I'm not overly
impressed with this system. They have a near-certain superstar in Heyward, a
good first base prospect in Freeman, and then a huge bunch of questionmarks.
The lack of offensive talent beyond the two elite guys is very striking. I do
not believe in Cody Johnson. I think the strikeouts are going to eat him
alive.
Even the pitching, historically the strength of the system, strikes me as
overrated compared to the "pitching factory" reputation. There are a whole
bunch of projectable young arms at the lower levels, but even the best ones
(Teheran, R. Delgado) still have a lot to prove. There is the raw material
for a good bullpen here (Kimbrel, Gearrin, Hale), and Minor looks like a
solid strike-thrower who will advance rapidly. I love Hoover but we really
need to see him outside the Sally League. They'll probably get one usable
pitcher out of the finesse lefty group (Ortegano, Osuna, Diamond, D. Delgado)
but I don't know which one it will be. I also have no idea how to rank
Rohrbaugh at this stage. You could interchange him with any of the last three.
This is only the second team I've done, so it will be interesting to see how
they compare to other organizations and perhaps I'm being too hard on them.
As always, I'm open to suggestions and discussion, and will to back and
revisit the grades as I get further into the book process.
--
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