[情報] MLB.com: Projecting the first round
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1. Washington Nationals: Stephen Strasburg, RHP, San Diego State
Was, is and will continue to be the top guy.
2. Seattle Mariners: Dustin Ackley, 1B/OF, North Carolina
There's not enough information to change this pick, though there was some
buzz that the Mariners were backing off of him. If that's the case, Aaron
Crow still seems like the best bet.
3. San Diego Padres: Mike Minor, LHP, Vanderbilt
Still the same debate of college pitcher vs. high school athlete (Tate).
There could be some discussion between Minor and Crow here, and it could go
either way. But Minor remains the choice for now.
4. Pittsburgh Pirates: Aaron Crow, RHP, Fort Worth Cats
The Pirates would love it if the Mariners and Padres passed on Ackley and he
dropped to them, something that now sounds to be at least a remote
possibility. The other choices are the same, with Grant Green potentially in
the mix if they want a bat and Ackley's gone. Other college pitchers in the
mix could be Alex White or Kyle Gibson, though that seems unlikely now, and
there might be a high school pitcher or two who could sneak up here.
5. Baltimore Orioles: Zack Wheeler, RHP, East Paulding HS, Dallas, Ga.
No change here as of now, with pitching the name of the game. Jacob Turner
and Wheeler are still in the high school mix. Green might be the bat who's
still being discussed as well. Word was that Wheeler went to Baltimore for a
meet up and there was talk that the O's and college pitcher Alex White's
agent spoke about his signability. California high school right-hander Matt
Hobgood was also reportedly planning to meet with the Orioles, but there
isn't enough definitive information to go in that direction now.
6. San Francisco Giants: Tyler Matzek, LHP, Capistrano Valley HS, Mission
Viejo, Calif.
There are still a number of possibilities here, but after Matzek's two-hit
shutout in the playoffs on Tuesday, there was no real reason to make a switch.
7. Atlanta Braves: Alex White, RHP, University of North Carolina
The Braves are more than likely to go with the "best arm available." They'd
love it if hometown hero Wheeler or California standout Matzek were around,
but in this scenario both are off the board. It looks like Shelby Miller is
off the list now and the Braves may go the college route. White has been
pitching with a bit of a hamstring issue and assuming the Braves are assured
he's fine otherwise, he could be their guy.
Last week's projection: Miller
8. Cincinnati Reds: Mike Leake, RHP, Arizona State
An undersized right-hander is not typically the M.O. for the Reds, who would
love for Matzek to still be available here. They'll also have a conversation
about Tanner Scheppers, but here's thinking the concerns about his shoulder
will make them pass. Turner fits Cincy's mold more and is a possibility, but
signability might get in the way. That leaves Leake, who's done nothing but
perform, perhaps well enough to get some teams that normally would pass to
look at him.
Last week's projection: Scheppers
9. Detroit Tigers: Jacob Turner, RHP, Westminster Christian Academy, MO
Staying put with this pick as it's still a definite possibility. Two of the
Draft's wild cards, Scheppers and Tate, could feasibly find a home here. For
now, though, Turner remains the pick.
10. Washington Nationals: Drew Storen, RHP, Stanford
I know what people will think, that this is purely a money-saving maneuver. I
won't refute that completely as Storen should not be a tough sign. But he's
also a guy who could get to the big leagues this season as a reliever and
might have upside potential as a starter. Add in a makeup that is off the
charts and it's easy to see why the Stanford closer has moved up and will
land in the first round even if he doesn't go here. If Minor somehow slips
here, he won't get past this spot.
Last week's projection: Chad Jenkins
11. Colorado Rockies: Rex Brothers, LHP, Lipscomb
This is another place where Hobgood's name has been mentioned as a
possibility and the Rockies would probably entertain any of the high school
arms selected above should any of them fall to here. They could go best
player, period, and roll the dice with Texas high school lefty Matt Purke and
his supposed high price tag, but instead the thinking is they'll go with the
hard-throwing Brothers, who could get to the big leagues quickly if and when
he's shortened up into a relief role.
Last week's projection: Kyle Gibson
12. Kansas City Royals: Kyle Gibson, RHP, University of Missori
Normally, the Royals would probably be ecstatic for Gibson to be available
here and not just because it'd be a "backyard" pick. But Gibson had two
straight starts of dropped velocity, throwing a reported 82-87 mph in his
regional win last weekend. He was quoted as saying that it was just some
forearm tightness caused by the long season. The alarm bells you're hearing
are that baseball folk will make a quick leap from "forearm tightness" to an
elbow problem. If he can get the medical question answered, this is a good
spot for him. If not, he could keep sliding. As a backup, there was word that
North Carolina high schooler Wil Myers had impressed recently in a workout.
Last week's projection: Tony Sanchez
13. Oakland A's: Tanner Scheppers, RHP, St. Paul Saints
Speaking of medical questions, whether the one about Sheppers' shoulder can
be answered will determine where the big right-hander goes. He's thrown very
well this spring and to most who have seen him, he looks just fine. What team
doctors say is a different story and Scheppers is planning on meeting with
some teams individually for examinations. Some teams have already passed on
him, but the A's are still studying it carefully. Stuff-wise, he belongs
higher.
Last week's projection: White
14. Texas Rangers: Shelby Miller, RHP, Brownwood HS, Texas
Last week, it appeared like Miller might go above this spot, leaving the
Rangers with the option of taking Purke and dealing with that potential
signability issue. It's not that Purke is completely out of the question, but
as mentioned last week, the Rangers have been on Miller all along.
Last week's projection: Purke
15. Cleveland Indians: Eric Arnett, RHP, Indiana University
Without one of the better high school arms making it down here, it's looking
like the college-pitcher angle will play well here. The Indians were at
Arnett's regional start en force and they liked how the big right-hander
competed. He's a good athlete with great makeup who will sign quickly,
something that works in his favor.
Last week's projection: Brothers
16. Arizona Diamondbacks: A.J. Pollock, OF, Notre Dame
If Leake, last week's pick, somehow gets this far, he'd likely go no further.
But since that doesn't seem probable at this point, it's time to look
elsewhere. There are some high school bats they could consider, like a Mike
Trout, perhaps, but word on the proverbial street was that they might go for
who they believe is the best polished bat on the board and that could be the
Notre Dame outfielder.
Last week's projection: Leake
17. Arizona Diamondbacks: Bobby Borchering, 3B, Bishop Verot HS, Fla.
Borchering's a switch-hitter with pop and while he may eventually have to
move to first base, he'll at least get the opportunity to stay at third. He's
considered to be one of the best high school bats in the class.
18. Florida Marlins: Chad Jenkins, RHP, Kenesaw State
Sticking with a college pitcher in this spot again. With Arnett, last week's
pick, going a few slots higher, another big right-hander could make sense.
Jenkins has been mentioned as high as No. 10, a bit as a safe sign, but also
because he pitched himself into first-round consideration.
Last week's projection: Arnett
19. St. Louis Cardinals: Grant Green, SS, USC
Green remains one of the tougher guys to pinpoint, with his name still in the
mix all over the board. He could go higher or he could slide until the end of
the first round. For now, he stays put.
20. Toronto Blue Jays: Everett Williams, OF, McCallum HS, Texas
This might seem like quite a departure, especially compared to last week's
choice, a college closer, but in recent years, the Jays have shown a
willingness to draft toolsy high school outfielders early, taking Kenny
Wilson and Eric Eiland in the second round each of the past two years. They
still could go the college route and take catcher Tony Sanchez, but Williams
gets raves from some regarding his hitting ability and overall set of skills.
Last week's projection: Storen
21. Houston Astros: Jared Mitchell, OF, Louisiana State University
There are varying opinions of Mitchell's upside as a hitter, but no one
doubts his speed and athleticsm. A two-sport standout at LSU, there are
plenty who believe his bat speed will turn into power and he'll develop into
a center fielder with power who can steal bases once he's no longer playing
football and can focus only on baseball.
22. Minnesota Twins: Matt Hobgood, RHP, Norco HS, Calif.
Hobgood's name has been tossed around much higher up and he does seem to be
at or near the top of the unofficial "second tier" of high school arms right
now. If Hobgood does go earlier, another high school pitcher like Garrett
Gould could be in the mix. Offensively, the Twins wouldn't mind if Borchering
were still available in this slot.
23. Chicago White Sox: Michael Trout, OF, Millville HS, NJ
The White Sox had great success with the college bat last year, but there
won't be a Gordon Beckham at this slot. They've never been afraid of high
school athletes and there are a few who could fit in here. Trout, who was
coming on strong as his season in the Northeast extended a bit longer than
some other high schoolers, could fit nicely.
24. Los Angeles Angels: Garrett Gould, RHP, Maize HS, Kansas
The temptation is to give the Angels high schoolers and to have them come
from Southern California. In this edition, the high schoolers are there, but
the Angels will tread outside of state lines, starting with Gould, a
fast-rising right-hander from Kansas. He's got one of the best curves in the
class and the Angels were in attendance for his dominant championship-winning
start a while back.
25. Los Angeles Angels: Matthew Purke, LHP, Klein HS, Texas
Based on talent alone, Purke likely belongs in the top 10, or at least in
that conversation. But talk of a very large bonus demand has caused a slide,
and who knows, maybe that was the point. The Angels have not been afraid of
"tough signs" over the years and they might be willing to take the chance
here. If they were to stay in SoCal, someone like shortstop Jiovanni Mier
could come into play.
26. Milwaukee Brewers: Matt Davidson, 3B, Yucaipa HS, Calif.
This will be Bruce Seid's first Draft as scouting director, so it's difficult
to know which direction he'll go in. If one of the high school pitchers gets
down here, that could be the way to go, though some believe the Brewers will
want to take less of a risk the first time around. Davidson, a high school
bat with some definite power potential, would provide a happy medium.
27. Seattle Mariners: Tony Sanchez, C, Boston College
It's quite possible that the Mariners will try to split their two
first-rounders, so if they go hitter at No. 2, this could be a spot to take a
pitcher. They also have multiple picks, so they can always make up for that
if need be. There will be some high school catchers available here and in
some of those other picks, but if the best college catcher in the class is
available, he could come off the board right here.
28. Boston Red Sox: Max Stassi, C, Yuba City HS, Calif.
There's always an inclination to place the signability sliders with the Red
Sox and there's no doubt they'll take the best player on the board at the
time, regardless of that issue. For that reason, names like Tate, Purke and
Green will be mentioned here. Stassi is possibly the best of the deep high
school catching class and there were rumors that he was floating
top-of-the-first round bonus figures to teams. The Red Sox certainly wouldn't
flinch.
29. New York Yankees: Brett Jackson, OF, Cal-Berkeley
Often, the Yankees get lumped in as that end-of-round haven for the tough
signs, but here's the thing. They didn't sign their pick last year -- that's
why they have a first-rounder this year -- and if they don't sign the pick
this year, they won't get compensation. That's not saying they'll go safe,
but it's something to think about. Jackson's got some very intriguing tools
in a slightly more advanced package than you'd get from the high school set.
30. Tampa Bay Rays: Jiovanni Mier, SS, Bonita HS, Calif.
Now this is a different vantage point, isn't it? The Rays may not know what
to do with themselves having to wait until pick No. 30. But it's a problem
they'd love to have. They've always been a best-available kind of team and
will certainly see how things go by the time they get to make a selection.
They could have interest in a guy like Mitchell if he sticks around, as well
as some of the better high school bats. Mier is one of the few who actually
will be able to stay at short, something that's always in high demand.
31. Chicago Cubs: Tim Wheeler, OF, Sacramento State
Trying to figure out Tim Wilken's drafts might be an exercise in futility
because there's no telling which way he might go. They have taken a college
bat with one of their first two picks in each of the past three Drafts, for
whatever that's worth. Wheeler could go higher if teams decide to go the
college-hitter route, as he's shown an ability to make consistent contact,
run well and hit with a little more power this year than he had in the past.
32. Colorado Rockies: Slade Heathcott, OF, McCallum HS, Texas
Heathcott has tools aplenty, with an ability to hit for average and power,
speed that plays on both sides of the ball and a plus arm. He's an intense
competitor on the field -- perhaps the football mentality showing. Much has
been made of a rough family life for Heathcott, but that shouldn't
necessarily reflect poorly on him.
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