[情報] Chicago White Sox: Top 10 Prospects(FanGraphs)
Chicago White Sox: Top 10 Prospects
by Marc Hulet - December 1, 2009
General Manager: Kenny Williams
Farm Director: Buddy Bell
Scouting Director: Doug Laumann
FanGraphs’ Top 10 Prospects:
(2009 Draft Picks/International Signees Not Included)
The organization has some interesting names in the Top 10 but there are few
“sure bets” and the depth in the system is seriously lacking. The club is
going to have to replenish significantly before it can start shedding prospects
in trades, once again. The ‘09 draft did an OK, but not great, job of bringing
in some fresh blood.
1. Tyler Flowers, C, Triple-A
DOB: January 1986
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2005 33rd round – Chipola JC (Atlanta Braves)
MLB ETA: Mid-2010
40-Man Roster: Yes
Options: 2
Flowers should be ready to take over the full-time catching chores right around
the time that veteran incumbent A.J. Pierzynski’s contract runs out after
2010. The right-handed catching prospect has impressive power (.246 ISO in
double-A) and he hasn’t hit below .279 in any season since 2006. Flowers began
the year in double-A in ‘09 and hit .302/.445/.548 in 248 at-bats, before
moving up to triple-A where he hit .286/.364/.438 in 105 at-bats. He finished
up his fine season with three hits in 16 big-league at-bats. The 23-year-old
Flowers does have some warts, including a high strikeout rate, as well as
below-average defense. He threw out 34% of base stealers in double-A, but that
number slipped to 18% in triple-A. His overall offensive potential –
especially the power – should off-set any negatives. Flowers creamed
left-handed pitching in the minors in ‘09 with a 1.119 OPS.
2. Daniel Hudson, RHP, Majors
DOB: March 1987
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2008 5th round – Old Dominion University
MLB ETA: Early-2010
40-Man Roster: Yes
Options: 3
Repertoire: 88-92 mph fastball, slider, change-up
Hudson took one of the biggest steps forward of any prospect in the minors in
‘09 and spent time at five different levels. He even spent some time in
Chicago at the end of the year, but allowed 16 hits in 18.2 innings. Hudson
also struggled with the long ball and gave up three homers (1.45 HR/9). He had
issues with allowing too many fly balls in double-A, triple-A and the Majors
(29.8 GB%), but he may have been tired, which could have led to elevated
pitches. Overall, he allowed 108 hits in 151.7 minor-league innings and posted
a strikeout rate of 9.91 K/9. He also showed solid control with a walk rate of
2.02. Hudson, a right-hander, fared well against southpaws, with an
average-allowed of just .160 compared to righties at .237. He has a chance to
spend all of 2010 in the White Sox rotation despite beginning ‘09 in low-A
ball.
3. Jordan Danks, OF, Double-A
DOB: August 1986
Bats: L Throws: R
Signed: 2008 7th round – University of Texas
MLB ETA: Late-2010
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
The brother of White Sox starter John Danks, this athletic outfielder has never
been able to live up to the promise he showed at Texas (He would have been a
first rounder as a prep grad, but he asked teams not to draft him because he
wanted to go to college). Even so, Danks still has potential thanks to good
defense and raw power potential that he has yet to tap into. The outfielder
started off ‘09 quite well with a line of .322/.409/.525 in 118 at-bats. He
was helped significantly, though, by a .422 BABIP. Moved up to double-A, Danks
struggled and hit just .243/.337/.356 in 284 at-bats (.307 BABIP). For a guy
who posted a .113 ISO in double-A, the left-handed hitter struck out too much:
25.7%. On the plus side, he’s fared OK against southpaws to this point in his
pro career (.737 OPS in ‘09).
4. Brent Morel, 3B, High-A
DOB: April 1987
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2008 3rd round – Cal Poly
MLB ETA: Mid-2011
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
The organization has some depth at third base, what with Dayan Viciedo, C.J.
Retherford, and Morel all able to play the position to varying degrees. Morel
had a solid offensive season in high-A in ‘09 and hit .281/.335/.453 with a
.173 ISO in 481 at-bats. His power has increased each season he’s played
professionally, but his OPS has diminished each season during that time frame.
Although he’s not a speed burner, Morel added 25 steals in ‘09 but was caught
nine times. In his previous two seasons, Morel was 12 for 14, combined. The
third base prospect does not strike out much (just 13.7% in ‘09) but he also
does not walk a ton (7.3%). If his power can continue to develop without
sacrificing too much in his other categories, Morel could be the future at the
hot corner.
5. Dayan Viciedo, 3B, Double-A
DOB: March 1989
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2008 non-drafted international free agent (Cuba)
MLB ETA: Late-2010
40-Man Roster: Yes
Options: 2
It was an up-and-down first season in pro ball for the 20(?)-year-old Cuban
defectee. Viciedo did not display anywhere near his reported power potential
(.111 ISO) and he was badly out of shape. He also posted a walk rate of just
4.4%. To give him credit, he did keep his strikeout rate below 20% at 17.7%.
Viciedo should probably really head back to double-A in 2010 to work on
discovering his power and showing more patience (not mention better
conditioning). His .296 OPS against right-handed pitching is not good, and the
portly Viciedo should try and get a few more balls in the air (55.2 GB%). The
Sox reportedly still consider him the third-baseman-of-the-future, but the ‘09
season was certainly a step back in that regard. If he is just 20 years old,
though, Viciedo has time on his side.
6. C.J. Retherford, 3B/2B, Double-A
DOB: August 1985
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2007 non-drafted free agent – Arizona State University
MLB ETA: Mid-2010
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
With Dayan Viciedo and Brent Morel around him, Retherford was shifted to second
base in ‘09, after spending the previous two seasons at the hot corner. An
un-drafted collegian, the 24-year-old prospect has battled his way up the
organizational ladder by hitting more than .295 each season. If he can stick at
second base, then his power potential increases from average-to-below-average
at third to above-average at second base. Although he hit just 10 homers at
double-A, Retherford did manage 46 doubles (.176 ISO). His overall line was
.297/.340/.473, which was hurt to a degree by his 5.9% walk rate. He did keep
the strikeout rate down, as well, at 14.6%. Worst-case scenario, Retherford
should have a nice career as a bench/utility player.
7. Clevelan Santeliz, RHP, Double-A
DOB: September 1986
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2004 non-drafted international free agent (Venezuela)
MLB ETA: Late-2010
40-Man Roster: Yes
Options: 2
Repertoire: 89-95 mph fastball, slider, change-up
His control may not have been much better in ‘09 (5.59 BB/9) but something
clicked for Santeliz, who saw his FIP drop from around 5.50 in ‘08 to 3.73.
With his control issues, the right-hander is going to struggle in the Majors,
but the club will look for another step forward in 2010. He did keep his hits
down to just 43 in 56.1 innings and his strikeout rate was 8.31 K/9. Despite
modest ground-ball rates (41%), Santeliz allowed just two homers all season.
Right-handed batters hit .207 against him, and his walk rate was just 3.93.
Obviously, the problem is with left-handers who posted a 7.20 BB/9 rate against
him, and also had a .256 average. He has closer stuff at times, but control and
consistency continues to elude him.
8. John Ely, RHP, Double-A
DOB: May 1986
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2007 3rd round – University of Miami (Ohio)
MLB ETA: Late-2010
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
Repertoire: 88-92 mph fastball, curveball, plus change-up
The opposite of Santeliz, Ely is a pitcher who utilizes solid command/control
to help compensate for a below-average heater. The right-hander has the
potential to be a solid back-of-the-rotation starter, although he’d be better
off starting in the National League. In the AL, his future may be in the
bullpen. Ely’s win-loss record was impressive in ‘09 at 14-2, but we know
that says little-to-nothing about his value as a prospect. He did keep the hits
down with 140 allowed in 156.1 innings, but his BABIP of .293 certainly helped.
Ely’s walk rate hit a career high in ‘09 at double-A but it was just 2.88
BB/9. Unfortunately, his strikeout rate has diminished with each promotion in
the minors and hit a career-low 7.20 K/9 this past season. After having some
homer problems in ‘08 (1.11 HR/9), he solved those in ‘09 (0.52 HR/9) thanks
to a +50% ground-ball rate. Ely struggled against left-handed hitters by
posting a walk rate of 4.52 BB/9 and a .277 average (.341 BABIP). His
average-allowed against right-handed batters was .215 (.257 BABIP) and his walk
rate was just 1.55 BB/9.
9. Gregory Infante, RHP, High-A
DOB: July 1987
Bats: R Throws: R
Signed: 2006 non-drafted international free agent (Venezuela)
MLB ETA: Mid-2011
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
Repertoire: 89-95 mph fastball, curveball, change-up
The White Sox organization loves hard-throwers and Infante is another one,
although he’s still quite a ways from the Majors, having appeared in just six
games above low-A. The right-hander began the year in low-A and allowed 76 hits
in 88.1 innings, while posting a strikeout rate of 7.64 K/9. He did a
respectable job of keeping the ball in the park at 0.41 HR/9 thanks to an OK
ground-ball rate of 45.6%. The prospect did also receive a taste of high-A ball
in ‘09 and he should head back there in 2010. Like some of the pitchers above
him on the list, Infante also struggled against left-handed batters. On the
plus side, he has better control (although it’s inconsistent) than some of the
other big arms in the system. A starter for now, his future probably lies in
the back-end of the bullpen.
10. Santos Rodriguez, LHP, Low-A
DOB: January 1988
Bats: L Throws: L
Signed: 2006 non-drafted international free agent (Dominican Republic)
MLB ETA: Late-2011
40-Man Roster: No
Options: 3
Repertoire: 90-95 mph fastball, slider, change-up
Obtained from Atlanta in the Javier Vazquez trade despite pitching in rookie
ball, Rodriguez has impressed the organization with his strong arm from the
left side. Unfortunately, his walk rate of 5.67 BB/9 in rookie ball was not
something to write home about in ‘09. Hitters did struggle to make contact
against him with a strikeout rate of 14.00 K/9 and just 18 hits in 27.0 innings
of work. Rodriguez also did not allow a home run, despite allowing his fair
share of fly balls (something he’ll need to trim down as he climbs the
ladder). His line-drive rate of 7.5% was quite impressive. The southpaw handled
right-handed batters well in ‘09, with a .174 batting-average-allowed. If he
can trim his walk rates, Rodriguez has a future as a late-game reliever.
(這篇是出自fangraphs的網站。)
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