[情報] Kyle Drabek Scouting Report
Kyle Drabek Scouting Report
by Denny Foster
March 20, 2010
(出處:http://ppt.cc/iZli ;原文有連續的圖片)
Kyle Drabek has a ton of potential but has plenty of work to do in order to
meet that potential. I had a chance to see him in action at Blue Jays Minor
League Camp on Friday, March 19. Through he could someday feature four
average or better offerings, currently only his curveball is consistent
enough to be considered a plus pitch. Drabek's delivery has a couple of
significant flaws, stemming from one important issue: his arm action.
Four-Seam Fastball
Drabek's four-fastball was a bit of a question mark. Sitting 91-93 MPH, he
was able to frequently locate it within the zone. The issue, however lies in
his movement, or lack thereof. Drabek's fastball was one the straightest I’
ve seen thus far in spring training. Topping out at 94 -- one time -- he
overthrew his fastball on occasion, leaving it up and out of the zone. He
also lost a few MPH on his fastball after two innings. While it has the
potential to be an above-average pitch, Drabek's four-seam fastball is
currently no better than average. Triple-A hitters were able to hit it
regularly with pop.
Curveball
His curveball may be the antithesis of his straight four-seamer. It was a
plus offering yesterday and could be plus-plus in the future. Utilizing large
1-to-7 break, he was able to locate it consistently, locking up hitters in
the process. Drabek's curveball sat at 78 MPH. He didn't throw it as often as
I would have guessed, but he may have been working on his other, less stellar
pitches. With excellent movement and command, Drabek is able to utilize his
curveball as an out-pitch. It was his go-to offering when he had hitters in
two-strike counts.
Changeup
Drabek threw a steady dose of changeups. But it quickly became apparent that
the 82-83 MPH offering currently is no more than average, as it wasn’t
consistent (through 3+ IP). I say it was inconsistent because he battled
through periods of control issues. In addition to his inability to
consistently locate, he wasn’t able to sustain movement. It seemed that
about half of his changeups lacked movement while the other half ran down and
in to righties. With the combination of Drabek's lack of control and
movement, hitters had no problem laying off anything remotely out of the
zone. Drabek's change occasionally flashed above-average potential. The pitch
as a whole needs work. Right now, it's not effective against
below-replacement-level players.
Two-Seam Fastball
His two-seam fastball sat at 91 MPH in the first two innings or so and
dropped to 88-90 in innings three and four. No matter what the velocity, he
was able to get decent down and in movement on a righthander. His location
varied but was pretty solid throughout the outing. He struggled throwing the
pitch against lefthanded hitters, where he seemed to miss an inch or two
outside. He was able to induce three to four ground outs with his two-seamer
when he kept it down in the zone. Like his change-up, it was too inconsistent
to call more than an average pitch right now. But the potential is definitely
there, as shown by some of the movement and command. With some work, he
should see a few more groundballs his two-seamer.
Slider
His slider looked to be a work in progress, as he only threw it twice
yesterday. Hitting 83 MPH on the gun, both pitches ended up in the dirt,
making it hard to get an idea of the movement. It became obvious that
Drabek's slider isn’t something the Blue Jays are stressing currently. It
may, however, be something to watch this season, as he could integrate the
pitch more as he gains comfort and confidence.
Mechanics
Starting slightly offset before beginning his motion, Drabek has a very
smooth looking delivery. He takes a very small step toward first base before
raising his leg to his jersey letters. He has a very balanced power stance,
with his back leg slightly bent and his hands still together before he begins
his delivery to the plate. As his leg begins to drop, he drops his hands
simultaneously, allowing for plenty of time to start his arm circle. Watching
from the time his hands separate, a potential issue develops as his stride
foot lands before he completes his arm circle. His arm is far from up as he
begins his turn. This causes a significant amount of stress on the shoulder,
as he has to work hard to get his arm in a position to throw.
To compensate for the amount of effort he employs to get his arm up and
maintain velocity, Drabek naturally leans to the first base side of the
mound. This helps to force his arm to a fully cocked position, and thus ready
it to deliver the pitch. By leaning drastically to compensate for his late
arm action, his balance is compromised.
Looking at his mechanics as a whole, Drabek's arm enters the driveline
drastically late, enough so to effect his balance and ability to locate his
pitches. This is an issue that also causes plenty of stress on a shoulder,
which makes me wonder about his ability to stay healthy enough to handle a
starter's workload.
Conclusion
As it stands now, I think Drabek may need another full year of seasoning
before making the jump to the major league level, that is unless he makes
considerable progress with his pitches and mechanics. The guy I saw yesterday
would be no more than a No. 4-5 starter if inserted into a rotation next
week. Drabek could turn into a solid No. 3 starter. He won't be a No. 1-2
unless he figures out a way to add a few MPH to his four-seamer or more
movement to his two-seamer.
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