[情報] New York Mets Top 20 Prospects for 2011
New York Mets Top 20 Prospects for 2011
by John Sickels on Oct 29, 2010 2:15 PM EDT
1) Wilmer Flores, SS, Grade B+: He's coming around with the bat. How fast
will the new regime push him, and what position will he play long-term?
2) Jenrry Mejia, RHP, Grade B: I'm concerned enough about his health to lower
his grade a notch, but I still like him. Not a technical rookie due to
service time, but under the innings limit and people ask about him.
3) Matt Harvey, RHP, Grade B: Love the power arm, but lingering questions
about his command keep him from higher grade at this point.
4) Aderlin Rodriguez, 3B, Grade B-: I am very impressed with his power but
concerned about defense and reports of bad work ethic.
5) Fernando Martinez, OF, Grade B-: Stock is starting to slip. Still young,
still has potential, but development hampered by injuries and poor handling
by previous front office. May need change of scenery.
6) Cory Vaughn, OF, Grade B-: Tools are excellent. If he maintains the
improved approach he showed in the NY-P, he'll blossom.
7) Juan Urbina, LHP, Grade B-: Highly projectable but a long way from the
majors. Grade is somewhat aggressive but I like what I hear about him.
8) Reese Havens, 2B, Grade C+: Would rank higher with at least a B- or a B if
he could stay healthy.
9) Lucas Duda, OF-1B, Grade C+: Older prospect, turned on the power this
year, should be a useful bat.
10) Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF, Grade C+: I think he'll be a useful fourth
outfielder but if he can refine his skills further he could be a decent
starter. I originally had him at 14 on this list, but looking at it again
that was too low. That said, he's got some weaknesses with contact that have
to be addressed. But he's younger and more athletic than Lutz and needs to
rank ahead of him.
11) Zach Lutz, 3B, Grade C+: A third base version of Duda; lots of power,
other skills marginal.
12) Cesar Puello, OF, Grade C+: Others may rank him higher due to speed and
tools. Very young, fast, lack of power is a concern, many similar players
have failed and something is making me cautious here.
13) Jeurys Familia, RHP, Grade C+: Still like the arm, could bloom if control
sharpens up again. He's actually a sleeper again.
14) Armando Rodriguez, RHP, Grade C+: Scouting reports point to mediocre
stuff, but excellent statistics.
15) Sean Ratliff, OF, Grade C+: Was Double-A breakout genuine or a fluke? Has
always had power, but strikeouts held him back.
16) Albert Cordero, C, Grade C+: Sleeper catching prospect features good
glove, power, but needs to tighten strike zone.
17) Matt Den Dekker, OF, Grade C+: I think he can be a good fourth outfielder.
18) Darrell Ceciliani, OF, Grade C+: Younger and faster than Den Dekker and
Nieuwenhuis, but less polished.
19) Jefry Marte, 3B, Grade C+: Improved slightly and very young.
20) Mark Cohoon, LHP, Grade C+: Finesse lefty could reach majors in '11.
21) Dillon Gee, RHP, Grade C: He can eat up innings but I think his ceiling
is limited.
OTHERS: Kyle Allen, RHP; Manuel Alvarez, RHP; Eric Campbell, OF-3B; Robert
Carson, LHP; Jose De La Torre, RHP; Ryan Fraser, RHP; James Fuller, LHP; Erik
Goeddel, RHP; Kai Gronauer, C; Brian Harrison, 3B; Brad Holt, RHP; Vincente
Lupo, OF; Steve Matz, LHP; Elvis Sanchez, 3B; Josh Satin, 2B-1B; Robbie
Shields, SS; Justin Turner, 2B; Jordany Valdespin, INF.
The Mets farm system is not bad; they have a large number of Grade C+
prospects, some of them potential role players and others possible regulars
who have question-marks. The exact order of the Grade C+ players is difficult
to determine. If you are looking for long-term potential then you should move
the younger guys ahead of Duda and Lutz.
I am impressed with the depth in C+ guys. What the Mets lack are surefire
elite types; even their best prospects (Flores, Mejia, Harvey, Aderlin,
F-Mart, etc) have some sort of problem or doubt that prevents a higher grade
at this point.
There is great potential for improvement here. Aderlin-R, Vaughn, Urbina,
Puello, Familia, Armando-R, Cordero and Ceciliani are all capable of having
breakouts leading to higher grades next year. Recent Latin American signees
Lupo and Sanchez could be excellent but I am cautious until we see them in
North America. Robbie Shields strikes me as someone to watch closely the
further he gets from Tommy John. Havens could be really good if he just stays
healthy.
The Mets are aggressive in Latin America but fairly passive in the draft.
Will the new front office change that? Overall, this organization will be
fascinating to watch in 2011.
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