[情報] Washington Nationals Top 20 Prospects for 2011
Washington Nationals Top 20 Prospects for 2011
by John Sickels on Nov 27, 2010 7:00 PM EST
1) Bryce Harper, OF, Grade A: The hype is justified.
2) Derek Norris, C, Grade B+: Could be another Mickey Tettleton or Gene
Tenace, low batting average slugger with a high walk rate. I am more
optimistic about his glove than some people.
3) Danny Espinosa, INF, Grade B: Borderline B+. Don't expect a great batting
average, but should do everything else well. A lot of people seem to like him
slightly more than I do, but I worry that the batting average and OBP may be
lower than expected.
4) Sammy Solis, LHP, Grade B: Probably won't need much minor league time.
5) A.J. Cole, RHP, Grade B: One of my favorite high school pitchers from the
2010 draft, I like the fact they put out the money to sign him.
6) Wilson Ramos, C, Grade B-: Like the glove. The bat I have mixed feelings
about, expect some good years and some bad ones.
7) Robbie Ray, LHP, Grade B-: Another '10 high school pitcher I like a lot,
projectable and athletic lefty. Grade is aggressive.
8) Michael Burgess, OF, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Power, arm strength, don't
expect batting average.
9) Eury Perez, OF, Grade C+: Intriguing speed demon, small-ball guy, bunts,
fields well. Will he hit at higher levels?
10) Rich Hague, SS, Grade C+: I like the bat, but the glove looks like a
problem.
11) Cole Kimball, RHP, Grade C+: Looks like he can help in relief very
quickly.
12) J.P. Ramirez, OF, Grade C+: Breakthrough candidate with the bat.
13) Chris Marrero, 1B, Grade C+: Well, he can hit...but probably not enough
to be a first baseman for a good team.
14) Steve Lombardozzi, 2B, Grade C+: I seem to like him more than other
people, but the guy can field and has hit well for two years.
15) Brad Meyers, RHP, Grade C+: Strike-thrower who has been a favorite of
mine for awhile, missed most of season with a foot injury>
16) Brad Peacock, RHP, Grade C+: FIPs are consistently better than his ERAs,
and he has a good arm.
17) A.J. Morris, RHP, Grade C+: I like him better than the numbers say I
should.
18) Tyler Moore, 1B, Grade C: I realize that other sources and most Nationals
fans rank him much higher, probably due to his hot second half. But he's
older than Marrero, a level behind him, and I don't like the reports about
holes in his swing or his BB/K ratio.
19) Tom Milone, LHP, Grade C: Great Double-A numbers of course despite lack
of stuff. I might be underestimating him.
20) Daniel Rosenbaum, LHP, Grade C: Tom Milone Part Two?
OTHERS OF NOTE: Adrian Alaniz, RHP; Justin Bloxom, 1B; Adam Carr, RHP; Paul
Demny, RHP; Dave Freitas, C; Tyler Hanks, RHP; Destin Hood, OF; Taylor
Jordan, RHP; Blake Kelso, INF; Jeff Kobernus, 2B; Jason Martinson, INF;
Yunesky Maya, RHP; Randolph Oduber, OF; Tanner Roark, RHP; Atahualpa
Severino, LHP; Josh Smoker, LHP; Josh Wilkie, RHP; Rob Wort, RHP.
I fully buy into Bryce Harper, and I don't know what else to say about him
really. If he keeps his head on straight and avoids injuries, he's going to
be excellent.
Beyond him, there isn't a huge amount of upside, beyond the exceptions of
projectable high school arms A.J. Cole and Robbie Ray. Norris and Espinosa
look like strong productive regulars though they won't win batting titles.
There are several guys who could be good utility infielders, some who should
be useful mid-to-back-end rotation guys, several potential bullpen options
and role players.
It isn't a bad system by any means, but an awful lot rides on the shoulders
of Bryce Harper.
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