[情報] Los Angeles Dodgers Top 20 Prospects for 2011
Los Angeles Dodgers Top 20 Prospects for 2011
by John Sickels on Dec 30, 2010 6:00 PM EST
1) Dee Gordon, SS, Grade B: I still love the speed and athleticism, but he
needs to do a better job using it. Stolen base success ratio and error rates
are troublesome.
2) Jerry Sands, 1B-OF, Grade B: I think his bat is for real, should be a very
productive power hitter. Ranks behind Gordon due to future position value but
that is not a knock on Sands.
3) Trayvon Robinson, OF, Grade B: Has dramatically improved his skills the
last two years and has always had the tools.
4) Kenley Jansen, RHP, Grade B: You have to love the stuff, so good he's
effective even without stellar command. Does he close?
5) Rubby De La Rosa, RHP, Grade B: I'm not sure he gets his due. Love the
fastball and grounders, would like to see a few more strikeouts, does he
start or relieve?
6) Zach Lee, RHP, Grade B: Would rank higher than Jansen and De La Rosa on
pure long-term projection, but I want to see some pro data first. Struggles
of other young RH power guys in the system have made me cautious. If all goes
well, Lee can be number one next year.
7) Chris Withrow, RHP, Grade B-: This grade is generous if you only look at
his performance, but I still like the upside.
8) Aaron Miller, LHP, Grade B-: Command collapse in Double-A is worrisome,
but will try again this year and power lefties aren't that easy to find.
9) Allen Webster, RHP, Grade B-: I like him, and he doesn't get the attention
he deserves on a national basis. Could zoom up the list.
10) Ethan Martin, RHP, Grade C+: I have no idea how to rank him. You can slot
him much lower. His second half was scary-bad.
11) Scott Elbert, LHP, Grade C+: He looked great in the Arizona Fall League.
Will he throw strikes? Is his head on straight?
12) Leon Landry, OF, Grade C+: A personal favorite, broad range of skills,
but need to see him outside the Pioneer League.
13) Kyle Russell, OF, Grade C+: Love the power, hate the strikeouts.
14) Garrett Gould, RHP, Grade C+: Pioneer League performance wasn't hot,
although scouts still seem to like him. Transition to full season ball will
be enlightening.
15) Brian Cavazos-Galvez, OF, Grade C+: This will seem low to some Dodgers
fans. I like what he's done so far, but the miniscule walk rate and
age-relative-to-league make me wonder if he'll keep it up.
16) James Baldwin, OF, Grade C+: Had strike zone problems in rookie ball.
Great tools, and for some non-objective reason I think he could improve
quickly.
17) Jake Lemmerman, SS, Grade C+: Another college guy who tore up the Pioneer
League. I like him, but rank him behind Landry since I'm not sure his tools
will transition as well. Good skills though.
18) Javier Solano, RHP, Grade C+: If you want someone who will help faster,
move him up the list. Should be a good middle man.
19) Matt Magill, RHP, Grade C+: Good numbers in the Midwest League, scouting
opinion about him seems very mixed, some like his stuff, some don't. Deserves
a full shot at higher levels.
20) Jonathan Garcia, OF, Grade C+: Toolsy Pioneer League guy might break out
if he keeps the zone under control.
OTHERS OF NOTE: Steve Ames, RHP; Ralston Cash, RHP; Blake Dean, 1B; Ivan
DeJesus, 2B; Tony Delmonico, C; Nathan Eovaldi, RHP; Josh Lindblom, RHP; Joc
Pederson, OF; Jamie Pedroza, OF: Alfredo Silverio, OF; Blake Smith, OF:
Angelo Songco, OF; Shawn Tolleson, RHP; Greg Wilborn, LHP; J.T. Wise, C;
Rafael Ynoa, 2B.
I found many of the players in this system very difficult to grade and rank.
You can make a case for B+ for all of the Grade B guys: Gordon, Sands,
Robinson, Jansen, and Lee; I went back and forth on every one of them, but
each has some sort of issue that held me back. Grades on all of those guys
may change when I start working on the Top 50/50 list next week and rank them
against other players from other organizations.
Then there is the huge mass of B-/C+ types, very hard to rank. Withrow,
Miller, Martin, Elbert, all of them have great arms but all of them had
something go wrong this year that makes me wonder if they will reach their
full potential, Martin especially. I have no idea where to slot him on the
list, you could put him anywhere between 10 and 20 and make a case for it.
I'm quite fond of Landry, but I want to see what both he and Lemmerton do
against better competition. Russell and Cavazos-Galvez are a mixture of
conspicuous strengths and weaknesses.
All in all, the Dodgers system has a lot of very intriguing raw material in
it, but there are a huge number of questions as well. It is not a thin
system, but even the elite guys at the top have a doubt or two.
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