[情報] 10 International Prospects to Watch
Future Shock
January 17, 2011
by Kevin Goldstein
The overwhelming majority of big-league rosters are still stocked with
Americans, Canadians, and players from the two Latin American pipelines
of Venezuela and the Dominican Republic. Still, the game continues to
expand its global reach, with particular emphasis placed lately on both
Europe and Africa. With that in mind, here are 10 prospects—of varying
abilities—who could end up in the majors in the near future. In
addition, the wide range of home countries of the guys on this list
serves as evidence of the changing international market.
Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta Braves (Colombia)
Venezuela's neighbor to the west has yet to become a hotbed for baseball
talent, but it has produced veteran shortstops Orlando Cabrera and Edgar
Renteria. Mound talent from Columbia consists of Arizona Diamondbacks
reliever Emiliano Fruto and San Diego Padres reliever Ernesto Frieri.
Teheran, whose uncle is a scout, was the best pitcher in the 2007
international signing class, and three years later he's arguably the top
pitching prospect in the game. His combination of power stuff and
advanced command gives him true ace potential, and he has struck out
more than a man per inning in his minor-league career. Although he is
still a few days shy of his 20th birthday, Teheran is slated to begin
the year at Double-A, and could be in the big leagues before he's 21.
Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Kansas City Royals (Nicaragua)
While Dennis Martinez is still baseball's most famous import from
Nicaragua, the top position player remains former San Francisco Giants
outfielder Marvin Benard. While he's only 18 years old and, as a result,
still far away from breaking into the big leagues, Cuthbert has a shot
at changing all of that. The recipient of a $1.35 million bonus in 2009,
Cuthbert showed impressive hitting skills in his pro debut, and scouts
also walked away impressed with his defense, projecting him to be above
average both with the bat and the glove. He'll make his full-season
debut in 2011, and because he's coming up in baseball's best system,
there's no need to rush him.
Luis Heredia, LHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Mexico)
Mexico tends to be a place where teams find fringe help, as
organizations often uncover veteran finesse pitchers who can throw
strikes, spin a breaking ball and carry themselves well at Triple-A in
the event that a need arrives. Heredia changed this dynamic during the
summer by becoming the first top international pitcher to hail from
Mexico. The suddenly aggressive Pirates took notice, signing the 16-
year-old Heredia for $2.6 million. Already 6-foot-6 and throwing in the
lower 90s, to say he's projectable doesn't do the word (or the player)
justice. At the same time, however, like many on this list, he's eons
away from the majors, so there is plenty of time for things to get in
the way of his development.
Max Kepler, OF, Minnesota Twins (Germany)
While Kepler's .286/.346/.343 line last season in the rookie-level Gulf
Coast League might not impress at first glance, for many scouts, and
even the Twins, it was a revelation. Kepler was given the largest bonus
ever for a European position player at $800,000, and few expected
anything more from him than a simple acclimation year, but his
athleticism allowed him to more than hold his own during his pro debut.
The son of ballet dancers (his mother is American), Kepler doesn't turn
18 until February and has the potential to be a true five-tool talent.
But even something like a 2016 big-league debut should be considered
optimistic.
Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Korea)
While power righty Chris Archer was the key to this month's Matt Garza
deal, Lee was the best position player heading to Tampa in the trade.
Few teams are busier in Asia, and the 20-year-old was always seen as the
prize of the Cubs' work after signing for $725,000 in 2008.
His full-season debut was more of a hit than a miss—he posted a .354
OBP at Low-A Peoria—but hardly perfect. Nevertheless, while there's not
much star potential here, scouts still think he can play every day as a
shortstop with above-average defense and speed to go along with an
offense that features a solid ability to hit for average. He'll head to
High-A this year, and could apply some pressure to 2008 first overall
pick Tim Beckham, one of the few bad stories out of Tampa's system of
late.
Alex Liddi, 3B, Seattle Mariners (Italy)
Everyone knew that Liddi's 2009 batting line of .345/.411/.594 was a
product of High Desert, the best hitting environment in the offense-
heavy California league, but he did more than enough at Double-A last
year to prove that he's really advanced his skills, hitting
.281/.353/.476 in a far more neutral environment. Strikeouts and below-
average defense will always be issues for Liddi, but scouts think some
of his doubles will turn into home runs as his game matures—which could
make up for his shortcomings.
Andrei Lobanov, LHP, Twins (Russia)
Sometimes it's just about putting your flag down, and that's the case
with Lobanov as the Twins have long been known for their ability to find
players in the dusty corners of the world. While Lobanov doesn't touch
90 mph with his fastball, he still compiled a 2.64 ERA between two A-
ball levels in 2010, and scouts give him an outside chance of turning
into a left-on-left specialist. Anything the Twins get out of Lobanov is
gravy, as Eastern Europe is more of a long-term play at this point.
Gift Ngoepe, 2B, Pirates (South Africa)
The first black South African player to sign in the States, Ngoepe first
caught the eyes of scouts with his performance in the World Baseball
Classic, but he actually grew up around the game, as he was all but
raised on the field of a local club team where his mother worked as a
maid and maintenance person. After hitting .205/.315/.319 in the short-
season New York-Penn League last year, he's a long shot to reach the
show, but he does have above-average speed and a good approach. Like the
Twins with Lobanov, this is a situation where the Pirates are hoping
that in the future, when a more highly regarded talent from South Africa
comes down the pike, he'll remember it was Pittsburgh that took a chance
on Ngoepe.
Zhi-Fang Pan, 2B, Oakland Athletics (Taiwan)
Taiwan has become a major player in the international market, with many
players getting six-figure bonuses. Included in this group is Pan, who
signed for $125,000. Taiwan is unique in that Japan represents a big
competitor for the top talent, and while major-league teams are usually
willing to outbid NPB teams, the secondary talent still tends to go to
Japan. Pan is still more of a sleeper than a true prospect, but his
.331/.386/.439 stateside debut in the rookie-level Arizona League did
open some eyes because of his quick bat and decent speed. With more and
more teams sending scouts to Taiwan, the result has been that more
Taiwanese players are landing on minor-league rosters, and the total of
six players from the country to play in the big leagues should grow.
Junichi Tazawa, RHP, Boston Red Sox (Japan)
The question with Tazawa is this: Is his signing officially a failed
experiment, or is the jury still out? While most Japanese players begin
their careers in the Japanese professional leagues before coming
stateside in the antiquated posting system, Tazawa bucked the trend by
telling local teams not to draft him and then signing a major-league
deal with the Red Sox. After reaching the majors in 2009 and looking
like a potential back-of-the-rotation piece, Tazawa missed all of 2010
rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. If his story was a bigger success, it
could have led to a more consistent flow of Japanese amateur talent to
the States, but for now, his slowed progress serves more to provide a
note of caution.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12737
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 118.160.67.59
推
01/23 22:57, , 1F
01/23 22:57, 1F
推
01/23 23:16, , 2F
01/23 23:16, 2F
Prospect 近期熱門文章
PTT體育區 即時熱門文章
107
140