[情報] Keith Law's 2011 Top Prospects: 101-110
Here they are, the near-misses for the Top 100:
Position players
Brett Jackson, CF, Chicago Cubs:
In effect, Jackson is player No. 101 this year, as he was for the last
cut. He projects as an average big league regular at this point, solid
across the board but lacking a plus tool. He tore apart the Florida State
League and hit the ground running in Double-A, but after those first four
games in the Southern League he hit .258/.352/.426 the rest of the way,
striking out in more than a quarter of his at-bats. He's a big leaguer,
and a prospect, but I have always swung this list toward higher-risk
upside guys.
Austin Romine, C, NY Yankees:
He can throw and hit for power, but has struggled with basic receiving
tasks every time I've seen him in the past six months, something I've
confirmed with other pro scouts. And I'm not sold on the hit tool.
Josh Vitters, 3B, Chicago Cubs:
Swing is still beautiful, and in the Fall League he played third base as
well as I've ever seen him play. But he doesn't walk or even work the
count -- he sees a pitch he likes and lets 'er rip -- which won't work in
the big leagues. And he's not making any progress on that front.
Jared Mitchell, OF, Chicago White Sox:
He missed the year with a knee injury and looked rusty (but in excellent
physical shape) in the Fall League. He has to show how much of his pre-
injury speed he retained after the injury to see how well he projects,
because his legs were a significant part of his game.
Pitchers
Chris Carpenter, RHP, Chicago Cubs:
If I was sure he could start, he'd have been on the list, and not in the
90s. It's big stuff, up to 99 mph in relief in the Fall League and in the
low to mid-90s as a starter with a four-pitch mix including a slider that
flashes above-average. He has been healthy for two-plus years, but the
Cubs have kept him that way by being cautious with his workload, and he
may not be able to handle 180 innings a year. In relief, though, he could
have an impact this year as a setup man or seventh-inning guy.
Chris Dwyer, LHP, Kansas City:
Pretty strong consideration not just for the Top 100 (he'd be No. 102
after Jackson) but also to put over Danny Duffy within the Royals' system;
his changeup improved this year and the high walk total masks a tweak to
his delivery that saw him walk nine men in his past 50 innings in high-A.
Dwyer finished the year with a minor back issue and he's topped out around
100 innings each of the past two years.
Jay Jackson, RHP, Chicago Cubs:
One of my favorite starter prospects before 2010, Jackson saw his velocity
dip at the end of the summer, a malady that also helped knock Dodgers
prospect Chris Withrow off the list.
Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Kansas City:
Athletic and projectable with a very clean delivery, but lack of a solid-
average breaking ball kept him off the list.
Alex White, RHP, Cleveland:
Two-pitch starters end up as relievers more often than not. White could
miss a ton of bats in relief with just the splitter, but I don't see an
average breaking ball yet and am not certain that it's coming.
Luis Heredia, RHP, Pittsburgh:
Heredia received a $2.6 million bonus from Pittsburgh, a record for a
Mexican amateur player, and will sit in the low 90s already with a good
feel for the fastball. He's very well-developed physically for a 16-year-
old, with a big frame and the potential to get heavy, which is more of a
long-term concern, but the lack of pro experience and questions about the
quality of the off-speed stuff kept him off the list.
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