[情報] Biggest prospect flops of 2011

看板Prospect作者Westmoreland (Westy)時間13年前 (2012/01/03 15:01)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)

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http://t.co/kl2u8U4q By Kevin Goldstein Domonic Brown, OF, Philadelphia Phillies The last time we saw the good version of Brown was mid-2010. Since then, he was called up to the big leagues but given inconsistent playing time, had a horrible spring training while trying to adjust his swing and didn't play especially well at any level in 2011. "I think it will happen for him, but I don't think it will happen in Philly," said a rival National League executive. "I bet he's gone by midseason in their next big trade." Kyle Drabek, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays Drabek entered the 2011 season as the Blue Jays' best prospect and a Rookie of the Year candidate but struggled with command and went backward following a demotion to Triple-A. Still, his stuff -- including a plus fastball and plus-plus curveball -- is still there. "I still like him a lot," said one scouting executive, adding that a move to the bullpen might better suit his pitch inefficiency and fiery makeup. Wilmer Flores, SS, New York Mets Flores has long been seen as one of the Mets' top prospects, but that's mostly been because of his age and level. In 2011, he proved to still be more potential than reality, and nobody thinks he can stay at shortstop long-term, putting even more pressure on the bat. "Sure he was good in the Sally League at 17, but he hasn't done much since," said one evaluator. "The tools don't even profile for a corner, which is where people will think he'll end up." Aaron Hicks, OF, Minnesota Twins Few prospects in baseball draw more diverse opinions than Hicks, who provides top-of-the-line tools and precious little to show for it on the stat sheet. With more than 1,500 minor league plate appearances, the 2008 first-round pick has hit .266/.377/.407 without reaching the upper levels. But while some are ready to give up on him, others have yet to waver in their belief. "I'd take him in a second," said one exec. "There are three things that never slump: patience, power and defense, and he has all three." Jose Iglesias, SS, Boston Red Sox When the Red Sox gave big money to the Cuban defector in 2009, the praise was universal for his glove work but there were plenty of questions about his bat. Iglesias shocked the industry by hitting .295 in 2010, but after a miserable .235/.285/.269 line at Triple-A Pawtucket in 2011, all of the concerns are back, even with the best defensive skills in the minors. "Sure he's a great defender, but he just can't hit a lick," said one scouting official. "For me, he's just Rey Ordonez, Part II." Trey McNutt, RHP, Chicago Cubs McNutt came out of nowhere in 2010, leaving scouts wondering how a big- framed power right-hander who can touch the upper 90s and back it up with a plus slider could last into the 32nd round. Spending the entire year in Double-A, McNutt struggled with a variety of maladies and didn't pitch well when healthy, finishing with a 4.55 ERA while allowing 120 hits in 95 innings. "I like him as a bounce-back candidate because he has really good stuff," said a scouting executive. "But our people had concerns about why he suddenly stopped missing bats." Mike Montgomery, LHP, Kansas City Royals The Royals entered 2011 with a quartet of impressive left-handers in the upper levels. While Danny Duffy had his moments in the big leagues, the other three went backward, as John Lamb had Tommy John surgery and Chris Dwyer and Montgomery scuffled with their mechanics (and therefore their command and control). Still, the stuff is still there, and that's what scouts look for. "I still like him a lot and think he could be in the Royals rotation at some point in 2012," said one scout, who added that his upside is more middle of the rotation than that of a future star. "More John Danks than Cole Hamels." Anthony Ranaudo, RHP, Red Sox Ranaudo entered the spring of 2010 as the best college pitcher in the country according to some, but elbow problems hurt his draft status, leading to him pitching his way to a $2.55 million bonus with a strong showing in the Cape Cod League. He impressed last year in the South Atlantic League, but scouting reports matched his substandard showing following a promotion to High-A. "He's overrated because of the bonus, the Cape showing, the size, the Red Sox, just everything," said one executive. "He maybe has a chance as a bottom rotation guy, but he isn't anything special." Another scout was even lower on him, pegging him as a future middle reliever. "His fastball is just good, no other pitch is plus, and if you had no idea of his background, he'd be just another guy." Tony Sanchez, C, Pittsburgh Pirates No prospect in the Pirates system took a bigger hit in 2011 than Sanchez, who entered the year with a shot at making the big leagues quickly but never got out of Double-A while limping to the finish with a batting line of .241/.340/.318. "He's a good defender, a great makeup guy, but the fact remains that he's just a fringy bat," said one scout. "I could see him one day playing every day for Pittsburgh, but he's not going to be a difference-maker." Tanner Scheppers, RHP, Texas Rangers The point at which Scheppers went south is clear. He started the 2010 season by dominating out of the bullpen and was on the verge of the big leagues when the Rangers decided to see if he could work as a starter. He's simply never been the same since, and a return to the bullpen has not brought his stuff all the way back to 2010 levels. "I think he's still a potential seventh- or eighth-inning guy, but I'd be wary of him in a deal," said one front office member. "There are a lot of red flags, from the control, the delivery, and most of all the injury history." -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.196.80