[情報] Minor League:Top 120 Prospect for 2012
From:by John Sickels on Feb 24, 2012 11:01 AM EST
http://ppt.cc/YKo-
Minor League Ball: Top 120 Prospects 2012
Here is a list of Top 120 Prospects for 2012.
In the past, I have avoided combining lists for hitters and pitchers,
preferring to separate them since they are different species. I still think
that is the right thing to do philosophically, but nobody seems to agree with
me on that, and demand for combined prospect lists is very high. So, here's a
combined list.
As with all such lists, the trick is finding a balance between short-term
expectation, closeness to the majors, and long-term potential. A list that
looks at nothing but long-term upside will look much different than a list
focused on players poised to make a quick impact. This list is a hybrid of
the two types and some of the rankings will reflect that.
I tend to lean towards guys close to the majors. For example, Lance Lynn is
ready to perform well in the majors right now. Taylor Guerrieri isn't.
Guerrieri does have a higher upside than Lynn, but he is also much, much
further away from the Show and has a considerably higher risk of failure.
Next year I would expect Guerrieri to rank much higher, with Lynn graduating
off the list.
It is a case-by-case thing. Just keep in mind that if your favorite
high-upside player doesn't rank as high as you think he should, that doesn't
mean that I don't like him or that I think he sucks or that I'm trying to
disrespect him. In many cases it just means we need more information or that
his career is just starting out.
Most of this list lines up just fine with the grades and ratings in the 2012
Baseball Prospect Book.. There are a few places in the 50-70 range, however,
where the hitter/pitcher comparison breaks down, with players right on the
borderline between B and B+. Mike Olt, for example, is a strong Grade B
prospect in the book, but a few of the pitchers listed after him on this list
are B+ guys in the book.
I am well aware of this inconsistency. It reflects what I write in the book
every year, that a letter grade is merely a shorthand notation, and that
grades for pitchers do not always directly correspond with grades for hitters.
My analysis and opinions are not static, and are constantly being revised and
reviewed. I intend to revise all the letter grades around Opening Day, and
this Top 120 is part of that process. Keep in mind that the book contains
reports and more detailed opinions on every guy on this list (along with 1085
other players).
Anyway, with all that said, I hope you enjoy the list. I will be around
on-and-off today to answer questions.
1) Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals
2) Matt Moore, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
3) Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels
4) Yu Darvish, RHP, Texas Rangers
5) Jurickson Profar, SS, Texas Rangers
6) Shelby Miller, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
7) Trevor Bauer, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
8) Manny Machado, SS, Baltimore Orioles
9) Jesus Montero, C, Seattle Mariners
10) Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta Braves
11) Gerrit Cole, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
12) Devin Mesoraco, C, Cincinnati Reds
13) Nolan Arenado, 3B, Colorado Rockies
14) Wil Myers, OF, Kansas City Royals
15) Taijuan Walker, RHP, Seattle Mariners
16) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
17) Yoenis Cespedes, OF, Oakland Athletics
18) Jacob Turner, RHP, Detroit Tigers
19) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
20) Anthony Rendon, 3B, Washington Nationals
21) Drew Pomeranz, LHP, Colorado Rockies
22) Jarrod Parker, RHP, Oakland Athletics
23) Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
24) Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
25) Danny Hultzen, LHP, Seattle Mariners
26) Travis D'Arnaud, C, Toronto Blue Jays
27) Brett Jackson, OF, Chicago Cubs
28) Yonder Alonso, 1B, San Diego Padres
29) James Paxton, LHP, Seattle Mariners
30) Xander Bogaerts, SS, Boston Red Sox
31) Miguel Sano, 3B, Minnesota Twins
32) Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Atlanta Braves
33) Carlos Martinez, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
34) Christian Yelich, OF, Miami Marlins
35) Matt Harvey, RHP, New York Mets
36) Zack Wheeler, RHP, New York Mets
37) Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Chicago Cubs
38) Bubba Starling, OF, Kansas City Royals
39) Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Kansas City Royals
40) Trevor May, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
41) Randall Delgado, RHP, Atlanta Braves
42) Yasmani Grandal, C, San Diego Padres
43) Gary Brown, OF, San Francisco Giants
44) Addison Reed, RHP, Chicago White Sox
45) Manny Banuelos, LHP, New York Yankees
46) Francisco Lindor, SS, Cleveland Indians
47) Jonathan Singleton, 1B, Houston Astros
48) Jake Marisnick, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
49) Josh Bell, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
50) Jedd Gyorko, 3B, San Diego Padres
51) Anthony Gose, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
52) A.J. Cole, RHP, Oakland Athletics
53) Michael Choice, OF, Oakland Athletics
54) Rymer Liriano, OF, San Diego Padres
55) George Springer, OF, Houston Astros
56) Kolten Wong, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals
57) Billy Hamilton, SS, Cincinnati Reds
58) Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Tampa Bay Rays
59) Nick Castellanos, 3B, Detroit Tigers
60) Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Kansas City Royals
61) Gary Sanchez, C, New York Yankees
62) Oscar Taveras, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
63) Nick Franklin, SS, Seattle Mariners
64) Starling Marte, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
65) Mike Olt, 3B, Texas Rangers
66) Jean Segura, INF, Los Angeles Angels
67) Noah Syndergaard, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
68) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Toronto Blue Jays
69) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
70) Daniel Norris, LHP, Toronto Blue Jays
71) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Philadelphia Phillies
72) Nestor Molina, RHP, Chicago White Sox
73) Drew Hutchison, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
74) Matt Barnes, RHP, Boston Red Sox
75) Zach Lee, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
76) Andrelton Simmons, SS, Atlanta Braves
77) Jonathan Schoop, SS, Baltimore Orioles
78) Will Middlebrooks, 3B, Boston Red Sox
79) Robbie Erlin, LHP, San Diego Padres
80) Deck McGuire, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
81) Joe Wieland, RHP, San Diego Padres
82) Keyvius Sampson, RHP, San Diego Padres
83) Martin Perez, LHP, Texas Rangers
84) Brad Peacock, RHP, Oakland Athletics
85) Sonny Gray, RHP, Oakland Athletics
86) Chad Bettis, RHP, Colorado Rockies
87) Nate Eovaldi, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
88) Derek Norris, C, Oakland Athletics
89) Brandon Jacobs, OF, Boston Red Sox
90) Eddie Rosario, 2B-OF, Minnesota Twins
91) Oswaldo Arcia, OF, Minnesota Twins
92) Mason Williams, OF, New York Yankees
93) Brandon Nimmo, OF, New York Mets
94) Mikie Mahtook, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
95) Jeurys Familia, RHP, New York Mets
96) Garrett Richards, RHP, Los Angeles Angels
97) Ryan Lavarnway, C, Boston Red Sox
98) Lance Lynn, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
99) Trevor Story, SS, Colorado Rockies
100) Wily Peralta, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
101) Mike Montgomery, LHP, Kansas City Royals
102) Alexander Torres, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
103) Dellin Betances, RHP, New York Yankees
104) Tyler Thornburg, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
105) Tim Wheeler, OF, Colorado Rockies
106) Allen Webster, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
107) Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
108) Jarred Cosart, RHP, Houston Astros
109) Javier Baez, 3B, Chicago Cubs
110) Matt Adams, 1B, St. Louis Cardinals
111) Cory Spangenberg, 2B, San Diego Padres
112) Casey Kelly, RHP, San Diego Padres
113) Jed Bradley, LHP, Milwaukee Brewers
114) Garin Cecchini, 3B, Boston Red Sox
115) Zack Cox, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
116) Leonys Martin, OF, Texas Rangers
117) Joe Panik, INF, San Francisco Giants
118) Robbie Grossman, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
119) Taylor Jungmann, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
120) Daniel Corcino, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
ALSO CONSIDERED: Tyler Anderson, LHP, Rockies; Joe Benson, OF, Twins; Dante
Bichette, Jr, 3B, Yankees; Cody Buckel, RHP, Rangers: Jose Campos, RHP,
Yankees: Andrew Chafin, LHP, Dbacks; Alex Colome, RHP, Rays: Casey Crosby,
LHP, Tigers; Jose Fernandez, RHP, Marlins; Sean Gilmartin, LHP, Braves; Brian
Goodwin, OF, Nationals; Garrett Gould, RHP, Dodgers; Johnny Hellweg, RHP,
Angels; Liam Hendriks, RHP, Twins; Alex Meyer, RHP, Nationals; Rougned Odor,
SS, Rangers: Andrew Oliver, LHP, Tigers; Marcell, Ozuna, OF, Marlins; Neil
Ramirez, RHP, Rangers: Trevor Rosenthal, RHP, Cardinals; Robbie Ross, LHP,
Rangers: Eduardo Sanchez, RHP; Cardinals: Drew Smyly, LHP, Tigers; Robert
Stephenson, RHP, Reds.
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