[情報] 2013 Draft Profile: Mark Appel
2013 DRAFTEES: Mark Appel
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MARK APPEL
Stanford RHP Mark Appel
Position: RHP
School: Stanford
Date of Birth: 07/15/1991
Height/Weight: 6-foot-5, 210 pounds
Bats/Throws: R/R
2013 Class: Senior
Previously Drafted: 2009, 15th Rd. Detroit Tigers; 2012, 1st Rd. (No. 8
overall) Pittsburgh Pirates
Achievements: 2012 National College Pitcher of the Year, 2012 1st Team
Collegiate Baseball All-American, 2012 1st Team NCBWA All-American, 2012 2nd
Team Baseball America All-American, 2012 2nd Team Perfect Game All-American,
2012 1st Team All-Pac 12, 2012 Stanford Regional Most Outstanding Player,
2011 USA Baseball Collegiate National Team, 2011 Named the #1 Prospect on
Team USA by Baseball America, 2011 Named the #2 Prospect on Team USA by
Perfect Game, 2011 Named the #2 Prospect in the CCBL by Perfect Game and was
a 2010 NECBL All-Star
What he brings: Appel has a four-seam fastball that he commands well and that
reportedly has touched the high-90s while sitting comfortably around 94-96.
He features what is widely described as a plus swing-and-miss changeup and a
breaking ball — typically characterized as a slider, though some note that
it more closely resembles a curveball at times — with above-average action.
Notes: On first appearance, Appel has the prototypical pitcher’s physique,
possessing the look of an innings-eater. He is tall and strong through his
core, allowing him to maintain balance and repeat his delivery. Some scouts
have likened him to a Matt Cain.
Statistically, in 2012 Appel found his stride. For Stanford he owned a 10-2
record with a 2.56 ERA in 16 games. In 2011 his ERA in the same amount of
starts was 3.02. In 2012 he threw 123 innings, a bump from his 104 1/3
innings workload in ’11.
That’s not the only area where he improved. He allowed 97 hits versus 107
the year before and struck out 130 batters versus 83 in 2011, with the
increased swing-and-miss rate contributing to his status as the consensus top
college pitching prospect in last June’s draft. His WHIP went from 1.278 in
2011 to 1.033 in 2012 with an impressive 0.79 H/9 ratio to boot; a
significant drop from the 1.028 H/9 he posted in 2011.
However, the availability of Appel in the 2013 draft will still come with a
looming question mark: His signability. The Scott Boras client was viewed as
a potential top pick in the 2012 draft; instead, he slipped to the Pirates at
No. 8 because teams harbored concerns that he would seek an over-slot bonus —
something that is more problematic than ever given the world of the new
Collective Bargaining Agreement, which establishes penalties for teams that
exceed a MLB-defined “draft bonus pool” for picks in the first 10 rounds.
The Pirates had a recommended slot of $2.9 million for the No. 8 pick. The
team offered $3.8 million — a sum that would have required the team to pay a
75 percent tax on the $900,000 over slot, and the maximum that Pittsburgh
could offer without forfeiting a future first round pick. But Appel rejected
the offer to return to school.
As a senior, his leverage diminishes. He no longer has the threat of going
back to school to pursue a degree and a College World Series title with
Stanford (his stated reasons for not signing).
Still, he’s a Boras client, and so the idea that he may try to max out or
exceed his recommended slot will represent a concern for teams that would
consider taking him. After all, under the new draft rules, teams with top-10
picks typically tried to sign their players for less than the slot
recommendation so that they could reallocate their money to draft picks in
subsequent rounds. Meanwhile, not only did Appel reject the $3.8 million of
the Pirates, but he also reportedly told the Astros he wouldn’t sign (if
taken with the No. 1 overall pick) for $6 million.
It’s difficult to imagine that Appel would forfeit the right to turn pro
while holding out for money. The closest thing to a precedent is somewhat
familiar to the Red Sox, however.
In 1993, Jason Varitek was taken in the first round out of Georgia Tech (No.
21 overall) by the Twins. He elected, however, to return to school for his
senior season, after which the Mariners drafted him in the first round (No.
14 overall) in 1994. Rather than sign immediately, Varitek held out for
almost a year, going so far as to agree to play for the independent league
St. Paul Saints before coming to terms with the Mariners just before the 1995
draft — ending the longest holdout ever to yield a signing in the history of
the draft at that time.
It remains to be seen whether Appel would go to the wire (he has less
leverage than did Varitek), but certainly, any team that takes the
right-hander will spend considerable time figuring out his interest in
signing before taking him.
--
"HARD WORK BEATS TALENT
WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD."
--
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