13 BA Top 10 Prospects with scouting report(1)
By Matt Eddy
December 5, 2012
With nine games to go in the regular season, the Rangers had the best record
in the American League and looked poised to make a run to their third
straight American League pennant. But when Texas lost seven of its final nine
contests, including five to the hard-charging Athletics, it ceded the AL West
crown to Oakland.
The A's defeated the Rangers 12-5 in the final game of the season, relegating
them to the AL Wild Card Game, which Texas lost at home to the Orioles by a
score of 5-1.
Much like his team, Josh Hamilton faded down the stretch. He seemed destined
for his second AL MVP award in three seasons when he batted .368/.420/.764
with 21 homers in the first two months, but he did little in June or July and
didn't homer in his final 52 at-bats of the season.
Rangers fans booed Hamilton lustily after he struck out twice and grounded
out weakly, seeing just eight pitches, in the wild-card game defeat. No doubt
they remembered that he dropped a routine flyball in center field the day
before to key an A's rally. The boos were a sign of how much expectations for
him—and the team—have changed during the last three seasons.
Hamilton will test free-agent waters this offseason, with a cloud of
uncertainty hovering over his potential return. If he departs Texas—as
premier free agents Cliff Lee and C.J. Wilson did following the 2010 and 2011
seasons—then the Rangers have the talent to replenish from within.
The roster retooling actually began in 2012, when the Rangers spent $111.7
million ($51.7 million posting fee, $60 million contract) to import Yu
Darvish from Japan. Rookie relievers Robbie Ross and Tanner Scheppers carved
out significant bullpen roles, while second-year lefty Michael Kirkman held
opponents to a .182 average.
Texas also gave a preview of coming attractions by promoting shortstop
Jurickson Profar and third baseman Mike Olt from Double-A before the end of
the season. Two of the game's top prospects, neither played much but could
carve out regular big league roles in 2013 despite being blocked by all-stars
Elvis Andrus and Adrian Beltre at their best positions.
For the third year in a row, the Rangers sacrificed minor league talent
during the season to strengthen the big league team. The most significant
losses came when they surrendered third baseman Christian Villanueva and
righthander Kyle Hendricks to acquire Ryan Dempster from the Cubs at the July
deadline.
In years past, trades for Mike Adams, Cliff Lee and Koji Uehara cost the
Rangers young players like Blake Beavan, Chris Davis, Robbie Erlin, Tommy
Hunter, Justin Smoak and Joe Wieland. That the system continues to thrive
even after the defections testifies to the job Texas does scouting at all
levels, domestic, international and professional.
The Rangers continue to be as active in Latin America as any club. One year
after committing $13.4 million in bonuses to sign Cuban outfielder Leonys
Martin and Dominican outfielders Ronald Guzman and Nomar Mazara, Texas agreed
to terms in February with Dominican outfielder Jairo Beras for $4.5 million.
MLB later suspended Beras for one year—though his contract was approved, and
he can be reinstated July 1—when it learned that the outfielder originally
had understated his age.
1.Jurickson Profar, ss
Born: Feb 20, 1993 B-T: B-R Ht.: 6-0 Wt.: 165
Signed: Curacao, '09 Signed by: Mike Daly/Chu Halabi/Jose Felomina
Background: Profar served as the bellwether for the Rangers'
renewed emphasis and success in Latin America. As an amateur in Curacao, he
garnered attention more as a pitcher with low-90s heat and feel for a
breaking ball, starring on a team that won the 2004 Little League World
Series. Texas acquiesced to his desire to play shortstop after signing him
for $1.55 million in 2009, and neither party has any regrets. No prospect
this side of Mike Trout has a better minor league resume than Profar. He
ranked as the top prospect in the short-season Northwest League in his 2010
pro debut, then for an encore won MVP honors in the low Class A South
Atlantic League in 2011 after posting an .883 OPS at age 18. He earned a
promotion to Double-A Frisco for 2012, skipping over high Class A entirely,
and ranked as not only the Texas League's youngest player (19) but also its
No. 1 prospect (ahead of, among others, BA Minor League Player of the Year
Wil Myers). Profar's body of work in the Futures Game includes a triple
against the Twins' Kyle Gibson in 2011 and a solo homer off the Royals' Jake
Odorizzi in 2012.
Scouting Report: To paraphrase one Rangers instructor, Profar may not have
the most power, the most speed or the strongest arm on the field, but
typically he's the best player out there. A natural righthanded hitter, he
learned to switch-hit after signing and now shows uncommon bat speed from
both sides of the plate, lending him more power than his lean 6-foot frame
suggests. Profar surprises some opponents with his pop—which is
above-average for a middle infielder—but he may have to tone down his swing
to maximize his overall production. He takes a disciplined approach to
hitting, with strong knowledge of the strike zone that ought to make him a
consistent .300 hitter in his prime. An above-average defender at shortstop,
Profar has instincts that outstrip his plus range. His hands and arm are
above-average as well. Some of his throws to first base tend to sail when he
gets on the side of the ball, but that's just a matter of adjustment. He has
solid speed and knows how to use it on the bases, stealing 16 bases in 20
tries in 2012. Observers rave about Profar's mental toughness, leadership
skills and grace under pressure. "He's all about winning and getting better,"
one club official said. As his body matures, he ought to hold up better under
the rigors of the long season.
The Future: When he signed, Profar told the Rangers he would reach the big
leagues by the time he was 20. He actually completed his journey five months
ahead of schedule last September and became the second-youngest player in
major league history to homer in his first at-bat. He played sporadically
down the stretch but made the Rangers' playoff roster for their wild-card
game against the Orioles. Even if he begins the 2013 season in Triple-A Round
Rock, Profar's talent probably will win out and result in a promotion to
Texas during the season. He likely will move to second base in deference to
Elvis Andrus, pushing Ian Kinsler to the outfield. Few prospects represent a
safer bet to develop into a first-division regular and future all-star than
Profar.
2. Mike Olt, 3b/1b
Born: Aug 27, 1988 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-2 Wt.: 210
Drafted: Connecticut, 2010 (1st round supplemental). Signed by: Jay Heafner
Background: The 49th overall pick in the 2010 draft, Olt raced to
Texas in little more than two years despite missing half of the 2011 season
after breaking his collarbone in a home-plate collision. He led the Double-A
Texas League with 28 homers and a .579 slugging percentage in 2012 before
being called up in August. Plantar fasciitis in his left foot kept him out of
the lineup for most of September.
Scouting Report: With plus raw power and strong hitting approach, Olt is a
threat to go deep anytime he steps to the plate. He works deep counts and
piles up both walks and strikeouts, so his average will settle in the
.260-.270 range. Pitchers have had success exploiting the length in his swing
by attacking him with high fastballs, and he continues to work to identify
and stay back on breaking balls. Scouts say Olt is a joy to watch
defensively, owing to his agility and ability to make throws from any angle.
He's a well below-average runner.
The Future: Like Profar, Olt has advanced rapidly thanks to his tools, work
ethic and mental toughness. He's blocked in Texas by Adrian Beltre, so a
shift to first base or an outfield corner could be in the works. A potential
all-star, he could open 2013 in the big league lineup or get a couple of
months in Triple-A.
3. Martin Perez, lhp
Born: Apr 4, 1991 B-T: L-L Ht.: 6-0 Wt.: 180
Signed: Venezuela '07 Signed by: Rafic Saab/Manny Batista/Don Welke
Background: Signed for $580,000, Perez sped to Double-A as an
18-year-old. His progress stalled in Triple-A the last two seasons, when he
posted a 4.86 ERA over 176 innings with pedestrian strikeout (5.4) and walk
(3.9) rates per nine innings. Called to Texas in late June as an injury
fill-in, he struggled to locate his pitches and got hit hard.
Scouting Report: Despite Perez's lackluster results, scouts continue to give
him positive evaluations for his above-average stuff, compact and repeatable
delivery, clean arm action and youth. His fastball sits at 91-92 mph and tops
out near 95, and his low-80s changeup gives him a second plus pitch at times.
His curveball ranges from the low to high 70s and often features depth. Perez
gets hit when he falls behind, so the Rangers introduced a two-seam fastball
and slider to his repertoire. That gave him two weapons with horizontal
action and a chance to induce groundouts early in counts.
The Future: While expectations for Perez have downshifted from future ace to
solid mid-rotation starter, he's a reasonable bet to get there. He seemed to
respond to a consultation with Rangers special assistant Greg Maddux during
the season, where the two reviewed pitch sequencing and game planning. Perez
could be ready for an expanded role in Texas in 2013.
4. Leonys Martin, of
Born: Mar 6, 1988 B-T: L-R Ht.: 6-2 Wt.: 190
Signed: Cuba '11 Signed by: Chu Halabi/Jose Fernandez/Don Welke
Background: A backup to Yoenis Cespedes on Cuba's 2009 World
Baseball Classic squad, Martin defected the following year and signed a
five-year, $15.6 million major league deal in May 2011. Among Triple-A
Pacific Coast League players with at least 250 plate appearances, he ranked
second in hitting (.359) and third in on-base percentage (.422) and slugging
(.610) in 2012. He missed five weeks after tearing a ligament in his left
thumb in May.
Scouting Report: The Rangers say Martin has more power than he gets credit
for, and he hits home runs with ease during batting practice. They would like
him to tone down his swing and focus more on lining balls to the gaps,
however, in order to take advantage of his plus speed. That attribute also
boosts his average via bunts and infield hits as well as providing him with
solid range in center field. Martin knows the strike zone and has the bat
path to hit for average, so he profiles as a top-of-the-order threat capable
of providing 20 steals and strong defense. He also has an above-average arm.
The Future: Despite hitting .324/.390/.502 in the high minors, Martin has
struggled during brief stints with the Rangers. His injury and inactivity in
the big leagues cut into his development time in 2012, but at worst he
figures to be a platoon option for Texas in 2013.
5. Justin Grimm, rhp
Born: Aug 16, 1988 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-3 Wt.: 195
Drafted: Georgia, 2010 (5th round). Signed by: Ryan Coe
Background: Grimm adapted quickly to the routine of pro ball
following a wildly erratic college career at Georgia, where he ran up a 5.80
ERA in three seasons. He beat the Astros in his June 16 debut, little more
than a year and a half after making his pro debut in low Class A.
Scouting Report: Grimm decimated Double-A competition with a strong
three-pitch mix and plus control. He found the going tougher in Triple-A and
the big leagues when batters tended not to chase his 12-to-6 curveball. He
pitches at 91-94 mph while commanding his fastball to both sides of the
plate. That helps him work ahead of batters and set up his curve, changeup
and slider/cutter hybrid. His changeup has come the farthest since turning
pro, helping him hold minor league lefties to a .231 average while sporting a
4-1 K-BB ratio against them in 2012. Adding the slider gives Grimm the
ability to change the speed and shape on his breaking ball, while also
helping him stay in the zone more frequently.
The Future: Texas bypassed Martin Perez, who already was on the 40-man
roster, when it called on Grimm in June. Both could earn larger roles with
the Rangers in 2013, whether starting or relieving. Most scouts see Grimm as
a potential mid-rotation starter.
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◆ From: 219.87.89.129
※ 編輯: gonzalez0528 來自: 219.87.89.129 (12/16 01:43)
※ 編輯: gonzalez0528 來自: 219.87.89.129 (12/16 01:43)
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