[情報] Rangers Top 20 Prospects by Sickels

看板Rangers作者JustinIdiot (←傻子)時間10年前 (2014/12/28 13:37)推噓21(21推 0噓 36→)

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最近都沒事好無聊~~ 再來看看新秀吧先跟大家道歉因為上禮拜感冒加上這陣子有點怠惰到現在才將這篇翻出來... ============================================================================== 原文網址 http://ppt.cc/C9ns 前面說明此評比是基於球員目前表現以及未來潛力完整的報告要買他的書才看得到(推銷文)云云恕刪 QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS Grade A prospects are the elite. In theory, they have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Theoretically, most Grade A prospects develop into stars or at least major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major "if" in some cases. 得到評價A的潛力新秀是最頂尖的理論上他們有很好的機會變成明星或超級明星如果沒有遇到傷痛或其他意外干涉大部分A級的新秀應該都可以成為明星或至少大聯盟常態先發要注意的是這個"如果"在某些case中占很重要的因素 Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role. 得到B評價的潛力新秀有很好的機會享受成功的生涯有些會發展成明星有些則否大部分最後都能在MLB待上好幾年只有極少數會變成在大聯盟上下的邊緣角色 Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all. 得到評價C的潛力新秀是最普通的類型那是些擁有正面表現但也存在些許疑慮的新秀或者只是離大聯盟還太遠以至於還難以準確感受一些得到評級C的新秀特別是那些還在低階的有可以會發展成明星球員很多最後會成為功能型球員或者板凳但一些根本上不了大聯盟... Finally, keep in mind that all grades are shorthand. You have to read the full comment in the book for the full analysis about a player, the letter grade only tells you so much. A Grade C prospect in rookie ball could end up being very impressive, while a Grade C prospect in Triple-A is likely just a future role player. 最後請記得這些評價都只是短評如果你想得知更全面的分析請去買書因為這裡能告訴你的不多一個在RK的新秀得到評級C的新秀最後可能變得非常令人驚艷而一個在3A得到評價C的新秀最後可能只是個功能型球員... 1) Joey Gallo, 3B, Grade A-: Age 21, enormous power is the key here with 42 homers in 2014, made progress with swing mechanics and pitch recognition although strikeout rate remains very high. Defense at third isn’t bad either. Still risky, but less so than seemed last year. Possible outcome: hybrid of Ryan Howard, Adam Dunn, and Chris Davis? If you want to dream, how about Jim Thome? 巨大的力量 2014年他改善他的揮棒機制和辨認球種的能力在三壘的防守也有進步雖然被三振率依然過高風險仍然高但比起去年已經減少了未來的樣子：想像Ryan Howard、Adam Dunn和Chris Davis混合的樣子如果你願意想像 Jim Thome如何呢? (補充：在我的想像裡面 Troy Glaus或許是另一個值得期待的樣貌另外在John Sickels已經公布的名單中其他獲得評級A的潛力新秀有 Dylan Bundy,RHP,A-,BAL 、 Brandon Finnegan,LHP,A-/B+,KC 、 Byron Buxton,OF,A,MIN 、 Miguel Sano,3B,A-,MIN 、 Noah Syndergaard,RHP,A-,NYM Kris Bryant,3B,A,CHC 、 Addison Russell,SS,A,CHC 、 Jorge Soler,OF,A,CHC 、 Kyle Schwarber,C-OF,A-,CHC 、 Francisco Lindor,SS,A,CLE) 2) Nomar Mazara, OF, Grade B+: Age 19, hit .264/.358/.470 in Low-A then .306/.381/.518 after moving up to Double-A for 24 games. Made real progress turning raw power into game power, defense also sharper. Downside would be Karim Garcia-like stagnation at higher levels, upside is .280, 30-homer hitter. This ranking is more aggressive than typical but Mazara was really impressive. Mazara扎扎實實地將本身擁有的raw power轉換到比賽中而且防守也變得更銳利他較不樂觀的模板會是像Karim Garcia般在高階停滯不前 (補充：Karim Garcia-前道奇農場大物在3A繳出屠殺成績可是一上去就軟掉後來有到日職歐力士猛牛和韓職樂天巨人發展這句話的意思就是Mazara最壞會變成另一個4A王這端看他的hit tool能發揮到什麼程度有球探認為他是有機會發展成hit/power為60/60-70的打者但目前他的hit tool大概只有20~30分) 而他的upeside則是打擊率.280 30支全壘打的打者將他排在第二名是比起一般排名還大膽的決定但Mazara的表現真的令人驚艷 3) Alex Gonzalez, RHP, Grade B+/Borderline B: Age 23, former Oral Roberts ace and 2013 first-round pick thrived in first full season, 2.66 ERA with 113/41 K/BB in 139 innings between High-A and Double-A. Needs more innings to polish change-up to go with solid fastball/slider. Looks like a number three starter to me if that happens. 2013第一輪選入的投手第一個完整球紀就有很棒的表現高一A加2A共投了139局防禦率是2.66 外加近3的K/BB值他還需要更多的局數磨練他的變速好搭配他可靠的速球和滑球在我的眼光中他目前看來是個三號先發 4) Jake Thompson, RHP, Grade B/Borderline B+: Age 20, stolen from Tigers in Joakim Soria trade, ran up 3.12 ERA with 130/47 K/BB in 130 innings at three levels. Like Gonzalez he can be a number three starter with low-90s fastball, slider, change. Right now I have Gonzalez a little ahead but that could change by the time the book is done, it is possible that Thompson could wind up as a B+. 從Soria交易案偷來的投手在三個層級中一共交出130局的投球 3.12防禦率加上近3的K/BB值憑著low-90s的速球和滑球以及變速球讓他如Gonzalez般像是個三號先發目前我讓Gonzalez排在前面但等書出來時 Thompson的排名或許會超過Gonzalez 到那時他的評級就會躍上B+ 4) Jorge Alfaro, C, Grade B/Borderline B+: Age 21, ranks ahead of Mazara on most lists but he is two years older and a less effective hitter. Despite all of his superb defensive tools, he remains a rough defender prone to excessive mistakes and receiving miscues with little sign of improvement. If he can’t sharpen his catching skills, his attractiveness goes way down. Can’t rate him higher until his defensive results improve, but B/B+ is still a high grade all things considered. 大部分的排名將他排在Mazara之前但基於他比Mazara大兩歲且是個較不具效率的打者我將他排在Mazara之後儘管Alfaro擁有超級的防守工具(臂力) 他仍然是個很粗糙的防守員常常犯下低級的錯誤造成失誤並有一點徵兆顯示這樣的情形有加重的傾向如果他沒辦法砥礪自己的捕手能力他的吸引力會愈來愈低在他防守的技巧改進之前他無法得到更高的評價 (補充：Alfaro是條子少數幾個在升上更高一階後各方面都沒有明顯進步的prospect 其實除了Sickels提到的守備方面的潛力 Alfaro在不管打擊、approach甚至走壘方面都還有充足的發展空間但明年這幾樣若沒有一兩樣有更進一步的發揮別的不說光守備方面沒進展 Alfaro很可能就要被迫轉守外野他的價值就會大大降低) 6) Luis Ortiz, RHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: Age 19, 2014 first-round pick, 1.77 ERA with 19/6 K/BB in 20 innings in pro debut between rookie ball and Low-A. Can hit mid-90s, good slider, some measure of command for a young pitcher, another potential number three starter who can advance very quickly. 今年第一輪選進的投手在RK和A-共投了20局 19/6 K/BB和1.77防禦率速球來到95、96 不錯的滑球和一點年輕選手少有的command(掌控各球種的能力) 另一個有三號先發潛力的投手有機會快速竄升 7) Luke Jackson, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, strong in Double-A (3.02 ERA, 83/24 K/BB in 83 innings, just 58 hits) but undone in Triple-A (10.35 ERA, 43/28 K/BB in 40 innings, 56 hits). Seen by many as a future reliever due to erratic secondary pitches but a mid-90s fastball. 在2A投出可靠成績但3A成績隨即破滅因為不穩定的第二球種再搭上mid-90的速球許多人因此將他的未來定位在牛棚 (但是是強力牛 high set-up man or low closer) 8) Lewis Brinson, OF, Grade B-: Age 20, superb athlete hit .335/.405/.579 in 164 at-bats in Low-A but just .246/.307/.350 in 183 at-bats in High-A, better pitching exposing the holes in his aggressive approach and swing mechanics. Impressive defensively so they will be patient with the bat. Could develop into an All-Star if the hitting comes along, or a fifth outfielder if it doesn ’t. 借用awano大的用法 "超級體能怪" 在A打得不錯但在A+ 面對更好的投手暴露了他太過躁進的打擊缺陷和揮棒機制但傑出的守備表現讓球隊願意等待他的打擊當打擊發揮出來時他就能成為明星球員若沒有就會只是個五號外野 9) Nick Williams, OF, Grade B-: Age 21, hit .292/.343/.491 with 13 homers, 19 walks, 117 strikeouts in 377 at-bats in High-A. Overmatched late in Double-A, .226/.250/.290 with 21 strikeouts, two walks in 62 at-bats. Solid or better tools, not as good with the glove as Brinson and older, suffers from similar and rather extreme approach issues. All-Star upside, Triple-A failure downside. 在A+繳出377打數 292/343/491 外加13轟的成績但在球季後期升上2A後遭受到了挫折和Brinson一樣都是toolsy的外野手有多項50或更好的工具但比起Brinson少了點手套卻多了點年紀而且遭受到與Brinson類似不過更嚴重的approach問題樂觀的養成會是明星外野手不樂觀的情況則是另一個3A失敗例子 10) Corey Knebel, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, former University of Texas power arm acquired from the Tigers, major league closer potential if his elbow is OK: he was shut down early with a strained ligament. Ready to contribute if healthy. 因為韌帶緊繃而提早關機已經準備好上大聯盟只要健康且手肘疑慮減除 Knebel有成為終結者的潛力 11) Ryan Rua, OF-INF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 24, doesn’t look like a fluke at this point, should be a solid contributor who can hit .260-.270 with some power, defensive versatility, should have a better career than some guys with better tools but less refinement. 目前Rua的表現不像只是fluke 他可以扎實地提供.260-.270的打擊率外加一些長打而且可以擔任多個守位比起一些天賦較好但缺乏活用的傢伙 Rua有可能擁有更好的職業生涯 12) Delino DeShields, OF, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 22, selected by Rangers in 2014 Rule 5 draft from Astros, former first round pick hit .236/.346/.360 with 11 homers, 61 walks, 54 steals in Double-A. Erratic but talented and still young, I think this was a great gamble for Texas to take. 今年rule 5由太空人選到的新秀 2014在2A繳出236/346/360 11轟 54盜的成績不穩定但充滿天賦而且也還年輕對條子而言是個很不錯的賭注 ANALYST NOTE: From this point on, the rankings are very nebulous: you could order the C+ guys in a hundred different ways with valid logic behind each decision. This should be seen as a tier approach and not an exact hard-and-fast ranking. 分析：從這裡開始排名將變得沒這麼確切你可以選擇將這些取得C+評價的新秀藉由各種不同角度切入而合理排列因為這個層級的新秀彼此實力都很接近所以排名也並非絕對不可顛覆的 13) Luis Sardinas, INF, Grade C+: Age 21, defense-first contact hitter batted .261/.303/.313 in 115 at-bats in major league debut. That’s exactly what should be expected for a while, but he could improve on that as he matures. 防守第一contact取向的游擊手今年大聯盟初登場繳出261/303/313的成績那確實就是目前的Sardinas可以期待的樣貌但當他更加成熟時他能夠繳出更傑出的表現 14) Travis Demeritte, 2B, Grade C+: Age 20, hit .211/.310/.450 with 25 homers, 50 walks, 171 strikeouts in 398 at-bats in Low-A. Tremendous bat speed and power, but another very aggressive young Texas hitter with contact issues. 今年在A繳出211/310/450 25轟 171被三振的成績有著巨大的揮棒速度和力量但又是另一個太躁進的條子年輕打者帶有擊球方面的疑慮 15) Josh Morgan, INF, Grade C+: Age 19, 2014 third round pick, outstanding contact hitting skills with .322/.436/.347 line in pro debut, superior plate discipline. However, he lacks power and hit just three doubles and one triple. If you could combine his approach with Demeritte’s thump you’d have a hell of a player. 今年選秀第三輪選進非常傑出的擊球技巧職業第一年繳出322/436/347 優秀的好球帶辨識能力但是非常缺乏長打今年只有三支二壘安和一支三壘安如果可以結合Morgan的approach和Demeritte的強力揮棒就可以得到一個天殺的球員 (補充：approach是一個很難翻譯的名詞包含的意涵很多很雜又可以分為物理面和心理面物理面是指一個打者對於各種球種的揮擊掌握能力心理層面則包括了球種辨識、各球數下的擊球策略等) 16) Alec Asher, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, posted 3.80 ERA with 122/32 K/BB in 154 innings in Double-A, 139 hits. Should move up to Triple-A with big league trial in the offing if he pitches well. Throws strikes, quality of stuff varies from start to start, could max out as a number three starter if he maintains his peak velocities or wind up as a 12th man if he doesn’t. 今年在2A投了154局 3.8的防禦率加上近4的K/BB 明年應該要升上3A 而且如果表現不錯的話應該能贏得上大聯盟的經驗能投好球穩定展現優質的stuff 如果能維持狀況好時的球速他可以成為三號先發不然就是投手第十二人(通常在大聯盟上下的牛棚投手或緊急先發) 17) Michael De Leon, SS, Grade C+: Sleeper Alert, age 17, hit .244/.302/.295 with 28 walks, 40 strikeouts in 336 at-bats in Low-A plus a one-game emergency promotion to Double-A in which he went 1-for-3 with a double. That’ s not a great overall season line, but he was only seventeen years old and made the jump to full-season baseball without any intervening rookie ball experience at all. Signed in 2013, and unusually reliable defensively for his age. Physical tools aren’t spectacular, but this guy wouldn’t even be draft-eligible until this coming June and he’s already played one game in Double-A. Very intriguing long-term property. Sleeper(Sickels對於他看好有可能打出爆發成績球員的稱呼) 17歲今年大部分待在A 打出244/302/295的成績正常來說這樣的表現是不及格的但這出自於一個未在Rookie階層出賽過卻在A完整出賽的17歲球員於2013年簽約的De Leon 展現出有別於該年齡令人信賴的防守能力雖然他並沒有特別突出的工具但這個照理說在今年六月前都還不具備參加選秀資格的傢伙已經在2A有過一場出賽經驗非常有趣的球員 (補充：Sickels整段文字似乎只講述一件事情...他才17歲！！！不過一般球探都認為De Leon的天花板有限不同於Forbes De Leon沒什麼機會長成明星甚至做為常態先發的可能性也不高但De Leon有著異於同齡的成熟不管心理層面或球技上讓他在今年成為AFL歷史上最年輕的出賽球員而這在遊騎兵讓他跳過新人階層直接上A的情形中也能獲得佐證只是後者也可以解釋成球團並沒有這麼在意這個新秀就是... 然而就如Sickels所言他才17歲也許不該這麼早測量他的天花板...) 18) Ti’Quan Forbes, 3B, Grade C+: Age 18, second round pick this past June from high school in Mississippi, solid-to-excellent tools with speed and throwing arm standing out. Hit .241/.338/.282 in rookie ball with 10 steals in 11 attempts. Some observers project that he’ll hit for average with at least decent power as he matures, but a long way off. 今年第二輪選進的高中生體能優異有多項至少50的tools 而其中最傑出的兩項是他的腳程跟臂力今年在新人階層打出241/338/282的成績 11次嘗試盜壘成功了10次有說當他成熟的時候能展現出平均的打擊能力和傑出的長打能力但這還要一段不短的時間 19) Ryan Cordell, OF, Grade C+: Age 22, 11th round pick in 2013 out of Liberty University, hit .318/.385/.530 with 13 homers, 21 steals, 34 walks, 66 strikeouts in 336 at-bats between Low-A and High-A, no slippage between levels. Above-average speed and has power, very good glove, didn’t hit well in college but turned things around last year. If he does this again in Double-A, bump that grade up a notch and jump him up the list. 去年選秀第11輪今年在A和A+共繳出318/385/530 13轟 21盜的成績有著平均水準以上的速度和力量非常棒的手套大學時期打得並不好但情況在今年扭轉若他在2A能維持這樣的表現他的評級將至少上升一個層次 (補充：開季就出現在A球隊名單中 Cordell已經讓人意外了還意外打出亮眼的成績我個人蠻看好這個球員的原本就有不錯的身材和速度守備上也偶有驚人表現今年長打一開竅馬上吸引許多球探的目光而除了打擊以外的四個tools 目前都有平均以上的評價只要證明他今年展現出的打擊並非只是手感好 Cordell的排名就會大幅躍進 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=caJdpK59_g4

長打的展現 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5W2jcq8Gzc

速度+長打的展現 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQ3a2oBFeR0

守備以及臂力的展現 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fm_epce7QKA

訪談長得算是清秀乾淨鄰家大男孩fu 只是似乎有些緊張？) 20) Jairo Beras, OF, Grade C+: Age 19, bonus baby did not have impressive season in Low-A (.242/.305/.342) but was jumping to full season ball with little pro experience and may have been suffering after-effects of 2013 hand injury. With $4,500,000 investment, the Rangers will be patient as he tries to refine his tools. 這個在國際自由市場簽下的大物今年在A的表現並不算理想(242/305/342) 但也是得到了完整的季賽經驗而且今年表現也許受到了2013年手傷的影響條子在他身上投資了4.5M 因此對他會更有耐心些 OTHER GRADE C+ : Lisalverto Bonilla, RHP ; Akeem Bostick, RHP ; Marcos Diplan, RHP ; Andrew Faulkner, LHP ; Ronald Guzman, 1B ; Jose LeClerc, RHP; Keone Kela, RHP ; Tomas Telis, C ; Jose Trevino, C-INF ; Sam Wolff, RHP; Yeyson Yrizarri, SS. You can make a case for each of these C+ guys as high as 14. 你最高可以將這些得到評級C+的潛力新秀排到第14名 GRADE C: Hanser Alberto, SS ; Alex Claudio, LHP ; Jon Edwards, RHP ; Jerad Eickhoff, RHP ; John Fasola, RHP ; Jared Hoying, OF ; Phil Klein, RHP ; Brett Martin, LHP ; Spencer Patton, RHP ; Richelson Pena, RHP ; Luke Tendler, OF ; Derek Thompson, LHP ; Matt West, RHP ; Cole Wiper, RHP Although not as robust as the Cubs system, the Rangers still have one of the deeper farm systems in the game. 雖然不如小熊農場健壯遊騎兵農場依然是最深厚的幾個農場之一 Generally renowned for their liking of toolsy players, the Rangers have quietly built the foundations of a strong pitching staff as well. The trade of Joakim Soria to the Tigers brought in Jake Thompson and Corey Knebel, outright theft if they stay healthy. Alex Gonzalez, Luke Jackson, and Alec Asher should be ready to contribute fairly soon, 2014 first-rounder Luis Ortiz may be the best of them all, and there are plenty of lively arms (Bonilla, Kela, LeClerc, Claudio, Edwards, Eickhoff, Faulkner, Klein, Patton, West) ready or nearly ready for trials in the bullpen or back of the rotation. Lower level arms like Bostick, Wolff, sleeper southpaw Derek Thompson, and Wiper provide hope for a strong second wave. 條子以他們喜歡多功能的選手而聞名同時亦以一群強壯的投手打造為基底從Soria交易案得到的Thompson和Knebel 只要能夠保持健康簡直就是偷到了而Alex Gonzalez、Luke Jackson和Alec Asher都準備好在不久的將來做出貢獻今年第一輪選來的Luis Ortiz則可能是這群投手中潛力最好的一個另外還有一堆新鮮的手臂準備好或接近準備好投入牛棚或後段輪值 (Bonilla、Kela、LeClerc、Claudio、Jon Edwards、Eickhoff、Faulkner、Klein、 Spencer Patton和Matt West) 低階一點的投手像Akeem Bostick、Sam Wolff、另一個sleeper左投Derek Thompson和 Cole Wiper則提供強力的下一波希望 All that said, the core of the Rangers system remains the hitting. Joey Gallo and Nomar Mazara broke away from the rest of the 2013 Hickory Bunch last year. Gallo got most of the attention with his enormous power but Mazara also made substantial progress. Alfaro, Brinson, and Williams all have a shot at becoming major league regulars as well. There’s some strength up the middle (Sardinas, Morgan, De Leon, Yrizarri), The development of Ryan Cordell took some of the sting out of stagnant seasons from Ronald Guzman and Jairo Beras. 總的來說條子農場的核心還是在打擊上 Gallo和Mazara去年最後在A時都有進展 Gallo以他巨大的力量吸引了大多的目光而Mazara也有實質的進步 Alfaro、Brinson和Williams也都有這個機會成為大聯盟常態先發條子的中線也很強壯(Sardinas、Morgan、De Leon、Yrizarri) Ryan Cordell的發展也彌補了Guzman和Beras進步緩滯的一季 Note that it isn’t all about players with huge bonuses and premier tools: the Rangers have also identified and developed good sleeper, skill-oriented prospects like Ryan Rua and several of the pitching arms. 條子所擁有的潛力新秀並非全是具有巨大潛力和頂級工具的球員他們亦以開發sleeper和發展技巧性取向的新秀如Ryan Rua及眾多投手而聞名 Overall, the Rangers are well-positioned for a quick rebound after a disappointing 2014. 在經歷了令人沮喪的2014 目前對遊騎兵來說處在了一個能快速反彈的情況 ============================================================================== 先來說說幾個近期消息： 1.Matt Harrison的X光檢查結果顯示他的背部OK 現在就等電腦斷層掃描的結果出來了如果一切正常他可以在一月時進行投球復健明年要回到輪值中並非夢想... 等等...這聽起來是不是有點熟悉？因為去年的Harrison也經歷了類似的情況... 2.前陣子從金鶯那撿來的左投Scott Barnes 被條子放進讓渡名單後被藍鳥撿走了也因此 Barnes來到了休季後待的第四支球隊(一直拍大頭照應該也只能苦笑了...) 3.Ben Rowen因為藤川的來臨而遭到遊騎兵釋出這位投球姿勢獨特的下鉤側投牛應該會吸引其他球隊的興趣接下來是原po的碎碎念不喜者請End 首先在眾多農場排名紛紛推出後條子農場的排名也可以推個大概了除了雙城、小熊的農場明顯勝過我們的之外不論top prospect的數量還是深度都少有其他球隊能與我們匹敵所以今年季末我們的農場若沒有前三也非常有機會在前五之列更令人興奮的一點是隨著我們擁有的這些高天分高風險的新秀大都往正確方向發展的情況下明年條子的農場實力很有機會更往前邁進而觀察迄今的幾個排名可以發現幾件事情 Mazara的表現讓他的排名合理地大幅躍進 Ryan Rua在大聯盟的第一年表現和Josh Morgan職業初登場使他們的評價比起季中增加了不少 Soria交易後Thompson穩定的表現讓這筆交易愈來愈像條子成功的一偷 ... 回到這份排名上有幾個疑問還是應該被提出在Alfaro不能證明會離開捕手位置的情況下 2A樣本數少於Alfaro許多的Mazara真的能理所當然排在Alfaro前面嗎? 而儘管tools相似甚至Brinson的守備能力更被看好且Brinson更為年輕遇到的問題似乎也比較輕微一些他也不該排在Williams的前面因為比起Brinson Williams已經證明A+的投手對他不造成威脅而Brinson則否基本上像Gallo這樣的A tier球員不管最後養得如何球隊都會讓他上到大聯盟主要的原因是他們已經至少有足夠的實力擠掉一票在大聯盟上下的球員了以Gallo為例光是power就值得讓他上大聯盟一試有人問過我那為什麼不直接讓他們上來就好了呢？他們的實力不是早已足夠擠掉一票人了嗎？理由其實不難理解因為在大聯盟球隊唯一的目標就是贏球相較於小聯盟球隊的戰績根本不重要競爭的壓力本來就不可同日而語於是在小聯盟 prospect可以一球一球地修正自己的問題不必在意自己的成績跟球隊的戰績這種情形不太可能發生在大聯盟所以一旦未成熟的prospect被拉上大聯盟後你很難期待他會爆發出原本小聯盟沒有的能力更常出現的反而是就此停滯不前而這種提早將prospect拉上來的情形就是我們俗稱的rush 然而rush的結果並非全是糟糕的像今年我們就不得已rush了一個頂級新秀照原本的養成計畫 Rougned Odor今年大部分的時間應該還是在小聯盟渡過如果真是如此那現在排名農場第一的新秀就可能是Odor 而不一定是Gallo 然而條子高階中線的貧乏讓這位僅在2A出賽62場的新秀必須提早面對大聯盟儘管如此這樣的結果對Odor來說並不能說是不好的事實上以一個僅20歲的新秀而言他所展現的能力讓人對他的未來充滿了想像當然Odor還需要讓自己的守備更穩定並且精進跑壘的觀念不過他現階段提供的火力以一個中線球員來說已經足夠了現在想起來當初在決定讓Profar守二壘後因為在條子看不到未來 Odor曾經被提及當作交易的包裹只能慶幸那時沒有急著做出交易的決定至於Profar 他有機會在明年開季不久後就歸隊如果條子需要借重他的攻擊能力就必須清出一個位置給他比較簡單的方法就是讓他擔任DH 但是這樣感覺太浪費了基於Odor幾乎二壘限定而Beltre守備能力退化不少的情形下如果傷後臂力允許或許讓Profar守三壘 Beltre轉一壘或DH是個可以考慮的選擇 ... 最後附上一篇目前美聯西區排名預測文 http://outsidepitchmlb.com/2014/12/22/american-league-west-predictions/ 我們有可能會再補一個輪值不過2015年的開季並不需要太過於期待在明星賽後Martin Perez 或許加上Harrison的歸隊以及Alex Gonzalez、Keon Kela等新秀上來加深投手強度還有健康的Profar在打線上面的幫忙那時的條子或許就會變得頗有競爭力不過整體而言2015都還是別抱太多期待主要還是以確定未來主力和各別位置的先發為比較可能的方向真正的重頭戲應該會是2016... --

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