[農場] Fangraphs Rays Top 30 Prospects (上)

看板Rays作者knoxvillt (胖胖)時間14年前 (2011/03/31 15:49)推噓10(10推 0噓 9→)

留言19則, 9人參與討論串1/1

1. Jeremy Hellickson, RHP Acquired: 2005 4th round (Iowa HS) Pro Experience: 5 seasons 2010 MiLB Level: AAA/MLB Opening Day Age: 24 Estimated Peak WAR: 6.0 Notes: Hellickson stands to be one of the most promising rookie pitchers in the Majors in 2011. The 23-year-old hurler does have some hurdles to clear, though. The Rays have a lot of pitching depth so he may end up as a long reliever to begin the season — or he could open 2011 in Triple-A (although he has nothing left to prove in the minors). Hellickson has the ceiling of a No. 1 or 2 pitcher and he held his own in a brief MLB trial in '10. He showed good strikeout numbers while also showcasing above-average control for his age. I would like to see him improve upon his ground ball rate from triple-A (37%); being a fly-ball pitcher in the potent AL East is never easy. He throws with a three-quarter arm slot and utilizes an easy delivery that doesn't put much stress on his shoulder, which bodes well for the future. Hellickson has a good fastball-changeup combination, and improved command of his curveball could transform him into a Rookie of the Year candidate if he receives the opportunity to start. Hellickson 作為眾多大有可為的年輕投手之一在2011年站上MLB，現年23歲的他還是有一些困難需要去解決，球隊擁有相當深厚的投手強度所以他開季也許會作為一個長中繼投手出發 - 或者2011年球季在3A出發(雖然在minor沒什麼需要證明其實力)。Hellickson 擁有成為1號或2號先發投手潛力以及去年在MLB短暫時間的先發。展現優秀三振能力和其年齡有超過平均水準的控球，我想要看到其能改善在3A的滾地球率(37%)；一個飛球投手想在強而有力的美聯東區想要生存絕不簡單。四分之三投球姿勢以及利用簡單揮臂動作不會對其肩膀產生壓迫，對未來發展是好的預兆。Hellickson 是一位結合速球和變速球來面對打者的投手，而且他有改善曲球掌控能力，假如獲得先發機會應該能轉換為競爭新人王頭銜的有利條件。 2. Matt Moore, LHP Acquired: 2007 8th round (New Mexico HS) Pro Experience: 4 seasons 2010 MiLB Level: A+ Opening Day Age: 21 Estimated Peak WAR: 5.5 Notes: Moore could easily be a No. 1 prospect in a lot of organizations. He plays second fiddle in Tampa Bay's system, though, to Hellickson. The club has been exceptionally patient with the young southpaw, moving him up one level at a time during his four-year career. Moore has never seen his strikeout rate drop below 12.75 K/9 in any of his four seasons, which is absolutely outstanding for a starting pitcher. There is a trade off to his K-rates, with his control and command fluctuating. He's been effectively wild in the low minors but will face a stiffer test in double-A in 2011. Moore has seen his inning totals steadily improve each season and he pitched a career high 144.2 innings last season, while also maintaining a 2.38 FIP. On the negative side, he's seen his ground ball rate decline as he has moved up the ladder, from 61% to 48% to 43%. Despite that, he projects to develop into a No. 1 or 2 starter. His repertoire includes a 90-95 mph fastball, curveball, and changeup. His delivery mdoes have a little bit of effort to it. 雖然在光芒農場系統獲得僅次於 Hellickson 的第2新秀評價，Moore 能在許多農場系統很容易獲得第1新秀的評價球團異常地對他有耐心，在整個生涯期間(4年)僅從新人聯盟拉上1A(包含高階1A)。Moore 在4個球季裡其K/9值從未看見掉到12.75以下，絕對是一位先發投手的料。作為三振率高的代價，就是控球以及球種運用能力不太好(小聯盟生涯 BB/9 4.4)。在minor低階聯盟能有效地發揮實力但在今年升上2A將面臨更嚴厲的考驗， Moore 每季投球總局數都有增加而且上個球季投出生涯新高的144.2局，同時也保持FIP 2.38的成績。相反地，滾地球率下降程度有如坐溜滑梯一般，從61%、48%降到43%。儘管如此，預計能成長為1號或2號的先發投手。他的球種包括一顆90～95mph的快速球、曲球和變速球，其全力的揮臂動作對手臂的負擔較大。 3. Desmond Jennings, OF Acquired: 2006 10th round (Mississippi JC) Pro Experience: 5 seasons 2010 MiLB Level: AAA/MLB Opening Day Age: 24 Estimated Peak WAR: 5.0 Notes: Like Hellickson and Moore, Jennings is another player that could be a No. 1 prospect for a lot of clubs. The athletic outfielder has already played parts of two seasons in triple-A but is expected to begin the 2011 season back at that level after the club brought in veterans Johnny Damon and Manny Ramirez late in the offseason. The outfielder posted the lowest wOBA of his pro career at .355 but managed a triple-slash line of .278/.362/.393 in 399 at-bats. The speedster swiped 37 bags in 41 tries and has developed into an effective base stealer. He also shows a respectable strikeout rate (16.8 K%) given his modest power and is not afraid to take a walk (10.3 BB%). Despite the obstacles ahead of him, Jennings should be starting in the Rays'outfield by midseason and has the potential to be an impact player, albeit with no more than 20-homer power. His current stance doesn't lend it self to much power production at all but he does show solid balance. 如同 Hellickson 和 Moore ，對許多球團而言 Jennings 是另一位能給予第1新秀評價的球員。這位行動敏捷的外野手已經在3A 兩個球季中進行部分球賽由於球隊在開季前找來老將 Johnny Damon 和 Manny Ramirez 預計開季將回到3A。其繳出職業生涯wOBA 低點 (0.355)可是在3A共399個打數裡繳出3圍.278/.362/.393的成績。這位擁有極快速度的打者在41次嘗試盜壘中成功37次而且能成長為一位強力的盜壘者。他還展示出令人讚揚的被三振率(16.8 K%)，上天給他不太突出的長打能力和被保送能力(10.3 BB%)。儘管這些阻礙擋在其面前，Jennings 應該在季中上MLB防守外野並且有可能成為一位有影響力的球員，雖然沒有每季擊出超過20支全壘打的長打能力。現在的擊球姿勢根本不適合產出更多長打但表現出穩定且均衡的能力。原文：http://tinyurl.com/6fpy79d 這篇之前有人貼過，原文蠻長的可能會分成3～4篇。有錯請指正，謝謝。剛剛修文不小心把immortalqq版友推文修掉，抱歉... 感謝貓大糾正翻不好的地方，多謝其他人指正 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.231.55.164

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catsondbs

03/31 16:05, , 1^F

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※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 61.231.55.164 (03/31 16:15)

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03/31 16:13, , 2^F

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※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 61.231.55.164 (03/31 16:17)

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