[農場] Prospect A to Z Day 1: Chris Archer
在12月Top prospect報告出爐以前,Raysprospect.com將以新秀名字的字母排序,在這
兩個月做一系列的農場報導暖身一下,一開始就由Chris Archer打頭陣,讓我們來看看這
為去年在Garza交易案獲得的新秀過去一年的評價吧!
Before the season, it seemed that Montgomery could boast arguably the best
rotation in the minors, headlined by Matt Moore and Chris Archer and with
Nick Barnese and Joe Cruz ready to break out. But while Moore exploded onto
the season to pitch seven shutout innings in Game 1 of the ALDS, the other
three failed to take off.
在這個賽季前,Montgomery(光芒2A)看起來擁有全小聯盟最佳的先發輪值,以Matt
Moore和Chris Archer為首,Nick Barnese與Joe Cruz也蓄勢待發。但最後只有Moore在
這個賽季一飛沖天,並在ALDS第一戰交出7局無失分的好投。其他人表現都不盡理想。
After finished 2010 in the Southern League as a member of the Cubs
organization, Archer was primed for a mid-season jump to Durham. But he
struggled with his control: 86 walks, 10 hit batters, and 18 wild pitches in
134.1 innings with the Biscuits, and got bumped to Durham only for his final
two starts. In some ways, it wasn't surprising. With Tennessee in 2010, he
had walked 5 batters per 9 innings; his overall "improvement" in that
department was solely from his time in the Florida State League.
去年以小熊成員身分完成南方聯盟2010賽季後,Archer在今年季中被拉上Durham(光芒
3A)。但其實他在2A整季都掙扎在控球問題上,134.1局中,86個保送,10次觸身,18次
暴投,升上3A也只有2次先發機會。但其實這樣的結果並不讓人意外,2010賽季,他平均
每9局保送5名打者;相較於他在佛羅里達州聯盟有完整的「提升」。
註:Archer 2010年分別待過小熊1A(佛羅里達聯盟) BB/9為3.2
2A(南方聯盟) BB/9為5.0 ……的確有「提升」。
Additionally, Archer's strikeout rate was a career-low 7.9 per innings. The
good news here is that he's still got the potential to dominate. His fastball
and slider both rate as at least plus pitches, though unsurprisingly he needs
to do a better job of getting ahead with the fastball so he can unleash the
slider. His change-up made some progress but still grades out below-average.
He showed what he can do in his final start of the year, in the playoffs with
Durham, when he struck out 11 in 5.2 innings.
除此之外,Archer的三振率來到生涯新低的每9局7.9次。好消息是依然有潛力展現壓制
力。他的直球和滑球都在水準之上,但無庸置疑的是,他需要將直球鍛鍊得更出色,如此
一來,才能將滑球的威力釋放出來。變速球有進步,但仍在水準之下。在他今年最後一次
出賽,充分證明自己的實力-代表Durham出戰季後賽,5.2局,11K。
One comparison that jumps to mind is Edwin Jackson. The two have similar
stuff (hard fastball, power slider, iffy changeups), both are athletic, and
both had trouble throwing strikes. Jackson did limit the walks to 3.2 per 9
as a 19-year-old in the Southern League, but obviously had some issues at
other points in his career. He made the big leagues at age 20, but wasn't a
regular starter until age 23 and probably wasn't truly "ready" until age 24.
I think you'll see the same thing with Archer. He'll pitch all of next season
at age 23 and be ready for a big-league spot in 2013 as a 24-year-old.
能想到的模板之一是Edwin Jackson,兩者有相似的stuff(剛猛的快速球、銳利的滑球
、未知的變速球),運動能力佳,都有控球的困擾。Jackson 19歲在南方聯盟出賽時,每
9局僅投出3.2次保送,但明顯可以看出生涯有些其他問題。他在20歲登上大聯盟,但直到
23歲才成為固定輪值,也許24歲看起來才像準備好了。我想你可以在Archer身上看到類似
的影子,下個賽季他將23歲,我想他在2013年,24歲時,可以在大聯盟擁有一席之地。
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