[農場] Tampa Bay Rays Top 20 Prospects
Tampa Bay Rays Top 20 Prospects for 2012 by John Sickels
原文: http://tinyurl.com/6ll9ets
1) Matt Moore, LHP, Grade A:
His profile is a collection of superlatives: excellent stuff, dramatically
improved command over the last two years, impeccable statistics. He'll be a
true ace and Cy Young contender barring an injury or catastrophic command
slippage.
2) Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Grade B+:
Excellent defense and took a step forward with the hitting this year, should
provide batting average, speed, solid OBP. I'm not worried about his bad month
in Double-A.
3) Alexander Torres, LHP, Grade B:
Borderline B+. Outstanding dominance ratios, still has some command issues but
has nothing left to prove in the minors.
4) Alex Colome, RHP, Grade B:
Also has command issues but plus stuff, and I trust the Rays organization to
develop him properly. Could be mid-rotation starter or a closer.
5) Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Grade B:
Has the ability to be a B+, A- or even an A if he lives up to full potential,
but I want to see some pro data first and the alleged makeup issue from high
school remains a puzzle.
6) Mikie Mahtook, OF, Grade B:
Good career start in the Arizona Fall League but everyone hits there. Grade
could go higher once he faces better pitching. Strong across-the-board tools
and really blossomed as a hitter the last two seasons at LSU. Still can't
believe he lasted to the end of the first round.
7) Brandon Guyer, OF, Grade B-:
Borderline B. Also has across-the-board skills. Doesn't draw many walks, but
has some power, will swipe bases, hits for average, and strong defense. Older
prospect at age 26.
8) Parker Markel, RHP, Grade B-:
High-velocity power sinker, hard slider and changeup stand out. Could rank
much higher next year once he performs in full-season ball. Low strikeout rate
mitigated by ground ball tendency. Could be mid-rotation starter or a closer.
9) Ryan Brett, 2B, Grade B-:
Like Markel, he could rank higher next year once we see him in full-season
ball. Pure hitter, should provide batting average and OBP, defense is still
a work in progress.
10) Drew Vettleson, OF, Grade B-:
Like Brett, he hit well in the Appy League, provides speed and at least gap
power. He's a little older than Brett and strikes out a lot more, so I rank
Brett slightly ahead.
11) Chris Archer, RHP, Grade B-:
Not fond of the command slippage and he may end up in the bullpen, but his
ceiling remains impressive. Needs a good dose of Triple-A.
12) Enny Romero, LHP, Grade B-:
High-ceiling arm went backwards with his command in full-season ball. Seems a
good bet to improve/rebound, and grade could be at least a notch higher if
that happens.
13) Tyler Goeddel, 3B, Grade B-:
No pro data yet, but will rank him here based on pre-draft scouting reports.
Main question appears to be how much power he will develop.
14) Jake Hager, SS, Grade B-:
I think he will sneak up on people with the bat either this year or next, and
I believe he'll be able to remain at shortstop.
15) Tim Beckham, SS, Grade C+:
In relative terms, his 2011 season was not statistically better than his '10
season, until he had the power surge in Triple-A. Even that came at the
expense of poor plate discipline. Still young, still has tools, but I think
some fans are getting overly excited at this point. I still see him as more
of a utility player with some pop, not a first-division regular.
16) Oscar Hernandez, C, Grade C+:
Put up monstrous numbers in the Venezuelan Summer League and did a good job
throwing out runners. He wasn't a big bonus guy and scouting reports remain
annoyingly vague. It will be fascinating to see how all this translates to
North America. Ranking here is a guesstimate.
17) Granden Goetzman, OF, Grade C+:
Didn't hit great in rookie ball, but in a less-deep draft he would have been a
certain first-round pick. I like his tools, has power and speed, draws Jay
Buhner and Jayson Werth comparisons.
18) Tyler Bortnick, 2B, Grade C+:
Does everything well except hit homers and excite scouts with his tools. Very
polished, excellent plate discipline, dangerous on the bases. You could easily
rank him as high as 15 and ahead of Beckman.
19) Felipe Rivero, LHP, Grade C+:
Live-armed lefty didn't dominate the Appy League statistically, but has plenty
of arm strength and a mid-rotation ceiling.
20) Derek Dietrich, SS, Grade C+:
Good power, but poor strike zone judgment in Low-A and pending move to third
base keep him from a higher grade at this point. With some adjustments could
get into strong B range.
21) Lenny Linsky, RHP, Grade C+:
Power sinker/slider, excellent ground ball rates with strikeouts and solid
command. 2011 draft product could move very quickly through system.
22) Nick Barnese, RHP, Grade C+:
I've liked him better in the past and I still think he can be a good pitcher,
but durability/injury concerns are still a big issue.
23) Josh Sale, OF, Grade C+:
Tough ranking. He hit poorly in the Appy League due to problems with his
swing, and he doesn't have enough other skills to be useful without power.
The C+ cuts him some slack and reflects his reputation from high school,
but he's got to hit better than this.
24) Jeff Ames, RHP, Grade C+:
Posted 7.12 ERA in rookie ball, but K/IP and K/BB ratios were excellent. The
ERA was the result of three poor games where he gave up 17 runs, six walks and
20 hits in seven total innings. Take those games out and he had a 2.73 ERA
with 20 hits in 23 innings with a 31/1 K/BB ratio.
25) Kes Carter, OF, Grade C+:
Western Kentucky outfielder has solid tools, good performance record, but gets
hurt a lot.
OTHERS:
Lucas Bailey, C; Matt Bush, RHP; Russ Canzler, OF; Ryan Carpenter,LHP
(big sleeper); Johnny Eierman, SS; Marquis Fleming, RHP; Grayson Garvin, LHP;
Todd Glaesman, OF; Kyeong Kang, OF; Braulio Lara, LHP; Kyle Lobstein, LHP;
Jeff Malm, 1B; Brandon Martin, SS; Ty Morrison, OF; Justin O'Conner, C;
C.J. Riefenhauser, LHP; Wilking Rodriguez, RHP; Cody Rogers, OF;
Cameron Seitzer, 1B; Blake Snell, LHP; Matt Spann, LHP; Jacob Thompson, RHP;
Stephen Vogt, C-1B.
Graduations have thinned this system out somewhat, but there is still a lot of
talent, starting at the top with Matt Moore, who could turn into a cross
between Clayton Kershaw and Justin Verlander.
Many of the B/B- guys and even several of the C+/C players have a chance to
raise their grades significantly in 2012, especially the '11 draftees who have
not played yet and younger guys at the rookie ball level.
I don't know what to make of Oscar Hernandez. There is a reason why I don't
write much about VSL or DSL players. Performance at this levels is not
particularly predictive, either good or bad performance, and scouting reports
from those leagues are often vague and unreliable. Hernandez could be one of
先貼上來,明天會上色和重點翻譯,有板友要先翻嗎XD。
最後3段有板友關注的2位球員Moore 和 Oscar的詳細分析,值得一看。
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◆ From: 61.231.49.163
※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 61.231.49.163 (11/18 02:36)
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