[Stat] 2012 MLB.com FB player preview

看板Rays作者knoxvillt時間13年前 (2012/02/08 00:40)推噓2(2推 0噓 0→)

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Evan Longoria Rank: 1 Age: 26, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $32 Position: 3B It was a season of highs (a walk-off homer vs. the Yankees that sent the Rays to the playoffs) and lows (a career-worst .244 average and .850 OPS) for Longoria, who managed to collect 31 homers and 99 RBIs despite missing nearly the first month of the season due to a nasty oblique strain. Longoria is much more like the player fans saw in September (.289, seven homers, 22 RBIs) than in May (.263, four homers, 12 RBIs), and provided he can stay on the field -- something that hasn’t been a problem in his previous three seasons -- expect the 26-year-old to make a run at career bests in homers and RBIs in 2012. Fantasy Bottom Line: In line for a career year if healthy. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 584 .281 100 33 113 9 .364 .526 .889 2010 TB 574 .294 96 22 104 15 .372 .507 .879 2011 TB 483 .244 78 31 99 3 .355 .495 .850 Career 2089 .274 341 113 401 34 .360 .515 .874 Projected 638 .270 95 33 112 7 .355 .497 .852 Ben Zobrist Rank: 2 Age: 30, Bats: S, Throws: R Dollar Value: $20 Position: 2B/OF The switch-hitting Zobrist rebounded nicely from a rough 2010 campaign, improving his OPS from .699 to .822, and tying for third in the American League with 46 doubles. The 30-year-old's solid bat and defensive flexibility make him one of the most valuable players in baseball, especially hitting around Evan Longoria, B.J. Upton and Desmond Jennings in the Rays'lineup. Fantasy Bottom Line: Solid production enhanced by versatility. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 501 .297 91 27 91 17 .405 .543 .948 2010 TB 541 .238 77 10 75 24 .346 .353 .699 2011 TB 588 .269 99 20 91 19 .353 .469 .822 Career 2108 .257 317 72 314 67 .348 .435 .782 Projected 572 .283 92 18 88 21 .370 .467 .837 David Price Rank: 3 Age: 26, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $20 Position: SP Nobody made more starts than Price (34) last year, and despite coming away with only 12 victories -- seven fewer than he amassed in 2010 -- the 25-year-old racked up an impressive 218 strikeouts with a 3.46 K/BB rate that tied for ninth best in the American League. Price’s average on balls in play has remained remarkably stable over the past three years and he’s also shown steady improvement in groundball percentage, which bodes well for his future success. Expect another stellar campaign in '12 for the Rays' rocket-armed southpaw. Fantasy Bottom Line: Fireballer set career marks in Ks and WHIP last season. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 TB 10 7 0 128.1 119 54 102 4.42 1.35 2010 TB 19 6 0 208.2 170 79 188 2.72 1.19 2011 TB 12 13 0 224.1 192 63 218 3.49 1.14 Career 41 26 0 575.1 490 200 520 3.38 1.20 Projected 17 10 0 230 195 74 213 3.25 1.17 Desmond Jennings Rank: 4 Age: 25, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $18 Position: OF Twenty stolen bases and 10 homers would represent a decent campaign for many Major Leaguers. Jennings posted those totals in just 247 at-bats as a rookie last year. While the rates may not be sustainable over the 25-year-old’s first big league season, Jennings has nearly 1,000 Triple-A plate appearances under his belt and appears more than ready for full-time leadoff duty. Expect big things, and soon. Fantasy Bottom Line: Carl Crawford's replacement may already produce better numbers. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2010 TB 21 .190 5 0 2 2 .292 .333 .625 2011 TB 247 .259 44 10 25 20 .356 .449 .805 Career 268 .254 49 10 27 22 .351 .440 .791 Projected 555 .272 96 18 56 43 .355 .445 .800 James Shields Rank: 5 Age: 30, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $16 Position: SP Big Game James lived up to his moniker and then some last year, finishing with a 16-12 record, 225 strikeouts and a Major League-leading 11 complete games -- three more than second-place finisher Roy Halladay. Shields’ career year came just a season after he flat-lined with a 5.18 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, numbers that were grossly inflated by freakishly bad luck (.341 BABIP). The 29-year-old’s standout 2011 is far more representative of his impressive skill set, and he should give David Price a run for top billing on the Rays’ staff this season. Fantasy Bottom Line: Career year featured first 200-K season, 11 CGs Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 TB 11 12 0 219.2 239 52 167 4.14 1.32 2010 TB 13 15 0 203.1 246 51 187 5.18 1.46 2011 TB 16 12 0 249.1 195 65 225 2.82 1.04 Career 72 63 0 1227 1231 282 1027 3.96 1.23 Projected 15 10 0 232 226 60 217 3.34 1.23 B.J. Upton Rank: 6 Age: 27, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $15 Position: OF Trade rumors dogged Upton throughout the 2011 season, but the 27-year-old stayed focused enough turn in his finest power-speed campaign since '07. Hopes of the center fielder reducing his strikeout rate and raising his average are fading as he enters his sixth full big league season, but plenty of teams would love to have a center fielder with his ability to walk, go deep or create havoc on the basepaths. Fantasy Bottom Line: Frustrating to own, but few offer his power-speed combo. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 560 .241 79 11 55 42 .313 .373 .686 2010 TB 536 .237 89 18 62 42 .322 .424 .745 2011 TB 560 .243 82 23 81 36 .331 .429 .759 Career 2995 .257 460 90 369 201 .342 .416 .759 Projected 550 .255 80 22 70 35 .339 .449 .788 Matt Moore Rank: 7 Age: 22, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $5 Position: SP The Rays' staff received another influx of homegrown talent when the 22-year-old Moore made the jump to Tampa Bay in September after dismantling two Minor League levels to the tune of a 1.92 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 210 strikeouts over 27 starts. Although he tossed only 9 1/3 regular-season frames with the big club, the Rays saw enough to give him a postseason start in the American League Division Series vs. the Rangers, and the youngster didn't disappoint. Moore is ready for an Opening Day rotation slot and will begin 2012 as an AL Rookie of the Year Award front-runner now that a long-term contract has eliminated service time concerns. Fantasy Bottom Line: League's top pitching prospect ready to cut loose. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2011 TB 1 0 0 9.1 9 3 15 2.89 1.29 Career 1 0 0 9.1 9 3 15 2.89 1.29 Projected 12 7 0 175 159 57 170 3.39 1.23 Kyle Farnsworth Rank: 8 Age: 35, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $5 Position: RP The Rays opened the 2011 campaign with no clear-cut closer, but Farnsworth quickly seized the role and never looked back. The veteran righty saved a career-high 25 games while registering career-best numbers in both ERA and WHIP. Farnsworth will serve as Tampa Bay's stopper once again in '12, and while his track record of overall inconsistency shouldn't be overlooked, his performance last year suggests that a new approach on the mound has paid off big-time. Fantasy Bottom Line: Encore of 2011 no sure thing. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 KC 1 5 0 37.1 43 14 42 4.58 1.53 2010 KC/ATL 3 2 0 64.2 55 19 61 3.34 1.14 2011 TB 5 1 25 57.2 45 12 51 2.18 0.99 Career 39 56 52 894.2 847 373 892 4.25 1.36 Projected 2 4 30 59 58 17 54 3.36 1.27 Jeremy Hellickson Rank: 9 Age: 24, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $4 Position: SP Hellickson led all freshmen with a 2.95 ERA and 20 quality starts, along with 13 wins and a polished 1.15 WHIP, good enough to earn him American League Rookie of the Year Award honors in 2011. Puzzlingly, the right-hander didn't come close to reaching his strikeout potential, with a 5.57 K/9 that was significantly below his career average on the farm. That number will likely be the key indicator going forward, as the 24-year-old’s peripheral stats show an ERA over 4.00 is more likely than another sub-3.00 campaign in ‘12. Fantasy Bottom Line: Won AL ROY despite spotty control, underwhelming K/9 Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2010 TB 4 0 0 36.1 32 8 33 3.47 1.10 2011 TB 13 10 0 189 146 72 117 2.95 1.15 Career 17 10 0 225.1 178 80 150 3.04 1.14 Projected 13 11 0 191 178 69 160 3.49 1.29 Carlos Pena Rank: 10 Age: 33, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $3 Position: 1B Despite playing for five different clubs over his first 10 big league seasons, Pena had never suited up for a National League squad before 2011. Unsurprisingly, the veteran masher did exactly as expected in his first tour of the Senior Circuit: club plenty of long balls with a low average. Pena has bombed at least 28 homers in five consecutive seasons and should be a lock for at least 25 big flies in a return to Tampa, albeit with another sub-.250 average. Fantasy Bottom Line: As usual, plenty of power but an average liability. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 471 .227 91 39 100 3 .356 .537 .893 2010 TB 484 .196 64 28 84 5 .325 .407 .732 2011 CHC 493 .225 72 28 80 2 .357 .462 .819 Career 4113 .239 631 258 730 25 .352 .486 .838 Projected 460 .213 70 28 85 2 .348 .461 .809 Sean Rodriguez Rank: 11 Age: 26, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $2 Position: 2B/3B/SS Rodriguez showed noticeable growth in his walk and contact rates in 2011, but an unlucky batting average on balls in play undermined any improvement in his batting average. He hits enough fly balls to generate more power going forward -- don't forget that he averaged 28 homers per 162 games in the Minors -- and he has above-average speed as well. Rodriguez will have to improve against righties to avoid falling into a platoon, but he turns 27 early this season and is a candidate for a surprise 20-20 campaign. Fantasy Bottom Line: Has power-speed upside, but must hit righties to avoid platoon. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 LAA 25 .200 4 2 4 0 .276 .440 .716 2010 TB 343 .251 53 9 40 13 .308 .397 .705 2011 TB 373 .223 45 8 36 11 .323 .357 .679 Career 908 .229 120 22 90 27 .307 .367 .674 Projected 486 .253 68 15 64 16 .323 .420 .743 Jeff Niemann Rank: 12 Age: 28, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: SP Despite a .623 winning percentage over four years on the Rays' staff, Niemann's role is in question after the meteoric rise of prized prospect Matt Moore caused a rotation squeeze heading into 2012. The right-hander has plenty to offer, but he could find himself in Tampa Bay's bullpen or perhaps used as potential trade bait. No matter what role -- or what team -- he ends up with, the 28-year-old has the skills to maintain No. 3-starter production for the foreseeable future. Fantasy Bottom Line: Facing serious competition for rotation slot Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 TB 13 6 0 180.2 185 59 125 3.94 1.35 2010 TB 12 8 0 174.1 159 61 131 4.39 1.26 2011 TB 11 7 0 135.1 131 37 105 4.06 1.24 Career 38 23 0 506.1 493 165 375 4.16 1.30 Projected 9 8 0 132 126 45 116 3.95 1.30 Matt Joyce Rank: 13 Age: 27, Bats: L, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: OF Few hitters ran more hot and cold than Joyce last season. The Rays outfielder looked like an American League MVP Award candidate through May, didn't hit a lick in June or July, then rebounded with a couple decent months in August in September. Put it all together, and you’re looking at a .277 average with 19 homers and 13 steals -- probably about what the Tampa Bay can expect from the 27-year-old going forward. The one caveat is that Joyce played almost exclusively against right-handed pitchers last season. An improvement vs. southpaws could result in more at-bats and at higher counting stats, albeit with a lower overall average. Fantasy Bottom Line: Streaky, but overall numbers are above average. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 32 .188 3 3 7 1 .270 .500 .770 2010 TB 216 .241 30 10 40 2 .360 .477 .837 2011 TB 462 .277 69 19 75 13 .347 .478 .825 Career 952 .259 142 44 155 16 .345 .482 .828 Projected 435 .260 58 17 62 10 .329 .448 .777 Wade Davis Rank: 14 Age: 26, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: SP Ranked among Baseball America's Top 100 prospects from each year from 2007-10, Davis has struggled to replicate his Minor League success (career 3.28 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 K/9) with the big club. Last season, he won 11 games but only fanned 105 batters in 184 innings and saw an increase in line drives along with one of the worst swinging-strike percentages in the Majors. Davis still has time to fulfill his potential at age 26, but he'll need to markedly improve in several key areas to get there. Fantasy Bottom Line: Took a step back after promising rookie campaign. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 TB 2 2 0 36.1 33 13 36 3.72 1.27 2010 TB 12 10 0 168 165 62 113 4.07 1.35 2011 TB 11 10 0 184 190 63 105 4.45 1.38 Career 25 22 0 388.1 388 138 254 4.22 1.35 Projected 11 12 0 182 177 63 136 3.96 1.32 Luke Scott Rank: 15 Age: 33, Bats: L, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: 1B/OF Last season was one to forget for Scott, who got off to a slow start before seeing his season shut down in July due to a torn labrum. When healthy, the 33-year-old still has 25-homer pop, and his solid on-base percentages makes up for glove skills that leave him best suited for work as a designated hitter. As long as the labrum issues don't linger, expect a bounceback campaign in his first season with the Rays. Fantasy Bottom Line: Big question mark coming off a torn labrum. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 BAL 449 .258 61 25 77 0 .340 .488 .828 2010 BAL 447 .284 70 27 72 2 .368 .535 .902 2011 BAL 209 .220 24 9 22 1 .301 .402 .703 Career 2243 .264 308 112 341 11 .349 .494 .843 Projected 350 .254 42 15 46 1 .331 .440 .771 Jeff Keppinger Rank: 16 Age: 31, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: 2B After signing with the Rays in January, the underappreciated Keppinger will play for his sixth team since 2004 this season. The career .281 hitter doesn’ t have much power and failed to steal a base in 99 games last season, but his bat control could make him an asset in a super-sub role. Fantasy Bottom Line: Solid AVG and RBI output in a part-time role. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 HOU 305 .256 35 7 29 0 .320 .387 .707 2010 HOU 514 .288 62 6 59 4 .351 .393 .744 2011 HOU/SF 379 .277 39 6 35 0 .300 .377 .677 Career 2074 .281 240 32 215 11 .332 .388 .720 Projected 336 .280 38 6 38 0 .326 .399 .725 Joel Peralta Rank: 17 Age: 35, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: RP Last season marked Peralta's second straight campaign with an ERA under 3.00 and a WHIP below 1.00. Not bad for a 35-year-old whose previous career marks sat at 4.61 and 1.30, respectively. The talented righty emerged as Tampa Bay's primary setup man for closer Kyle Farnsworth, and he even picked up a few saves down the stretch while the closer was sidelined due to injury. Peralta figures to assume the same role this season. Fantasy Bottom Line: Lockdown setup man a viable late-rounder in AL-only leagues. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 COL 0 3 0 24.2 27 12 22 6.20 1.58 2010 WSH 1 0 0 49 30 9 49 2.02 0.80 2011 TB 3 4 6 67.2 44 18 61 2.93 0.92 Career 8 15 8 390 352 103 323 3.99 1.17 Projected 3 3 3 63 44 20 61 2.86 1.02 Alex Cobb Rank: 18 Age: 24, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: SP After working through the low Minors from 2006-09, Cobb made short work of Double-A and Triple-A batters before making his big league debut with the Rays in 2011. The 24-year-old right-hander pieced together a 3.42 ERA in nine starts, but he was sidelined in August after undergoing thoracic outlet surgery to repair a blockage near his first rib. Cobb should be fully recovered by Spring Training, but he faces an uphill battle for innings on a talented Tampa Bay staff. Fantasy Bottom Line: No room for righty in deep Rays rotation. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2011 TB 3 2 0 52.2 49 21 37 3.42 1.33 Career 3 2 0 52.2 49 21 37 3.42 1.33 Projected 3 3 0 65 70 21 63 3.88 1.40 Reid Brignac Rank: 19 Age: 26, Bats: L, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: SS Brignac has officially gone from prospect to suspect, completely flopping in 2011 with a .193 average and a single homer in 249 at-bats. He continued to strike out at an alarming rate, with 63 strikeouts against only 10 walks in 264 trips to the plate. Brignac will be 26 by Opening Day, so he should be entering his prime, but there’s nothing in his offensive profile to provide much optimism. The Rays will likely give him a final chance at regular playing time in 2012, but the window of opportunity has nearly closed. Fantasy Bottom Line: From prospect to suspect, 2012 may be his last chance in Tampa. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 TB 90 .278 10 1 6 2 .301 .444 .746 2010 TB 301 .256 39 8 45 3 .307 .385 .692 2011 TB 249 .193 18 1 15 3 .227 .221 .448 Career 650 .231 68 10 66 8 .272 .325 .597 Projected 245 .224 25 2 15 3 .269 .278 .547 Jose Molina Rank: 20 Age: 36, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: C Molina had a banner campaign in 2011, hitting .281 with a career-high .757 OPS. It's tough to put too much stock into one strong offensive season from a 36-year-old career backup, however, and the Rays are likely more interested in Molina's work behind the plate than his offensive contributions. Don't expect a repeat of last year's numbers while he splits time with Jose Lobaton. Fantasy Bottom Line: Twelve-year veteran is unlikely to match 2011 offensive output. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 NYY 138 .217 15 1 11 0 .292 .268 .560 2010 TOR 167 .246 13 6 12 1 .304 .377 .681 2011 TOR 171 .281 19 3 15 2 .342 .415 .757 Career 1787 .241 183 29 163 12 .286 .344 .630 Projected 245 .249 23 6 28 1 .295 .380 .675 Elliot Johnson Rank: 21 Age: 27, Bats: S, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: SS Johnson saw his first extended Major League action in 2011, and the results weren't pretty. Hitting below .200 and getting caught in more than half of his steal attempts, the 27-year-old did little to prove he has the skills to hold an everyday gig. Reid Brignac doesn't have a firm grip on the shortstop position in Tampa Bay, so Johnson could earn some playing time if he can get on base more often this season, but there's little evidence he'll be able to make even that small improvement. Fantasy Bottom Line: Could steal at-bats at shortstop if he improves average. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2011 TB 160 .194 20 4 17 6 .257 .338 .595 Career 179 .190 20 4 17 6 .247 .318 .566 Projected 150 .227 18 3 15 5 .256 .340 .596 Juan Miranda Rank: 22 Age: 28, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $1 Position: 1B Miranda was handed Opening Day duties at first base for the D-backs in 2011 but simply didn't hit enough to keep the job. The Cuban native signed a Minor League contract with the Rays this offseason and Tampa Bay has openings at both first base and designated hitter, but the 28-year-old will need to wow in Spring Training to earn another a full-time gig. Fantasy Bottom Line: Needs a strong spring to avoid Minors. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 NYY 9 .333 2 1 3 0 .333 .667 1.000 2010 NYY 64 .219 7 3 10 0 .296 .422 .718 2011 ARI 174 .213 18 7 23 0 .315 .402 .717 Career 257 .226 29 11 37 0 .320 .420 .740 Projected 245 .249 23 6 28 1 .295 .380 .675 Sam Fuld Rank: 23 Age: 30, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $1 Position: OF Super Sam Fuld looked like one of 2011's biggest surprises in April, when he hit .289 and swiped 10 bases in 97 at-bats. But the 30-year-old's numbers came crashing back down to earth in May and he saw his playing time drastically cut as the season went on. Expect him to see most of his at-bats off the bench this season. Fantasy Bottom Line: Faded badly after hot start, may not make 2012 roster. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2009 CHC 97 .299 17 1 2 2 .409 .412 .821 2010 CHC 28 .143 3 0 3 0 .226 .179 .404 2011 TB 308 .240 41 3 27 20 .313 .360 .673 Career 439 .244 64 4 32 22 .330 .355 .685 Projected 200 .230 26 2 13 12 .287 .350 .637 Jake McGee Rank: 24 Age: 25, Bats: L, Throws: L Dollar Value: $1 Position: RP A resurgent Kyle Farnsworth squashed McGee's hopes of earning the Rays'closer job last year, but the 25-year-old did little to help his case while in the Majors. McGee's stellar strikeout rate was overshadowed by a 1.50 WHIP, and 30 hits allowed in 28 innings show he has some work to do before entering a high-leverage relief role. Fantasy Bottom Line: Future closer prospect not ready yet. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2010 TB 0 0 0 5 2 3 6 1.80 1.00 2011 TB 5 2 0 28 30 12 27 4.50 1.50 Career 5 2 0 33 32 15 33 4.09 1.42 Projected 1 3 0 59 53 27 60 4.12 1.36 Fernando Rodney Rank: 25 Age: 34, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: RP Rodney opened 2011 as the Angels' closer, but it took only a few days for him to lose that job to rookie Jordan Walden. Despite his nasty stuff, Rodney's penchant for handing out walks at an alarmingly high rate has prevented him reaching top-tier stopper status. Fantasy Bottom Line: Control issues make a return to ninth inning unlikely. Year Team W L SV IP H BB K ERA WHIP 2009 DET 2 5 37 75.2 70 41 61 4.40 1.47 2010 LAA 4 3 14 68 70 35 53 4.24 1.54 2011 LAA 3 5 3 32 26 28 26 4.50 1.69 Career 22 38 87 430 396 233 393 4.29 1.46 Projected 2 4 0 59 56 33 48 4.58 1.51 Brandon Guyer Rank: 26 Age: 26, Bats: R, Throws: R Dollar Value: $1 Position: OF In his past two Minor League seasons, Guyer has hit over .300 while showing impressive basestealing ability and a little bit of power. That success earned him a brief appearance with the Rays last season. He'll be hard pressed to crack the Opening Day roster, but if the team suffers some injuries, Guyer will be one of the first players recalled from the Minors. Fantasy Bottom Line: Minor League numbers indicate that he could handle a bench role. Year Team AB AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG OPS 2011 TB 41 .195 7 2 3 0 .214 .366 .580 Career 41 .195 7 2 3 0 .214 .366 .580 Projected 20 .200 3 1 2 0 .304 .400 .704 來源: http://tinyurl.com/79mbeev 作者 knoxvillt (胖胖) 看板 Rays 標題 [Stat] 2012 MLB.com FB player preview 時間 Wed Feb 8 00:40:19 2012 ─────────────────────────────────────── ※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 220.135.31.4 (02/08 03:59) ※ 編輯: knoxvillt 來自: 220.135.31.4 (02/08 04:00)