[農場] 2013 Tampa Bay Rays Top 15 Prospects

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間12年前 (2013/03/01 17:13)推噓10(10推 0噓 1→)

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2013 Tampa Bay Rays Top 15 Prospects 原文：http://ppt.cc/fMep For years, prospect mavens have considered the Rays one of the standard bearers for impact potential and overall depth throughout the minor league system. While they have dipped a little from their peak of a few years ago, the addition of Will Myers and Jake Odorizzi provides two very good prospects that boost the system and augment talents like Taylor Guerrier, Chris Archer and Hak-Ju Lee. While the Rays system may not be the envy of everyone in the league like it used to be, it is still the envy of most of the league. 近幾年來，研究新秀的專家們都認為在所有小聯盟系統裡，光芒是同時兼具天分和深度的農場之一。雖然星度隨著頂級新秀陸續畢業有些下滑，但在交易來Wil Myers和Jack Odorizzi後拉高了不少評價，Taylor Guerrieri、Chris Archer和Hak-Ju Lee則是原本就是天分極高的新秀。也許光芒農場不像幾年前星光閃閃，但仍然是其他球團值得羨慕的強項。 1. Wil Myers – OF (Last Year’s Rank: NR) The headline prospect in the winter deal that sent James Shields to Kansas City, Myers is one of the top handful of prospects in the entire game. Both his power and hitting ability rate as at least plus tools with many scouts willing to go higher on the scouting scale. He projects as a quality defender in right field and his potential as a dynamite middle of the order hitter makes him an elite-level prospect. 1. Wil Myers，外野手，去年排名：NR 作為去年冬天James Shields交易案的主菜，Myers是聯盟裡為數不多的頂級新秀之一，水準之上的長打力和打擊技巧讓球探們願意在評分表上給他較高的評價。會是一位有水準的右外野手，而他的球棒將會讓他以中心打者的身分成為精英等級的新秀。 2. Taylor Guerrieri – RHP (3) I had the opportunity to scout Guerrieri six times last summer and to say I am a believer would be selling my opinion short. Even with decreased velocity as he endured the longest season of his career, Guerrieri’s fastball had excellent sink and induced plenty of weak contact. He has an uncanny ability to pound the strike zone with his entire arsenal, and given the Rays success developing pitchers, I believe the velocity will bounce back and he could be a number two starter. 2. Taylor Guerrieri，右投手，3 去年夏天看了六次Guerrieri的比賽，我想我很有資格來說說他的表現。雖然在生涯最長的球季裡，球速有所下滑，但Guerrieri的速球有很棒的下沉軌跡，這也使得打者無法有效擊中球心。有種神祕的魔力讓武器落在好球帶內。考慮到光芒培養投手的光榮傳統，我相信他的球速會反彈，而且會成為二號先發。 3. Chris Archer – RHP (4) There has always been talk that Archer could end up in the bullpen and that talk will exist until he demonstrates and ability to start in the big leagues. Archer has the raw stuff to succeed in any role thanks to a plus-plus fastball and arguably the best slider in the minor leagues. He can miss tons of bats and even if his change-up maxes out as a fringe-average pitch and his command does not develop, he can fit in the number four spot in a big league rotation, while always having the potential to reach higher. 3. Chris Archer，右投手，4 在Archer證明自己能在大聯盟以先發投手站穩腳步前，有關他最後會成為後援投手的流言不會停止。頂級的速球和全農場最棒的滑球讓Archer的球質足以勝任任何角色，雖然變速球和控球都不夠成熟，但他已有實力能讓打者不斷揮空。我想他會成為四號先發，但有實力養成更中心的角色。 4. Hak-Je Lee – SS (2) Lee is a supreme defender with the ability to pick it with the best of them at the big league level. His arm fits well on the left side of the infield with at least plus grades from scouts, while his speed also earns plus scores. Lee can get the bat to the ball and has a good idea of the strike zone but he lacks punch with bottom of the scale power and may only be capable of hitting an empty .250 in the big leagues. Lee could survive as an everyday shortstop but the defense will have to come as advertised in every way. 4. Hak-Je Lee，游擊手，2 Lee是優異的防守者，而這可能是他站穩大聯盟最棒的武器。被球探評為水準之上的臂力讓他在內野左側的表現如魚得水，同時他的速度也有不錯的評價。Lee可以有效擊球和選球，但缺乏長打能力的他可能只能在大聯盟交出.250的打擊率。我相信Lee可以以他的防手成為正規的游擊手。 5. Richie Shaffer – 3B (NR) A first round pick of the Rays in 2012, Shaffer has a power profile that could make him an impact big leaguer. He is a solid hitter with a good approach, allowing his power to come through in game situations and even though he strikes out plenty, he can hit 20+ home runs on the back of a .275 average. Shaffer will have to hit with his rough defensive profile. He lacks the projection to remain at third base and could end up on an outfield corner or at first base down the line. 5. Richie Shaffer，三壘手，NR 光芒去年選秀第一輪的收穫，Shaffer具備能在大聯盟生存的長打能力，穩定且優秀的揮棒軌跡可以讓他在比賽中完美的釋放力量，也許會有許多三振但.275的打擊率和20+ 的全壘打是可以期待的。Shaffer的防守有些粗糙，缺乏在三壘生存的前景，也許會轉到角落外野或是一壘。 6. Jake Odorizzi – RHP (NR) Odorizzi's profile centers on a wealth of solid tools rather than anything exceptional. His fastball is his best pitch, sitting in the low-90s with good movement and touching 95 mph in rare instances. He mixes his change-up, curveball and slider into his outings well and is showing an improved ability to command his entire arsenal. What Odorizzi lacks in flash, he makes up for in certainty, as he has a high likelihood of fulfilling his potential as a third or fourth starter. 6. Jake Odorizzi，右投手，NR Odorizzi沒有特別優異的天賦，但他的實力相當堅強。速球是他最棒的球種，球速可以穩定的停留在low-90s左右，最快可以到95 mph，搭配上變速球、曲球和滑球可以讓他順利解決打者，同時也展現了在控球上的進步。Odorizzi不會是閃光燈的焦點，但能肯定的是他能帶來穩定的貢獻。他很有機會完全將潛力轉換成實力，應該會是潛在的三到四號先發。 7. Blake Snell – LHP (NR) Snell should have been on this list somewhere last year and that is a mistake I pointed out in the Rays Accountability Check earlier today. He has an ideal pitcher's frame with tons of room to add strength and add to his plus fastball and he could work in the 93-94 mph range down the line. Both his slider and change-up show promise and some scouts I spoke with in the Appy League last year believed both could be plus pitches in time. Snell needs to refine his control and command profile in order to reach his ceiling as a mid-rotation workhorse. 7. Blake Snell，左投手，NR Snell去年沒在這份榜單上真是一大錯誤。理想的投手身材，同時有很多機會變得更壯，並提高目前落在93-94 mph的速球。滑球和變速球都展現很棒的品質，去年我和APPY 的球探討論過，有些人認為再過一段時間，這兩個球種都有水準之上的實力。如果 Snell能改進控球上的缺點，他將會是可以吃下大量局數的中段輪值。 8. Alex Colome – RHP (6) I can't get past a relief profile for Colome but he could be an impact player in that role. His fastball works in the 93-94 mph range during starts and he has shown the ability to work in the 95-97 mph range in shorter bursts. His curveball has excellent velocity separation from his fastball and also shows hard, late break. Colome's max-effort delivery precludes his command development and can sometimes leave him without the ability to find the strike zone. With any luck, Colome could be a seventh or eighth inning power arm. 8. Alex Colome，右投手，6 我仍然認為Colome會是一位後援投手，他也有實力以這個角色為球隊帶來貢獻。先發時，球速大約落在93-94 mph，但偶爾也會有95-97 mph的演出。他的曲球軌跡大，變化慢，配上直球可以產生很大的速差。Colome在棒球場上的努力並沒有表現在控球上，這也使他有時會找不到好球帶。幸運的話，他會是球隊在第七或第八局的強力後援。 9. Felipe Rivero – RHP (NR) An undersized righty, Rivero doesn't lack for raw potential and if you can get past his size, he looks like a potential mid-rotation arm. He already works in the low-90s with his fastball and shows good command for his age, leaving him with additional projection as he reaches physical maturity. Both of Rivero’s secondary pitches have at least average potential and the curveball will flash better than that. He is miles from the big leagues but he has to be watched closely as a potential breakout arm. 9. Felipe Rivero，右投手，NR 小隻的右投手，Rivero並不缺乏天分，甚至如果忽略他的體型，他會是潛在的中段輪值人選。90 mph出頭的直球球速和超越同齡的控球，使球探對他在成熟期時的表現有額外的期待。Rivero的兩種第二球種都有機會至少有聯盟平均的潛力，曲球會是比較出色的球種。離大聯盟還很遠，但他充滿潛力的手臂很值得持續觀察。 10. Drew Vettleson – OF (8) Not unlike Jake Odorizzi ahead of him, Vettleson earns plenty of points for doing a lot of things solidly but doesn’t do anything at a top-flight level. He has a sound approach at the plate, though his bat-to-ball skills still lead to some swing and miss. He should be an average hitter with some walks and 15-18 home runs at his peak. His defense in right field will be solid as well and his arm is his best tool, working in the plus-plus range. Vettleson isn’t a flashy prospect but he should be at least a fourth outfielder and could be a solid everyday guy if he fulfills every part of his potential. 10. Drew Vettleson，外野手，8 和Jack Odorizzi很像，Vettleson有全方位的實力，但沒有特別出色的天賦。雖然在擊球技巧上還有待磨練，但揮棒軌跡健全。平均的打擊者，可以選到一些保送，最多15到 18發全壘打。出色的防守範圍和臂力，可以讓他在右外野有穩定的守備表現。Vettleson 並不是搶眼的新秀，但至少會是四號外野手，如果潛力完整開發，將會是外野的固定先發。 11. Mike Montgomery – LHP (NR) I noted during my Kansas City Royals Accountability Check that I have had a hard time quitting on Montgomery. Okay folks, I’m still having a hard time doing it. My name is Mark Anderson and I have a Mike Montgomery problem. There's just too much to like in his past and I am a big believer in how the Rays develop and polish pitching prospects. Color me hopeful that the Rays can work some magic with Montgomery and coax a mid-rotation starter out of him. I may be writing here next year and have a lot of egg on my face, but I’m going to stand firm on this one. 11. Mike Montgomery，左投手，NR 在皇家新秀排名時，我很掙扎要不要把Montgomery踢出名單，現我又遇到相同的問題。我對他過去的表現印象深刻，同時我對光芒調教年輕投手的能力深信不疑。但願光芒可以在Montgomery身上施點魔法讓他以中段輪值的身分破繭而出，如果事與願違…我想明年我的臉上會砸滿很多雞蛋，但我仍對他很有信心。 12. Oscar Hernandez – C (NR) This is a lofty ranking for Hernandez; a player that still has a long, long way to go to the big leagues. He has plenty of refinements to make behind the plate but he has made progress since signing and should be an average defender in time. Where Hernandez stands out is with the bat. He has an excellent feel for the barrel, good bat speed and strength that lead to plenty of raw power and a decent approach for his age. He has work to do, particularly in handling secondary pitches, but his bat could carry him. 12. Oscar Hernandez，捕手，NR 這個排名對Hernandez來說可能有點高，畢竟他距離大聯盟還有很長很長的路要走。他在本壘板後的技巧還有很多地方值得磨練，但和簽約時相比，他已經展現了很顯著的進步，未來防守應該可以達到聯盟水準。Hernandez最出色的地方在打擊，對球棒的掌很出色，不錯的揮棒速度和強壯的身材，讓他可以自然的發揮力量並展現與同齡相較合格的揮棒軌跡。還有很多試煉等著他，特別是接捕變化球的技巧，但棒子可以把他帶到更高的殿堂。 13. Tim Beckham – SS (10) I still like Beckham and think he plays for an extended period in the big leagues. He is a fringy defender at shortstop but has the tools to handle both third base and second base defensively, giving excellent versatility. He does a lot of things at a decent level at the plate and won’t be a punchless utility player when he settles onto the Rays roster. 13. Tim Beckham，游擊手，10 對Beckham的喜愛依舊，而且我認為他會在大聯盟生存一大段時間。游擊防守徘徊在水準邊緣，但要轉守二壘或三壘應該沒問題，也可為球隊帶來多元性，並以工具人的身分為球隊帶來許多貢獻，當他在光芒名冊佔有一席之地時，也不會成為自動出局數。 14. Jose Castillo – LHP (NR) I just couldn't keep myself from doing this. Castillo is the type of prospect I live for and even though I know the incredible risk associated with talents like this, Castillo has a chance to be absolutely special. Signed for $1.55 million last summer, Castillo already has a mature 6-foot-4, 200 pound frame that has projection remaining and there are hints that his fastball that already runs in the low-90s could be a complete monster down the line. He shows occasional feel for his secondary pitches but needs a lot of work to refine them. There’s a ton of risk here but I just can’t stop myself from including him at the back of the list. 14. Jose Castillo，左投手，NR 我無法控制自己不把Castillo放在榜單上，他有明知必須承擔極大風險，還是會冒險投資的天分，他有機會成為特別的球員。去年夏天以$1.55M簽約的Castillo具備成熟的身材，這也是他年紀輕輕球速就上達low-90s的原因，而且可預期在未來會有更大幅度的成長。他偶爾可以投出不錯的變化球，但還需要很多努力去雕琢。風險極高，但我無法克制自己不讓他成為這份榜單上的一員。 15. Jake Hager – SS (12) I like Hager's overall profile but still question just how much impact potential he has. His glove work is fine for now but he is not a natural looking shortstop and could shift to either side before his development is complete. At the plate, Hager has a decent approach, solid contact skills and the ability to drive the ball to all fields. He should show really good gap power and could ultimately pop 12-15 home runs a year. I don’t think Hager will ever be an elite prospect but he should steadily climb the ladder and reach the big leagues. 15. Jake Hager，游擊手，12 喜歡Hager的表現，但還有許多問題需要他去證明。他目前的防守表現很棒，但看起來不是天生的游擊手，可能會在更高層級移往二壘或三壘。打擊上，Hager有合格的揮棒軌跡，穩定的擊球技巧，而且能把球打到每個角落。他已經展現很不錯的長打實力，也許每年可以敲出12-15支全壘打，我不認為Hager會成為頂尖新秀，但他有穩定晉升至大聯盟的實力。心得：這份榜單有趣的地方在於作者並不害怕拔擢高天分但完成度低的新秀，前10名和各家差不多，但沒看到Enny Romero和Mikie Mahtook讓我有些小意外，畢竟這兩位球員論天分和完成度都不輸Felipe Rivero和Drew Vettleson。另一個有趣的是，根據BA和MLB.com去年的國際選秀排名，光芒拿下最有天分的投手新秀並非Jose Castillo，而是Jose Mujica（有球探認為他是下一個Felix Hernandez），但作者給前者的評價很明顯比後者高，而這兩位球員還沒正式為光芒出賽，就獲得如此高的讚揚，也為低階聯盟的投手深度提供一些可看性。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244