[農場] 2013 Prospects in Review: Center Field

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間11年前 (2013/11/14 18:25)推噓3(3推 0噓 11→)

留言14則, 2人參與討論串1/1

Link：http://ppt.cc/5ZHz Center Field While the Rays lack an elite prospect in center field, two of the players recapped below had among the best seasons among positional players in the system, and both should fit somewhere into the top 20 prospects (with Toles a good bet to reach the top 10). Unsurprisingly, this group of players contains several superb athletes. With that being said, the results have not always matched the tools, and none of these players boasts a big stick at the moment. 雖然光芒在中外野手這個守位缺乏頂級新秀，但有兩位球員交出整個農場最棒的賽季，而這兩位都很有可能在某些球探眼中進入今年的top 20 prospects（Toles 可能可以進到top 10）。毫無意外的，這群球員有許多人具備出色的運動能力。只是交出來的成績並不總是與天分相符，目前也還沒有任何球員展現驚人的爆發。 Typically, center fielders have above average of better speed, modest power, and a solid or better hit tool, though Mike Trout shows that it is not impossible for a center fielder to be an excellent all-around hitter. The list will start with players on the writers' poll, and the rest will be listed alphabetically. 雖然Mike Trout證明了中外野手不是不可能成為出色的全方位球員，但典型的中外野手的基本要求是水準之上的速度，合格的長打能力，紮實或是更好的打擊能力。 19. Andrew Toles (21 Y.O., at Class-A) 552 PA, .326/.359/.466, 4.0 BB%, 19.0 K%, 2 HR, 53 XBH Just as he did last year, Toles jumped off to a quick start, hitting for a .461 wOBA in April. For a while, it looked like Toles would fade as the season went along, as he did in 2012. However, he rebounded in July just as his batting average was slipping below the .300 mark. In July and August, he hit for a .414 and .386 wOBA, respectively. 就如同他去年展現的，Toles 的起步相當快速，四月wOBA就來到.461，過了一段時間，看起來Toles 會像去年一樣後繼無力，但到了七月就在打擊率稍微低於三成後，他開始反彈，整個七八月他交出.414的打擊率和.386的wOBA。 After hitting .281 in 2012 with Princeton, Toles saw his average jump to .323 despite his strikeout rate also rising by a few percent. While Toles showed some pop in 2012 (7 HR in 52 games), his power was more of the doubles and triples variety this past season. The most concerning area of Toles' season was his walk rate; a 4.0 BB% is poor, and hopefully it is only a sign of his rawness as a player. He once again showed his aptitude on the base paths, stealing 62 bases (77.6 SB%). 2012年在Rk打出.281的打擊率之後，Toles 把打擊率拉升到.323，雖然三振率有小幅的上升。雖然去年展現了一些長打火力（52場比賽 7轟），但過去這個球季，他的長打還是以二壘打和三壘打居多。最令人擔心的是保送率，4.0%真的很糟。希望這只是他還不夠成熟的結果。他再次展現他在跑壘的侵略性，以 77.6%的成功率跑出62 次盜壘成功。個人補充： Toles一直是我很喜歡的新秀，他交出的成績也不差，但他今年逐月的BABIP都沒有低過.375（全年.402），此外A+並不是打者偏向的聯盟，加上他選保送的能力並不太好，明年成績可能會有一定程度的下滑。不過他還是目前光芒中外野手最棒的新秀，不論是防守範圍（隨著判斷能力增強，還會再提高）和臂力都很出色，只要唯持目前的打擊手感和一定程度的中長程火力，有機會在 DDJ合約到期後接掌中外野，同時也能讓Jennings回到最適合他的左外野。 ------ Kevin Kiermaier (23 Y.O. in Double-A, Triple-A, and MLB) 571 PAs, .295/.362/.431, 7.9 BB%, 15.2 K%, 6 HR, 42 XBH It was quite the season for Kiermaier, who went from an unheralded fringe prospect to playing center field for the Rays in the playoffs. Along the way, he ascended three levels and thrust himself into the prospect picture. 這個賽季是屬於Kiermaier 的，從名不經傳的小夥子到成為光芒打進季後賽關鍵戰役的中外野手。一路上他連過三個層級，然後讓自己晉升潛力新秀之林。 A tremendous defender in center field, Kiermaier doesn't need to hit very much to provide value. Though he does not walk a whole lot, his strike out rate is in control and he uses his speed and line drive approach to hit for a solid average. This season didn't come out of nowhere; he has a .743 OPS in his professional career. Still, it will be interesting to see if Kiermaier will carry his strong offensive performance into next year. 出色的防守者，Kiermaier 真正的價值不在於他的打擊，雖然保送率不高，但三振率控制得很好。他將速度和平飛球的打擊形態結合，讓他有很漂亮的打擊率。這季的表現不是沒來由的爆發，他生涯 OPS來到.743，明年能不能重複這樣的表現會是最令人感興趣的事情。個人補充： Kiermaier 這兩年的成長有目共睹，雖然目前大多數的球探還是把他當作四號外野手，但是我不認為再過幾年他的表現會比剛續約的 DDJ遜色。除了防守範圍讓他在外野任何一個角落都是頂尖的防守者，Kiermaier 的另一個價值在於這兩年沒有明顯的左右病，唯一要挑剔的是盜壘能力，不然會是一位很合適的第一棒人選。 Kiermaier最後四分之一個賽季才加入AAA，在大聯盟外野手大塞車的情況下，應該是參加完春訓就回到 AAA磨練，要是有人受傷再視情況上去當個替補，明年九月看到他應該是確定的。 ------ Kes Carter (23 Y.O. at Advanced Class-A) 454 PA, .235/.297/.374, 6.8 BB%, 22.0 K%, 7 HR, 34 XBH A supplemental first round draft pick in the 2011 draft, Kes Carter featured five tools that rated at least average, though none stood out as plus. The biggest drawback was his health, a vice that has hindered his development in pro ball. 2013 was his healthiest year since joining the Rays, yet he still only played in 118 games. 2011年第一輪補償選秀，Kes Carter被視為五工具都至少有平均水準的外野手。最大的疑慮在於健康問題，對於他在職業賽場上的發展會是很嚴重的問題。2013年是他進入光芒最健康的一年，不過也只出賽了118場比賽。 While Carter showed above average power in the FSL, nothing else stood out. He stuck out more than average, walked less than average, and wasn't particularly effective on the base paths (10 SB, 7 CS). He has missed significant development time and was old for the league, so Carter needs to both stay healthy and bolster his performance to become a top prospect. 他在A+展現了水準之上的長打能力，但其他部分乏善可陳。三振率和保送率都比平均水準來得差，盜壘成功率也不高。傷病讓他錯過了成長的時間，在所屬聯盟屬於大齡新秀，接下來Carter必須保持健康並進一步提高表現才能成為頂尖新秀。個人補充： Carter是當年選秀會上Kentucky state最棒的打者，當時的模板就是Matt Joyce （左殺，有長打，有選球！），只是傷病（小腿、脛骨、腿筋…）讓他的養成一直不順利。Carter過去在選保送這一塊做得很好，事實上也是我認為做得最好的部分，今年的退步來得有些意外，希望明年能反彈。從學生時期就有的左殺問題進入職業依然沒有獲得改善，如果不能提升對右投手的威脅性，以年紀來說很難有進一步的突破。 Carter的防守已經很成熟，不論是防守範圍還是臂力都在水準之上，不過球團可能會為了減輕腿部的負擔將他移往邊角外野。 ------ James Harris (19 Y.O. at Short Season Class-A) 237 PA, .258/.309/.346, 7.2 BB%, 28.7 K%, 1 HR, 14 XBH When Harris was selected by the Rays with their final first round supplemental pick in the 2011 draft, there was a sharp divide about the pick. Some loved the athleticism and felt he was underrated; others warned that he was more of an athlete than a baseball player. So far in his professional career, Harris has proven to be an excellent athlete with a limited present baseball ability (this is relative, of course). Harris當年在第一輪補償選秀被光芒選中時就引起很大的爭議，有些球探愛他的運動能力，也認為他被低估了；有些認為比起棒球員，稱呼他為運動員更適當。截至目前為止，Harris証明他自己是個棒球能力有限的出色運動員。 In his third season in short season ball, Harris made strides in some respects. His 99 wRC+ was by far the highest of his career, and he walked at a decent rate. However, his strike out rate was very high, he hit for below average power, and much of his offense was dependent on a high BABIP. His athleticism will keep him on the radar, but his performance thus far is pro ball is not noteworthy. 在第三個職業賽季，Harris在某些方面得到球探的肯定，99的WRC+是生涯最高，保送率也維持的不錯。但三振率非常高，長打能力在水準之下，打擊成績很大一部分和高 BABIP（.367）有關。他的運動能力會讓他保持在球探雷達中，但到目前的表現並不值得一提。 ------ Julian Ridings (21 Y.O. in Short Season Class-A) 232 PA, .255/.288/.338, 3.9 BB%, 18.5 K%, 0 HR, 16 XBH An 18th round draft pick in the 2013 draft, Ridings was tasked with manning center field for the Hudson Valley Renegades. In his pro debut, he struggled. His walk rate and power were both sub-par, and his average was not nearly enough to make up for these shortcomings. He performed much better in college, so hopefully he can rebound next year. 2013年第18輪被選入光芒系統後， Ridings接到的第一個任務就是擔任A-的中外野手。他的職業處女秀在保送率和長打能力上掙扎，打擊率也不足以掩飾這些缺點。他的表現比大學好，希望明年可以反彈。 ------ Thomas Milone (18 Y.O. in Rookie Ball and Short Season Class-A) 160 PA, .209/.264/.297, 4.4 BB%, 24.4 K%, 1 HR, 7 XBH Milone was this year's high draft pick (3rd round) with premium athleticism and questionable current baseball skill. Scouts commented before the draft that he often, with the bat, looked like just another high school player, and it showed in his short season debut. Milone是今年的高位選秀（第三輪），具備頂級的運動能力和目前備受質疑的棒球技巧，球探在選秀前對他的打擊做出許多評論，目前看起來他就是另一位青澀高中球員，而這個看法也在他的短期季賽處女秀印證了。 It was a miserable performance for Milone this year, though the sample size is not huge. From the statistics, it looks like he struggles to control the strike zone while also not driving the ball, two traits unsurprising from a player who focused quite a bit on football during high school. 今年對Milone來說是悲劇的一年，雖然樣本數不多，但從數據上來說，他看起來對好球帶的掌握和擊球都還不夠好，這兩件事對一位過去都在打美式足球的高中生來說並不令人意外。 ------ Bralin Jackson (19 Y.O. in Rookie League) 257 PAs, .216/.281/.299, 7.4 BB%, 21.8 K%, 3 HR, 10 XBH Reports from instructs raved about Bralin Jackson, pegging him as a player to keep an eye on. Possibly the best athlete in the Rays' farm system, Jackson needed to show that he could handle the bat. Unfortunately, he did nothing to prove that in 2013. 去年指導聯盟的報告說Bralin Jackson是位值得注意的新秀。也許他是光芒農場運動能力最好的球員，他需要的只是控制好他的球棒。不幸的，今年並沒有爆發。 There are not many positives to take away from his season statistically. He hit for a low average, hit for little power, walked at a below league average rate, struck out at an above league average rate, and was not especially effective stealing bases. Like Harris, Jackson will stay on the map due to his athleticism. But for right now, he doesn't seem to have much else going for him. 就數據上來說，我們找不出任何樂觀的跡象。打擊在水準之下，沒有長打能力，保送率低於聯盟水平，三振率高於聯盟水平。連盜壘成功率都不高。和Harris相同， Jackson 會因為他的運動能力留在球探目光中，但現在看不出來他還能帶給球隊什麼幫助。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244 ※ 編輯: csy1911 來自: 140.118.235.118 (11/23 13:30)