[情報] Keith Law: 2009 Farm Rank & Top 100

看板RedSox作者Belladonaa時間17年前 (2009/01/22 23:19)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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2009 Organizational Rankings 7. Boston Red Sox: Probably an aggressive ranking, but their 2008 draft class has the potential to be one of the best. They have become more aggressive at going over slot to obtain premium players in the draft and have become more active internationally. Their system probably had more prospect depth on 2008 short-season rosters than any other but Texas'. Ranking the top 100 prospects #7 Lars Anderson, 1B, #AGE 21, 2008 RANK: 28 Anderson is the best of a fairly deep class of first base prospects in the minors right now, separating himself by his relative youth and advanced approach. Anderson has outstanding plate discipline for a prospect his age - or any age, really, but his relative youth makes it much more impressive. His career OBP sits at .404, and you can see a cerebral approach to the strike zone. As a hitter, Anderson has a high setup and makes a big, quick first move down to get into hitting position; once he gets started, he's very short to the ball and makes a lot of hard contact with good backspin. He has the swing and physical potential to hit 30-plus home runs, but is still working out which pitches to pull and which pitches to take to the opposite field. He's adequate at first base despite being a well below-average runner. Despite the fact that he finished 2008 with a strong performance in Double-A, Anderson is a few years away from becoming an impact big-league hitter with both a high OBP and big power, but he has the complete package and only requires development time to get there. #52. Michael Bowden, RHP, #AGE 22, 2008 RANK: UR Bowden is a strike-thrower with average stuff who looks to be about half a year away from contributing to a big-league rotation, but doesn't have ceiling. Bowden's best skill is his control -- he pounds the strike zone and is very aggressive with pretty average stuff. His fastball is fringe-average to average, mostly 88-91 mph; he'll touch 93, but the harder he tries to throw, the straighter it gets. His best pitch is his changeup, which he sells well and has good late tumbling action. His curveball has good depth but it's very vertical, truly 12-6, while his slider is long and slurvy. As you might imagine from that description of his stuff, he gives up a lot of fly balls and could easily be homer-prone in the big leagues. The saving grace is that he hides the ball well from the hitter. He has a slightly rough straight-over-the-top delivery that makes it harder for him to pitch side-to-side and also explains the mediocre slider. Because he throws so many strikes and has good deception, he projects better than most guys with average stuff, but even so doesn't look like more than a future fourth starter. #81. Nick Hagadone, LHP, #AGE 23, 2008 RANK: UR Hagadone pitched with an average fastball in college at the University of Washington, then saw it steadily increase in velocity until he was hitting 97 repeatedly in April & when his elbow cried "uncle" and his season ended on a surgeon's table with Tommy John surgery. The operation was successful and Hagadone is expected to make a full recovery, with a return to the minors in April not out of the question. Assuming the stuff comes back, Hagadone is at worst a two-pitch guy who'll sit 92-95 with an above-average slider, which could make him a devastating left-handed reliever (perhaps with even more velo) or a No. 2/3 starter if his command improves or his changeup comes along. Healthy, he would have cracked the top 40 here, but the surgery and the lost development time leave us with a lot of unanswered questions about his future. #90. Junichi Tazawa, RHP, #AGE 22, 2008 RANK: IE Tazawa isn't quite big-league ready, but he's fairly close and could start in Double-A and appear in the majors by year-end. His stuff right now is reliever material -- a low-90s fastball and a plus splitter with big bottom -- and his fastball command needs improvement, while his slider is fringe-average at best. He's comfortable spotting his off-speed pitches, but he'll need to command his fastball better in the upper half of the zone, something that has in general been an issue with Japanese pitchers who've moved from their major league to Major League Baseball. Tazawa pitched in an industrial league in Japan rather than their professional system, so he comes to Boston without years in a Japanese pro team's system and the player development ideas that come with it. With improved fastball command and development of the slider (or his curve), he projects as a mid-rotation starter, which would put him toward the middle of this list rather than toward the back. #94. Daniel Bard, RHP, #AGE 23, 2008 RANK: UR Bard fell to the end of the first round in 2006, where the Red Sox gladly picked him up, since a college pitcher with arm strength like Bard's does not typically make it out of the top 10 picks. Unfortunately, Bard's first full pro season was a disaster: In 75 innings as a starter, Bard walked 78 and struck out 47, hitting eight men and throwing 27 wild pitches. He didn't quite have Steve Blass Disease, but it was close. Shifted to the bullpen in Hawaii last winter, Bard has returned himself to prospect status, rediscovering his control while showing more consistency with his breaking ball. Bard comes from a low three-quarters slot and throws a legitimate 95-98 mph with good run and some sink, generating ground balls with the pitch and offsetting it with a mid-80s slider that is fringe-average but at least gives him something else to show to hitters. He has thrown a loopy mid-70s curveball that's slow and that he can't command, but will probably put that pitch in long-term storage with the progress he's made on the slider. The concern about Bard is simple: He's positively passive for a pitcher with power stuff, and when something goes wrong for him, he reacts badly, pitching away from contact instead of challenging hitters to hit a pitch (the fastball) most of them won't sniff. It's a question of maturity on the mound -- the same reason Oakland's Gio Gonzalez isn't on the top 100 -- and Bard has to develop it to become an ace reliever in the majors. #101-110. Josh Reddick, RF, #AGE 22, 2008 RANK: UR Strong kid with a plus arm, great plate coverage and line-drive power. He takes a very short path to the ball and whips the bat through the zone, so when he makes contact, it's hard. His lack of plate discipline was his undoing in Double-A, unfortunately, despite everything else he brings to the table. Boston Red Sox TOP 10 1. Lars Anderson, 1B 2. Michael Bowden, RHP 3. Nick Hagadone, LHP 4. Junichi Tazawa, RHP 5. Daniel Bard, RHP 6. Josh Reddick, RF 7. Casey Kelly, RHP/SS 8. Stolmy Pimentel, RHP 9. Ryan Westmoreland, CF 10. Michael Almanzar, 3B Top first basemen 1. Lars Anderson, Boston ... -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.73.5 ※ 編輯: Belladonaa 來自: 118.160.72.211 (02/05 20:03)