[新聞] 紅襪球季中成績單
Red Sox midseason report card
http://goo.gl/BFHZt by Tony Massarotti
----------摘要----------
A+ Gonzalez
A Beckett, Papelbon, Ellsbury, Ortiz
A- Lester
B+ Aceves, Bard
B Albers, Buchholz, Wakefield, Saltalamacchia, Varitek, Epstein x Francona
B- Pedroia, Youkilis
C+ Lowrie
C 松坂, Scutaro
D Crawford
D- Jenks
E- 從缺
F Lackey, Wheeler, Cameron, Drew, McDonald
----------本文----------
By the time we reach Game 81, as the Red Sox will tonight, the math is easy.
Depending on a win or a loss, the Red Sox will be on pace for 92 or 94 wins.
Jon Lester is on pace to win 20 games. Adrian Gonzalez is on pace to knock in
more than 140 runs and Jacoby Ellsbury cruising toward 50 steals.
What better time to give midterm grades than at the precise midpoint of the
2011 Red Sox season? Overall, the Red Sox have done fine, though the last 10
days have set them back some. Boston has lost three straight series entering
this weekend’s three-game set with the Houston Astros, and a division that
seemed in their control now belongs to the New York Yankees.
As such, the aggregate grade for this club falls somewhere in the range of a
B or B-minus, particularly after the Sox talked during spring training of
winning 100 games. Flaws have been exposed, as is the case with every team,
and the trading deadline beckons.
Here is one sampling of midterm grades for the 2011 Red Sox, in alphabetical
order.
PITCHERS (Minimum: 10 appearances or five starts)
Alfredo Aceves (B+) – Take away one positively rancid start against the
Chicago White Sox and Aceves has checked in with a 2.82 ERA in 19 outings.
Meanwhile, he has started (four games), closed (one save) and done just about
everything in between. Human joint compound. Nice pickup.
Matt Albers (B) – Know that expression, “You are what you are?” Well in
the case of Albers, he’s a middle reliever who is most effective in the
middle innings, Stray any later and you’re likely to have problems. Francona
has used Albers perfectly this season and the results have been good. But he’
s not a real option in the late innings.
Daniel Bard (B+) – True fact: among all American League pitchers with at
least 20 innings, Bard ranks second in WHIP to only Baltimore's Koji Uehara.
So why the relatively low grade? Because he’s also absorbed four losses,
tied for third-most among all AL relievers. Keep an eye on him in August and
September. He hit a little bit of a wall last year.
Josh Beckett (A) – Forget the won-lost record. Beckett ranks second in the
league in ERA and has been very consistent, despite his last outing. In his
three losses, the Red Sox have scored a total of one run. If he had the same
run support Jon Lester has been getting, he’d have 10 wins, too.
Clay Buchholz (B) – Buchholz has settled in quite nicely after a shaky
start, going 5-0 with a 2.59 ERA in his last nine outings. Despite last
season, 15 wins should still be the goal for someone like him, and Buchholz
would be right on pace were it not for a back ailment that landed him on the
disabled list. Durability always has been a question with him – and it
remains so.
Bobby Jenks (D-) – A complete failure? No. But it’s close. Jenks has shown
flashes during his first season with the Red Sox, but he’s also walked 13 in
13.2 innings and posted a 7.24 ERA. Meanwhile, he’s gone to the disabled
list twice, raising the question as to whether the Sox need bullpen help.
Hmmm. Maybe the Red Sox should think about keeping Jonathan Papelbon after
all.
John Lackey (F) – Whether the performance is the result of an elbow injury
or personal matters, certain truths are impossible to get past. Baseball is a
results oriented business; if you’re out there, you’re expected to perform.
Among the 62 AL pitchers with at least 60 innings, Lackey ranks 62nd in ERA.
Let’s hope the last start was the beginning of something better.
Jon Lester (A-) – Lester had to grind his way for a while there, but his
performance yesterday put him on pace for 20 wins for the first time in his
career. Meanwhile, he is now 71-29 in his career, ranking second all-time in
winning percentage for all pitchers with at least 100 decisions. Truly one of
the most competitive pitchers in the game. Love that.
Daisuke Matsuzaka (C) – Prior to the season-ending elbow injury, Matsuzaka
had some good starts and some bad ones, which pretty much categorizes his
entire Sox career. In the end, for an assortment of reasons, he was
unreliable. Meanwhile, nobody has really lamented his absence. Doesn’t that
alone speak volumes?
Jonathan Papelbon (A) – Toss the ERA out the window. When Papelbon has
entered in a save situation this season, the Red Sox have gone a perfect
16-0. Pretty big difference from last year, eh? Beyond that, after suffering
seven losses last season, he does not have a single defeat in 2011. Looks
like someone geared up for a contract year.
Tim Wakefield (B) – Here’s a scary question: were it not for Wakefield and
Aceves, where would this team be? Since the Red Sox began giving him a
regular turn, Wakefield has a 4.11 ERA in seven starts. In retrospect,
Wakefield has been far more effective than Matsuzaka was, making him a nice
contributor at the end of the rotation. The obvious question now: will age
and durability be a factor in the second half?
Dan Wheeler (F) – The Red Sox tried to give Wheeler some responsibility
early in the year, but he failed miserably. As such, they now use him almost
exclusively when they are behind. The Sox are 8-15 in Wheeler’s appearances,
which speaks volumes, and now let there be no doubt: he’s strictly a matchup
guy against righthanders, who are batting .237 against him. Lefties,
meanwhile, have an OPS of 1.007.
INCOMPLETE – Scott Atchison, Michael Bowden, Felix Doubront, Rich Hill,
Tommy Hottovy, Andrew Miller, Franklin Morales, Hideki Okajima, Dennys Reyes.
POSITIONAL PLAYERS (Minimum: 50 at-bats)
Mike Cameron (F) – Whether it was the worst signing of Theo Epstein’s
tenure as general manager is up to you – but it’s certainly in the
conversation. Cameron was signed to be the starting center fielder, remember,
and his stint here was a train wreck. Now that he has lost the ability to hit
lefthanders, it might be time to hang 'em up – and he should have no shame
in doing so.
Carl Crawford (D) – Crawford bottomed out at the end of April, when he was
batting .155, and he has since hit .295 with a .794 OPS. Still, among the 30
AL outfielders with enough plate appearances to qualify for the batting
title, Crawford ranks 26th in OPS. That would be fine if he were Josh
Reddick. But when you’re toting an annual $20 million price tag, that isn’t
going to cut it.
J.D. Drew (F) – Know what the scary thing is? He actually got off to a good
start, going 8 for 26 to start the season. Since, he certainly has looked as
if he has checked out and gone into retirement mode. Of Drew’s 44 hits this
year, 35 are singles. He has more strikeouts (47) than hits. Nobody is more
responsible for the fact that the Red Sox rank last in baseball in OPS from
their right fielders.
Jacoby Ellsbury (A) – Ellsbury’s steals have dipped some, but his overall
productivity has gone up. Which would you rather have? The Red Sox rank
second in the AL in OPS from their center fielders and third in on-base
percentage from their leadoff hitters. All of that is a reflection on
Ellsbury, who hasn’t missed a game. Nice comeback.
Adrian Gonzalez (A+) – Deep breath here: .378 vs. righthanders, .300 vs.
lefthanders, .380 at home, .325 on the road, .336 during the day, .359 at
night, .338 on grass, .484 on turf, .314 in April, .341 in May, .404 in June,
.310 with the bases empty, .390 with men on base, .380 with men in scoring
position, .375 with the bases loaded. And no errors.
Jed Lowrie (C+) – Remember that insane start, during which Lowrie posted a
.431 average in his first 16 games? Well after that, he batted 214 with a
.577 OPS in his next 39 games. Now he’s hurt again. Add in the fact that
Lowrie is batting .206 against righthanders and we’re back to thinking he’s
a utility player. In baseball, after all, the more you play, the tougher it
gets.
Darnell McDonald (F) – McDonald was one of the great stories on the Red Sox
last season, but he’s given them virtually nothing this season. McDonald’s
job is to hit lefties, against whom he’s batted .212. With men on base, he’
s 2 for 28 (an .071 average) with nine strikeouts. Still, the Sox kept him
over Cameron, which should tell you plenty about how they viewed Cameron.
David Ortiz (A) – Given all the questions that have existed about him, Ortiz
has been both consistent and productive, particularly against lefthanded
pitching (a .341 average). If you’re looking to nitpick, he has batted just
.203 with runners in scoring position, and just .167 with men in scoring
position and two outs. Still, the Red Sox have the best DH in the league
again – and by a wide margin.
Dustin Pedroia (B-) – What’s really been missing, more than anything, are
the doubles. Pedroia has a screw in his foot, as we all know, but the Lackey
rule applies here, too: if you're out there, you’re expected to perform. The
.240 average against righthanders suggests Pedroia has been a little more
pull-happy than usual, but let’s not get too picky. We expect a lot from
this guy because he’s good, competitive and accountable. And Pedroia at 80
percent is still better than the majority of the league.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (B) – Let’s tell you up front that Saltalamacchia and
Jason Varitek are getting the same grade for an obvious reason: they’re a
tandem. After a horrific start, the Red Sox now rank third in the AL in OPS
from their catchers – and that is no small achievement. The defense remains
suspect, but Saltalamacchia has stabilized – and so has the position in
general.
Marco Scutaro (C) – Shortstop hasn’t turned out to be quite the problem
area that, say, right field has become, but there is room for improvement
here. Scutaro ranks in the middle of the pack among AL shortstops
offensively, and the job is now his to lose. If the defense slips in the
second half, one can’t help but wonder if Jose Iglesias will factor in.
Until then, the Red Sox are getting by.
Jason Varitek (B) – Among 21 AL catchers with at least 100 plate
appearances, Saltalamacchia ranks fifth in OPS, just a whisker ahead of his
mentor, Varitek, who ranks sixth. Varitek has kept up in runs scored (20-18,
Salty), homers (five each), RBI (20-17, Salty), batting average (.253-.248,
Salty), on-base percentage (.333-.320, Varitek) and slugging (.432-.419,
Salty). Each has a .752 OPS. What symmetry.
Kevin Youkilis (B-) – The production numbers ultimately look fine –
Youkilis is on pace for 22 homers and 111 RBI – but it’s been a grind at
times. For what it’s worth, he’s also hitting .173 on the road (as opposed
to .370 at home). One of the other issues is that his defense has been
disappointing, arguably among the worst at the position in the league. We
weren’t expecting Brooks Robinson, but he should be better.
INCOMPLETE – Jose Iglesias, Josh Reddick, Drew Sutton.
MANAGEMENT
Theo Epstein and Terry Francona (B) – The general manager and manager will
earn their money in the coming months, when the fate of the 2011 Red Sox will
decided. Until then, there are no major issues. The Sox seemed unprepared to
start the season but recovered nicely, though management has seemed a little
indecisive at times with regard to Carl Crawford’s place in the batting
order, the catching situation and right field, including the decision to move
Gonzalez from first base to right for a game.
Nonetheless, this team is not far off its projected pace, and management’s
primary job is to make sure that things keep moving at the proper speed.
That said, the second half will determine the ultimate grades for Sox
officials, particularly given the importance of the trading deadline. At the
very least, this Red Sox team should absolutely, positively be playing for
the AL championship in October. If that doesn’t happen, we will all have the
right to wonder how and where the Sox failed.#
--
Year Age Tm G AB H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS+
2007 28 BOS 145 528 152 16 83 77 105 .288 .390 .453 117
2008 29 BOS 145 538 168 29 115 62 108 .312 .390 .569 143
2009 30 BOS 136 491 150 27 94 77 125 .305 .413 .548 145
2010 31 BOS 102 362 111 19 62 58 67 .307 .411 .564 157
※drafted in the 8th round of the 2001 認真的男人最帥氣!
--
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