Re: [轉錄][情報] AL & NL Rookie of the Year
: → graydevils:Tulo可惜了...生不逢時?! 11/13 03:30
: 推 TomCourtenay:記得在十年後更訴您兒子Tulo新人年時跟Gold Glove & 11/13 03:52
: → TomCourtenay:ROY失之交臂時,其實都是很可惜的... 11/13 03:54
: → kimimaru:我覺得在防守聖經裡面留名,也很值得驕傲了~ 11/13 04:32
: 推 lightring:真是很可惜~~ 11/13 08:18
: 推 flyinwinds:今年連拿兩個第二的Tulo..恨阿~~ 11/13 10:30
: 推 flyinwinds:要狂賀Tulo是首位SS新人年轟出20轟卻沒拿到ROY的人嗎 11/13 10:39
: 推 leon0000:這也沒辦法 因為他前面是第一年就有30轟15盜的三壘手阿 11/13 15:51
: 推 eei:可是 Braun 的守備有一點...^^||| 11/14 21:37
Tulo 算是被搶了
Joe Sheehan, BP
In the NL balloting, Ryan Braun barely edged Troy Tulowitzki, 128-126, to
pick up the hardware. This was a very tough call, and it’s not clear whether
the closeness of the vote reflects the difference in the performance of each
player’s team, a desire by the voters to show they’re not cowed by big
hitting numbers, or an actual understanding of the defensive difference
between the two.
That difference was astronomical, probably enough to overcome Braun’s
staggering edge at the plate. In about two-thirds of a season—remember, the
Brewers didn’t call Braun up until May 24—he was worth 50 runs above a
replacement-level hitter. Tulowitzki, who played from Opening Day, was worth
30. Defensively, however, Braun was wretched, costing the Brewers 15 runs as
compared to a replacement-level third baseman. Tulowitzki, meanwhile, was a
terrific defensive shortstop, saving the Rockies 46 runs above replacement.
When you translate those performances to wins, you find that Braun was worth
3.9 wins above replacement (WARP), and Tulowitzki a whopping 8.5 WARP.
This isn’t just the difference between the two in one system. John Dewan of
Baseball Info Solutions estimates the difference between the two defensively
at more than 50 runs, and the gap between them will be comparable whether you
use Ultimate Zone Rating or Probabilistic Model of Range or any of the
play-by-play systems out there that evaluate defensive performance. Ryan
Braun was an amazing hitter in 2007, and in most seasons would have deserved
the Rookie of the Year Award. This year, however, he was up against arguably
the best defensive player in the league, someone who's also a good hitter in
his own right. Troy Tulowitzki wasn’t robbed by much, but he was robbed.
--
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