[外電] Potential Trade Scenarios for DW7
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Potential Trade Scenarios and Packages for Derrick Williams
Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports
Derrick Williams certainly hasn't lived up to the expectations he generated
before being selected by the Minnesota Timberwolves at No. 2 in the 2011 NBA
draft, and now his team is attempting to unload him for an opportunity to
move up in the 2013 version of the player-selection process.
DW還沒有打出當初灰狼用第二順位選他進來的期望值,所以呢~他的球隊也許會想要用他
來換取2013選秀的另一個機會。
According to the Pioneer Press' Charley Walters, the Wolves are looking to
package D-Will and the No. 9 pick in the 2013 NBA draft for a chance to move
up:
根據Pioneer Press的Charley Walters所說,灰狼想要打包九號簽和DW來換取簽位的升級
。
Looks like TWolves will try to deal Derrick Williams and No. 9 pick to move
up in NBA draft.
— Charley Walters (@Charley_Walters) June 3, 2013
Based on team needs, Minnesota is doing this for a better shot at landing a
standout wing player in a notoriously weak draft. In another Walters report,
head coach Flip Saunders confirmed the prevailing assumption that he is
looking for height at the 2:
以球隊的需求來看,灰狼這操作的目的在於取得一個擁有更好投射能力的側翼球員。在
Walters 的另一篇報導裡,總教練老桑(這應該是搞錯了,老桑現在是總裁才對)承認了
他的確想在SG這位置補強些身材。
Because we're so small there...Outside of (6-6 Alexey) Shved, who can play
the '2', our other guys who play '2' a lot, (J.J.) Barea and Luke (Ridnour),
are 6-foot players and having to guard guys like (6-6) Kobe Bryant and those
guys.
這位置我們簡直弱到爆,除了勉強能頂上2號的六尺六Shved外,就剩六尺的JJB和Ridnour
而已了,而他們卻得去防守六尺六的Kobe等等的大隻後衛。
What you want is a '2' guard that has size and can shoot the ball.
所以灰狼的目標就很明確了:有身材、能投射的正常SG。
Based on those quotes, it's a safe bet that Minnesota is working toward
drafting either Victor Oladipo, Ben McLemore or Shabazz Muhammad. That's the
assumption we'll be working with when analyzing these potential trades.
從這幾點來看,灰狼較安全的賭注應該是想辦法選到Victor Oladipo、Ben McLemore或是
Shabazz Muhammad。下面的各種假設操作都是為了升級簽位,想辦法選到上面三個人。
As you read on, please note that the following trades are speculation. They
have not been confirmed by any legitimate sources and, as such, have not
officially entered into the rumor mill.
你下面讀到的交易提案都是講爽的。這些提案都沒有被任何消息來源確認,連乳摸的乳都
還沒擠出來。
Orlando Magic
奧蘭多魔術隊。
The Minnesota Timberwolves would be getting a high enough draft pick here
that there’s no need to include a player in return. By giving them the
second selection in the draft, the Orlando Magic essentially would be
assuring that the Wolves will be able to land the player they most covet.
目標簽位夠高,所以灰狼應該沒辦法順便撈個球員回來。如果拿到魔術的二號簽,灰狼應
該可以選到遢他們最想要得人。
I believe Minnesota's main motivation in moving up is twofold: It wants to
unload Williams while his value is still relatively high, and it wants to
land either Victor Oladipo, Shabazz Muhammad or Ben McLemore, as discussed on
the first slide.
我想灰狼的主要目標有兩個:趁DW還相對有價值時快交易他,同時也能拿到那三人之一。
Seeing as the Cleveland Cavaliers are likely to either draft Nerlens Noel,
select Otto Porter in a draft-day twist or trade away the pick, Minnnesota
would have the pick of the litter in this scenario.
看起來騎士應該還是會選Nerlens Noel,或是在選秀日換籤選Otto Porter。總之根據灰狼
的劇本,這操作應該管用。
But, would the Magic do it?
不過呢,魔術會餐一腳嗎?
They might be hesitant, but the ultimate summer goal for Orlando general
manage Rob Hennigan should be to stockpile as much talent as possible. If
that means adding one non-rookie and moving down a few spots, it would make
sense because he's doubling the number of high-potential players that he
brings on to the roster.
他們也許會猶豫,但魔術GM Rob Hennigan的目標應該是累積天份。如果一隻簽換成一個
較低順位的簽並且還多了一個非新秀的潛力球員,雙倍天份雙倍美味,也許他會有興趣。
Parting with the No. 2 selection would be painful, but it would ultimately
maximize the Magic's chances of landing a special player. Remember, Williams
could still develop into one.
弄掉二號簽會有點痛苦,但是這操作應該符合魔術的方針。要記得,DW還有很多潛力。
Washington Wizards
Let's play the same game we're playing with every other potential trade in
this article: Does this trade allow the Timberwolves to get what they need?
And would the other team do it?
接下來都會依照這思路重複。這交易能不能讓灰狼拿到想要的?交易對象他們呢?
The answer to the first question is still a resounding yes. With three
primary targets and only two teams selecting ahead of them in this situation,
there's a 100 percent chance that either Ben McLemore, Shabazz Muhammad or
Victor Oladipo would still be on the board.
前面的部份是『Yes』。有三個主要對象、手拿三號簽,灰狼怎樣都能選隻SG回來。
In fact, it's likely that two of them will be, because Nerlens Noel won't be
slipping down to No. 3.
事實上應該有兩隻可選,因為Nerlens Noel絕不會留到三號簽。
We're all clear on that front.
話先說清楚。
The problem here is that there's no reason for the Washington Wizards to make
this deal with Minnesota. They're an up-and-coming team with sights set on a
playoff spot at the conclusion of the 2013-14 season, putting them in a
drastically different situation than Rob Hennigan and the Orlando Magic.
巫師隊沒理由找我們交易。他們是向上中的球隊,和魔術不一樣。
Washington no longer needs to be randomly adding talent and hoping it works
out because the pieces are already in place. Now the Wizards can target more
specialized players and really start thinking about how everything fits
together into one complete playoff puzzle.
巫師不太需要再累積天份了。現在巫師是得找出隊中的核心球員,然後讓每個人拼起來。
That's why they have a target firmly etched onto Otto Porter's back.
Derrick Williams wouldn't fit with this team because the Wizards are looking
for a small forward, and the former No. 2 pick is markedly worse at the 3
than the 4. According to 82games.com, Williams played better defense against
opposing small forwards, but it wasn't enough to make up for his lack of
offensive production.
DW不合巫師需求,他們要得是SF。而DW在SF這位置並不出色,打得比PF糟多了。從82games
的資料來看,DW防守對方的SF是不錯,但是進攻方面不行。
He posted a PER of 9.3 at small forward and 14.5 at power forward. Both are
below the league average, but he was well below at the 3.
DW在SF的PER值才9.3,而他在PF有14.5。雖然都比平均還低,但是SF的數據差多了。
Williams isn't the piece Washington is looking for.
DW不是巫師想要的人。
Charlotte Bobcats
山貓隊
Potential Trade: Derrick Williams and the No. 9 Pick for the No. 4 Pick
Unlike the Washington Wizards, the Charlotte Bobcats find themselves in a
situation similar to the one faced by the Orlando Magic. They just want to
acquire talent.
和巫師隊不一樣,山貓目前的狀況和魔術差不多、差不多爛。他們得累積天份。
Barring a ridiculous rash of injuries to all other Eastern Conference teams
(yet somehow bypasses the Bobcats), Michael Jordan's organization isn't going
to be competing for a playoff spot anytime soon. The team has a few
intriguing pieces, but it's still squarely in the talent-collection portion
of the rebuilding process.
就算東區很多球隊遭受了傷病的打擊,不過紅衣光頭23號的山貓隊距離季後賽大概有三十
萬光年這麼遠。隊裡頭沒幾個管用的球員,所以他們的重建得從累積天份開始。
Although the combined jump-shooting inconsistency of Byron Mullens and
Derrick Williams would be infuriating—especially when coupled with Bismack
Biyombo's glaring obliviousness on the offensive end—the acquisition of a
former lottery pick who hasn't yet been given a true chance to shine would
actually be a savvy move.
由於Byron Mullens和DW兩人的跳投都不太穩定,搭在一起可能會是一場災難—中鋒還是
Biyombo,一個在進攻端跟隱形人差不多的傢伙。這幾年的樂透簽根本沒讓他們有機會發
光發亮,基本上只是在玩省錢大作戰而已。
Especially because this is a weak draft, moving down five spots wouldn't hurt
the Bobcats all that much.
反正山貓的選秀已經爛到有剩,所以降低幾個順位也不痛不癢啦。
However, the concurrent jump up in the order would do wonders for the
Minnesota Timberwolves, because it would give them the ability to draft one
of their targets.
不過呢,這樣的操作夠讓灰狼選到他們想選的球員。
The expected order of the first three picks is Nerlens Noel, Ben McLemore and
Otto Porter—meaning that both Victor Oladipo and Shabazz Muhammad would be
left on the board.
前三名的新秀大概是Nerlens Noel、Ben McLemore和Otto Porter,所以灰狼應該可以選
Victor Oladipo和Shabazz Muhammad。
Seeing as that's their motivation for this trade, it's hard to see why the
Wolves would hesitate to pull the trigger.
看看交易換來的成果,灰狼的確找不到啥理由不扣下扳機。
Phoenix Suns
鳳凰城太陽隊
Potential Trade: Derrick Williams and the No. 9 Pick for the No. 5 Pick
Once we get down to No. 5 overall, we're starting to push it on whether Ben
McLemore, Victor Oladipo and Shabazz Muhammad would still be on the board.
The UCLA product would be available, but the other two are more iffy.
如果拿到五號簽,那就是從三個待選SG裡挑還剩下來的。來自UCLA的新秀應該還會留下來
,但是另外兩個難說。
Quite frankly, Muhammad should be available at No. 9, where the Minnesota
Timberwolves are originally picking, which leads me to believe that the other
two wings would be the primary targets in these potential trades.
其實如果運氣好的話,灰狼手上的九號簽室友可能撿到Muhammad。所以我相信灰狼真正的
目標是其他兩人。
McLemore—barring an unforeseen draft-day plummet—would be long gone by the
time David Stern is strolling to the podium for the fifth time, but No. 5 is
right where I expect Oladipo to go. The Charlotte Bobcats don't have a need
for his skill set, so expect them to take either, Alex Len, C.J. McCollum,
Anthony Bennett or Trey Burke and, if somehow available, Nerlens Noel,
McLemore and Otto Porter before Oladipo.
McLemore應該早早會被挑走,但是我預測Oladipo大概就是會落在五號簽這位置。山貓不想
要他,應該會挑其他人。大概是 Alex Len、C.J. McCollum、Anthony Bennett、
Trey Burke。而如果Nerlens Noel、McLemore、Otto Porter還在,何樂而不撿呢?
Minnesota should be able to draft Indiana's defensive ace if a move to No. 5
is in the cards, but the Wolves can't fall in any lower than that.
五號簽可以讓灰狼挑到Oladipo,但是別想他會跌下來給我們撿走。
While this looks good for Flip Saunders and the Minnesota brass, I don't
think the Phoenix Suns will make a move. What would be their motivation to do
so?
看看老桑手上的牌,我想太陽隊可能不太會感興趣。
The Suns could use Oladipo's athleticism and three-point stroke at the 2, and
there's a drop-off among the prospects expected to go after the fifth pick—
at least at the positions they're interested in.
太陽自己選了Oladipo的話也可以填上SG這位置,這麼剛好幹麼再自找麻煩。
Derrick Williams also doesn't fit in too well with the Suns, as they already
have the Morris twins, players who are naturals at the 4 and can slide over
to small forward when necessary. Plus, they both have jumpers capable of
spreading out a defense, and that's one of D-Will's primary assets.
DW在太陽的陣容裡也沒啥吸引力,他們已經有Morris兄弟了,這兩個人基本上也是不三不
四。他們也有三分能力拉開防守,這點也是DW的賣點。
Minnesota would need to sweeten this deal in order to make it happen, but
it's not worth them including anything else since Shabazz should still be
available at No. 9.
這樣的話灰狼可能就得配上一些小菜讓太陽舒服一點,不過這樣的話就有點划不來了。反
正Shabazz用九號簽是有可能撿到的。
Other Options
其他的操作
While the Minnesota Timberwolves technically have more than the four options
presented in the previous slides, those four make far more sense than any
others.
從前面的內容來看,灰狼大概有四個可能交易對象。
Sure, the Wolves could target the No. 1 overall pick and attempt to pry it
away from the Cleveland Cavaliers. But why exactly would Cleveland want that?
當然灰狼也可以找騎士換狀元簽。不過期是幹麼這樣搞?
Remember, the Cavs could trade that selection for Kevin Love, but Joe Kotoch
of SheridanHoops.com believes that still wouldn't be enough. According to his
speculation, Minnesota would also have to include picks No. 9 and No. 26, as
well as a 2014 first-rounder, in order to make it work.
乳摸說騎士想要Love,但是SheridanHoops.com的Joe Kotoch也有表示,這灰狼出的絕對不
夠。從他的消息來說,灰狼得打包九號簽、二十六號簽,和2014的一輪簽。(屁拉!)
The drop-off from that package to Derrick Williams and the No. 9 pick is
rather significant. Significant enough to prevent anything from happening, in
fact.
所以呢,DW加九號簽這包裹應該很清楚了。很清楚地,絕對不到騎士隊的標準。
If you move in the opposite direction and start analyzing the sixth, seventh
and eighth overall picks, there isn't enough motivation for the Timberwolves
to make a deal.
不過如果要去換六到八號簽,其實這幾隻簽選不到灰狼真正想要的球員。
Why would they give up Williams just to shift up a few spots in the draft and
grab a player they could likely have at No. 9?
這樣的話幹麼丟掉DW去換一個簽位的升級,結果卻簽下一個和九號簽差不多的新秀呢?
That just doesn't make much sense.
這絕對很奇怪呀。
Unfortunately for Minnesota, the options are rather limited. Based on this
overview, the Wolves are going to stay put, improve the package or make a
trade with either the Charlotte Bobcats or Orlando Magic.
灰狼隊的選項不多。所以灰狼可能得再擺一些東西上桌,才能要山貓或魔術點頭。
Smart money is on the first option.
當然啦,省吃儉用精打細算絕對是灰狼的第一選項。
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