Hall of Fame Probability (by jasonkeen)
※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板]
作者: jasonkeen (籃球真的很好玩！) 看板: NBA
標題: [討論] Hall of Fame Probability Leaders
時間: Tue Sep 12 18:30:42 2006
名人堂機率公式：http://www.basketball-reference.com/about/hof_prob.html
height -0.2055 (in inches)
last year indicator 3.8267 (1 if 1960 or before, 0 otherwise)
NBA points per game 0.4283
NBA rebounds per game 0.4130
NBA assists per game 0.4664
NBA All-Star game selections 0.5342
NBA championships won 1.0427
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(T)otal
名人堂機率 = e^T / (1 + e^T) 這裡的 e 指的就是常見的 Euler number
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照這個公式算出來，機率低於一成還進入名人堂的球員分別有：
Player Prob
144 Bill Walton .0924
164 Dan Issel .0516
173 Calvin Murphy .0449
267 Bill Bradley .0068
所以如果你喜愛的球員算出來的機率低於一成，還是有一絲絲希望被列入名人堂的
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公式算得結果：http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html
以下僅列出機率高於一成的現役(*)與非現役球員：
Name Prob
3 Michael Jordan .9999
11 Shaquille O'Neal .9999 *
18 Karl Malone .9989
19 Hakeem Olajuwon .9981
21 Tim Duncan .9975 *
26 Kobe Bryant .9969 *
28 Scottie Pippen .9966
30 Allen Iverson .9956 *
34 David Robinson .9893
45 Kevin Garnett .9616 *
51 Patrick Ewing .9259
55 John Stockton .8775 (當老爸跟當球員一樣威！)
57 Vince Carter .8625 *
58 Grant Hill .8533 *
60 Jo Jo White .8473
62 Adrian Dantley .8203
64 Chris Webber .8149 *
68 Jason Kidd .7982 *
69 Gary Payton .7933 *
74 Paul Pierce .7685 *
75 Tracy McGrady .7194 *
77 Mitch Richmond .6576
78 Tim Hardaway .6564
82 Bob Dandridge .6266
83 Willie Naulls .6175
84 Chet Walker .6124
86 Gus Johnson .6064
88 Dennis Johnson .5394
89 Ray Allen .5356 *
92 Mel Hutchins .5079
94 Jamaal Wilkes .4962
95 Jack Sikma .4800
97 Kevin Johnson .4653
98 Jack Coleman .4601
100 Dirk Nowitzki .4342 *
101 Mark Aguirre .4314
103 Steve Francis .4097 *
104 Norm Nixon .4074
105 Spencer Haywood .4056
106 Marques Johnson .4052
107 Stephon Marbury .3945 *
108 Tom Sanders .3891
109 Bernard King .3669
110 Dennis Rodman .3609
111 Richie Guerin .3576
113 Brad Daugherty .3090
114 Lou Hudson .2917
115 Alonzo Mourning .2862 *
118 Elton Brand .2372 *
119 Ron Harper .2081
120 Antoine Walker .1901 *
121 Paul Seymour .1894
122 Glenn Robinson .1865 *
123 Shawn Marion .1849 *
124 Sam Cassell .1724 *
125 Larry Foust .1605
126 George McGinnis .1598
127 George King .1553
128 Charlie Scott .1474
129 Walter Davis .1471
130 Micheal Ray Richardson .1434
131 Larry Costello .1400
132 Geoff Petrie .1330 (當老闆比當球員還要威！)
133 Mark Price .1252
134 Rudy LaRusso .1204
135 Sidney Wicks .1198
136 Rudy Tomjanovich .1175 (當教練比當球員還要威！)
138 Artis Gilmore .1138
139 Gus Williams .1123
140 Bill Bridges .1117
141 Bob Harrison .1048
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年資太淺，沒辦法多作介紹，希望有高手能夠幫忙多介紹幾個球員 :)
--
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他們的生活模仿別人，甚至他們的熱情也只是承襲引用別人的……
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※ 編輯: gratitude 來自: 210.240.237.120 (09/13 11:13)
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