[討論] Trevor Cahill > Brandon Webb?
有球迷在討論這個
http://tinyurl.com/7kq4up
It's no secret that I am a HUGE Trevor Cahill fan. I've compared his upside
to that of Brandon Webb in the past. However, I now feel that he could be
even better than Webb. They are very similar pitchers who use the same
repertoire (sinking fastball, curve, change). Webb's career GB% is 64.3,
Cahill's 2008 GB% was 62. The difference that I see is that Cahill's stuff
is better in comparison to Webb. Webb's avg fastball velocity over his major
league career is 88.1 mph. Unfortunately, I dont have an exact record of
Cahill's avg fastball velocity, although various scouting reports indicate
that his hard sinking fastball sits in the low 90s and can touch mid 90s
occaisonally. Furthermore, his curveball (knuckle curve) is a true out pitch
and is better than Webb's hook. Although Webb's changeup is currently
better, Cahill has developed his in becoming a very good (above average
pitch). If he continues to work on it, it may become a plus pitch. From a
physical standpoint, Cahill and Webb have similar builds (6'3, 210 & 6'2, 220
respectively). Do I think Cahill will immediately start putting up Webb-like
numbers upon promotion to the majors? Certainly not. However, Cahill is
much further along in his development at a younger age with better stuff and
performance. The only thing lacking for Cahill is command/ control. In my
opinion, this issue is blown out of proportion. Cahill tries to make hitters
chase, not because he can't consistently locate. Anyways, Brandon Webb also
had command/control issues early on in his career.
Lets look at their minor league numbers for A-, A+, AA:
Webb (age 21) Low A - 3.24 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 9.7 K/9, 4.9 BB/9
Cahill (age 19) Low A - 2.73 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, 3.4 BB/9
Webb (age 22) High A - 3.99 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, 2.4 BB/9
Cahill (age 20) High A - 2.78 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.6 K/9, 3.2 BB/9
Webb (age 23) Double A - 3.14 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, 3.5 BB/9
Cahill (age 20) Double A - 2.19 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.0 K/9, 4.6 BB/9
Career MiLB Stats:
Webb - 357.0 IP, 3.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 8.1 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 0.3 HR/9
Cahill - 238.2 IP, 2.68 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, 0.3 HR/9
In my opinion, Trevor Cahill matches up extremely well to Brandon Webb.
Needless to say, I can't wait for Cahill's promotion to the big club. With
a great defense and pitcher friendly home park, I think he can put up
impressive numbers almost immediately and eventually put up Webb-like stats
(with the potential for even better).
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