[情報] 2026 Draft 綠帽版
今年還是沒抽到的#8,看起來只有Eric Kubota了解綠帽(https://bit.ly/445Nwxl).
今年整體而言開季前不論Overall或Depth都是近年最佳(https://bit.ly/4eJhJHj),但開
打後前段確定性不如預期,選幾個之後都有一些問題.
最近的趨勢是不少球隊先選big tools即便analytical看起來不佳
(https://bit.ly/4bdvRHO),期待找到下一個Konnor Griffin.
另外他們找了前COL的GM Bill Schmidt,不知道有沒有影響.
今年bonus pool是第十的$13,840,300(https://bit.ly/4wjLmGu)
時間
July 11 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 1-4 (CB Round and FA compensation picks)
July 12 11:30 a.m. (ET) Rounds 5-20
星期幾和時間都改了 台灣時間凌晨不太方便看太多 另外今年Semiquincentennial(
美國建國250周年), NBC包了前十順位的轉播,官網轉播只從11th開始
順位
1st(25) COMP(12) 2nd(29) COMP(9) 3rd(28) 4th(29) COMP(3) 5th(29) after6th
#8 #47 #73 #83 #111 #143 #172
以下老樣子以#8為主
8.Drew Burress R/R OF College: Georgia Tech Age:21.6
.358/.473/.657 16HR 49BB/43SO 10SB-14ATT
Undersized 5-foot-9 frame OF. Smaller physical stature for a baseball
player(https://bit.ly/44BB8Fs).
50 or 55 Hit, plus power, above-average arm, advanced plate discipline, good
bat speed. Higher chances to stay at CF, multiple above-average tools. Great
track record. good makeup.
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 76.3%/108.8mph/17.5% midseason(80%/106.9mph/19.8%
last season), Contact%/IZ Contact%/OOZ Contact% =
77.6%/87.9%/48.6% (overslot), good vs fastball (contact% 88.9%), great Barrel%
(25.7%) and Pull Air% (50.8%). Hit premium speed (Contact% 84%), hit in
conferences play(.339/.434/.626). Not many wood bat PAs. Older (21.6) on the
draft day.
他會有一些揮空,打到球時速度是優異的,
一般來說身高對position player來說影響最多的是轉換成木棒後的power
projection(https://bit.ly/4baSm05 https://bit.ly/44BB8Fs
https://bit.ly/3TeLRmL),他逐年遞減的HR數剛好加深這種疑慮,然而他90th% EV保持優
良水準, lengthy track record.
這邊三個OF來比較的話, Drew Burress有一些揮空, Exit Velocity優異球卻又沒過牆那
麼多,還有身高問題.
守備的話我特地去問了BA的Carlos Collazo,他認為CF Curiel > Burress然後AJ Gracia
是corner OF,跟純看foot speed的順序接近(60-yard dash 6.59 6.47 7.03sec)
https://youtu.be/EICsHvllw9c
https://www.mlb.com/video/2026-draft-drew-burress-of
10.Derek Curiel L/L OF College: LSU Age:21.1
.353/.431/.526 6HR 34BB/43SO 13SB-15ATT
One of the best Pure Hitter in the draft. Compact and simple left-handed
swing, Plus hit tool. Lean frame. 40 or 45 power, above average runner.
Fringy average arm. Good defensive instincts, higher chances to stay at CF.
Excellent Contact rate and In Zone Contact rate, long track record, hit
premium speed (Contact% 88%), similar numbers in conferences
play(.314/.386/.463).
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 90.8%/105.2mph/16.2% midseason (85.8%/104.1mph/19.5%
last season), Contact%/IZ Contact%/OOZ Contact% = 87.4%/92.3%/75% (overslot),
Contact%(尤其是IZ Contact%)極佳而且是在SEC,跟Jacob Wilson不同的是OF的
replacement level更高需要power,但他身體成長條件不佳,若沒power他需要更確定能待
在CF.
這邊三個OF來比較的話, Derek Curiel 打到的球是最多的, Exit Velocity其實是
prospect中等但physical projection卻最差.
雖說是high floor,確定性也沒那麼高,Top 10 pick是需要一些ceiling的.
https://youtu.be/wA9RCXk9K-c
https://www.mlb.com/video/2026-draft-derek-curiel-of
11.Chris Hacopian R/R inf College: Texas A&M Age:21.8
.319/.405/.578 11HR 25BB/21SO 3SB-3ATT
One of the best advanced bat. Underlying metrics outlier, blend of
bat-to-ball skill and raw power. Below-average speed. Limited defensive
value, lack of athleticism.
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 86.8%/108.3mph/11.5% midseason(84.8%/107.8mph/18.4%
last season), Contact%/IZ Contact%/OOZ Contact% =
86.1%/92.3%/68.7% (overslot), contact all pitch types, excellent vs fastball.
Not very good Barrel% (18.3%) and Pull Air% (31.9%) indicated that he had
launch angle issues.
Dealing with multiple injuries this spring (including lower back injury). Long
track record. Hit in conferences play(.319/.404/.560). Older (21.8) on the
draft day.
棒子部分是比較沒有問題,但是要守哪裡就比較難說.
然後他沒去Combine,沒有他的Medical也無法知道受傷訊息(像Trey Yesavage在Combine每
隊都當面問他),前段裡面最需要看Medical的就是他卻不去Combine不知道是不是又是經紀
公司的暗示.
https://youtu.be/y3yGJsvcjlg
https://www.mlb.com/video/2026-draft-chris-hacopian-ss
15.AJ Gracia L/L OF College: Virginia Age:21.7
.354/.489/.632 14HR 47BB/38SO 4SB-6ATT
Polished college bat who performed in the SEC. 55 hit, 55 raw power, good
plate discipline. Long track record. Below-average arm and speed.
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 84.4%/103.5mph/18.3% midseason(86.4%/105.4mph/17%
last season), Contact%/IZ Contact%/OOZ Contact% = 82.9%/90.5%/65.5% (overslot),
Transferred from Duke to Virginia. Hit worse in conference
play(.293/.432/.495). Older (21.7) on the draft day.
Underlying data是不錯的還有成長性.
這邊三個OF來比較的話, 打到的球優異但不如Derek Curiel, 或另外的Chris Hacopian,
Exit Velocity稍低於average但身體條件佳(6-3 195 pounds)可以練成average power
另外簽他大約只要5MM左右,若是省錢第二輪可以簽下相當不錯的人的話就還可以.
缺乏plus tool但是較為中規中矩的備案選擇
https://youtu.be/ibxABp5utL8
https://www.mlb.com/video/2026-draft-aj-gracia-of
Other notable guys:
3.Vahn Lackey R/R C extremely athletic catcher, provide positional
versatility, the new above average power.
4.Jackson Flora RHP 95-100mph FB with adjusted grip (17.6IVB -4.5VAA(vertical
approach angle)), the new changeup, plus slider.
6.Eric Booth L/L OF toolsy outfielder, 70 or 80 run.
7.Ryder Helfrick R/R C 55 or 60 power, above-average defensive catcher, plus
arm, contact% increased (77.8% vs 69.8% last year, 75.5(overslot)) this season
but still below prospect average.
9.Tyler Bell S/R SS Draft-eligible sophomore. Rejected TB's 1.5MM to go to
Kentucky. Dislocated non-throwing shoulder and missed about a month. Performed
in the SEC. Hit premium speed. Chase% down dramatically (13.1% vs 23.6% in '25)
but not enough Contact% 75.7% (IZ Contact% 82.4%).
13.Cameron Flukey RHP 95-99mph FB with 20.4IVB -4.7VAA, above average curve
and slider(when healthy). Rib injury, entered Transfer Portal in June.
Mock
BA:1209/0309/0323/0413/0427/0511/0608/0615/0629/0706/0708
Cameron Flukey/Chris Hacopian/Chris Hacopian/
Cameron Flukey/AJ Gracia/AJ Gracia/Drew Burress/
Jacob Lombard/Tyler Bell/Drew Burress/Tyler Bell
MLB.com:1210/0410/0509/0522/0605/0612/0619/0626/0703
Cameron Flukey/AJ Gracia/Ryder Helfrick/Chris
Hacopian/Chris Hacopian/Chris Hacopian/Ryder
Helfrick/Ryder Helfrick/Ryder Helfrick
PG:0109/0327/0403/0501 Tyler Spangler/Jacob Lombard/Drew Burress/
Jacob Lombard
KL:0507/0610/0706 Derek Curiel/Derek Curiel/Drew Burress
ESPN:0417/0514/0529/0618 Eric Booth Jr./Chris Hacopian/Ryder Helfrick/
Tyler Bell
--
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推
07/10 00:09,
2小時前
, 1F
07/10 00:09, 1F
※ 編輯: ThomasHSNU (223.137.115.175 臺灣), 07/10/2026 00:23:17
推
07/10 00:27,
2小時前
, 2F
07/10 00:27, 2F
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