[情報] 2025 Draft 綠帽版
今年在第11選由於revenue sharing recipient最多連兩年拿Top 6 pick,不過就搖
獎的結果(https://bit.ly/3Ihy6OX)來說也只是從8th變11th,不如得到下次再抽的機會.
今年就整體來說水準是average(https://bit.ly/45QmaNQ),但前段品質不如以往,所以是
一個排中後段或多draft pick理想的年份.(有些人比喻今年像2016 Draft).
今年有幾個大學生排名變動的關係(Aiva, Marek, Curley...),所以站11也有talent可以
撈到.
今年可能是各隊看法最不一致的年份,一隊的第一輪前半可能只是另一隊的中段或後段.
現在選秀改成只有兩天(https://bit.ly/407hIqm),以前當天選後可以檢查漏網之魚或是
跑去談價錢的方式就不能用.
今年bonus pool是第十九的$10,563,500(https://bit.ly/46sxLCY)
時間
July 13 6:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 1-3 (CB Round and FA compensation picks)
July 14 11:30 a.m. (ET) Rounds 4-20
官網和BA都寫六點,不知是和以前一樣六點開始一小時Preview或六點開始選
順位
1st(27) COMP(16) 2nd(22) COMP(10) 3rd(29) COMP(1) 4th(30) COMP(1) 5th(29) after6th
#11 #48 #110 #141 #170
Revenue sharing發的#42 traded to TB in Jeffrey Springs trade.
3rd round pick forfeited to sign Luis Severino.
以下老樣子以#11為主
12.Ike Irish L/R C/OF College: Auburn Age:21.6
.364/.469/.710 19HR 33BB/37SO 11SB-12ATT
Bat-first Catcher/corner OF. Plus hit, plus power,
polished hitter. Great underlying data: Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% =
80.3%/108.1%/22.5% are all above prospect average(https://bit.ly/4l6vBxe) and
it is in the SEC. 61% hard-hit rate, 20.5% chase rate vs changeups or
splitters, hit premium velocity. Used the whole field and hit the opposite
field. Launch angle 9.6 degree is flatter. 60 arm. Hit in Cape Cod League.
Receive and framing will need some work. He isn't guaranteed 75% of slot
value because he didn't attend the Draft Combine and have a medical exam
there like Eli Willits.(Doyle went there but didn't have medical done).
Contact%/90th%EV/HardHit%全部名列前茅,只有Chase%是中等,重點是評估在corner OF(
特別是本季大部分待的RF)手套會扣多少分回來,雖說平常是選Best player available,綠
帽1B/LF的人確實有出賽機會重疊的問題,但棒子本身是很有吸引力的.
https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935403912145608751/photo/1
https://youtu.be/utpAk4XV0H4
https://www.mlb.com/video/2025-draft-ike-irish-c
13.Tyler Bremner RHP College: UC Santa Barbara Age:21.2
5-4 3.49ERA 77.1IP 60H 19BB/111SO
Top prospect entering the year. Athletic, easy delivery
with low effort. Modest before April but dominant lately. Arsenal similar to
other first tier arms: 95-98mph FB with 19.2 inches IVB, 13.5 inches HB.
84-87mph 70-grade changeup with some late fade, 8.8 inches IVB, 18.6 inches
HB, 48% swing-and-miss rate, 35% chase rates. 86mph fringe-average slider.
綠帽也派人去看過.季初Command跑掉但Control還在,後期回穩,若是相信季初是暫時的不
穩會是一個steal...比起他的前段輪值天分是值得的賭注.既使只用兩種去丟RP也應可以
立足.今年前面有好幾個大學P,可以趁機選到或是他先被選擠其他人下來.
https://youtu.be/2Yyb4EHt6zg
https://x.com/kileymcd/status/1807105937565475171
14.Marek Houston R/R SS College: Wake Forest Age:21.3
.354/.458/.597 15HR 46BB/46SO 19SB-21ATT
Reliable SS, contact hitter: 55 hit, 45 power, 60 or 65
glove, fluid actions to both sides. Strong performance track record.
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 84.1%/102.5mph/21.3%, 90th%EV in 2025 still below
prospect average but improved from 2024 (99.4mph). 90.2% zone-contact rate,
95.9% zone contact rate vs FB. 39% hard-hit rate. Improved swing, bigger and
stronger in '25. Athletic genes (dad played football and mom played tennis).
Hit in Cape Cod League. 60 arm, 55 run.
首先手套部分是沒什麼異議的,打擊講究Exit Velocity派的不會先選他不過講究contact
的會排第一輪前中段. Contact是優良的, 90th%EV有進步,整體而言是high floor的型.
https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935470566712164407/photo/1
https://youtu.be/6if7X59kM3A
24.Luke Stevenson L/R C College: North Carolina Age:21.0
.251/.414/.552 19HR 59BB/70SO 2SB-3ATT
Draft-eligible sophomore, left-handed Catcher. 55 or 60
power, solid plate discipline, 61% hard-hit rate. Had contact issue:
Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 72.7%/106.8mph/13.2%, zone contact 79.2% is very
low, 35% vs. miss rate lefthanded breaking balls. Struggles to hit premium
velocity. 55 arm, receiving is improving, may eventually be an above-average
catcher on defense. Age 21.0 on draft date.
整體型態像Shea Langeliers,打到的球(尤其是zone內)太少是大問題,打不到Premium
Volicity是大問題,跟Jace LaViolette不一樣的是他守的是Premium position. 雖然他不
Chase. Left-handed Catcher也不好得到,但要成長到Regular需要進步較長的一段路.
https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935374959658025055/photo/1
https://youtu.be/ve1f2TgljRU
Other notable guys:
3.Eli Willits S/R HS SS Switch hitting SS, above average at almost everything,
55 hit, 1.4 year (!) younger than Carlson and Kayson, while age is an important
historical indicator(https://bit.ly/44jT5Jq https://bit.ly/44DLuEA)
8.Liam Doyle LHP 95-100mph FB from the left side, 19.5 inches IVB, 40% miss
rate, 33% in-zone miss rate and 32% chase rate. Fringe-average cutter and
slider, reliever risk (https://bit.ly/4kpOpXd)
9.Billy Carlson R/R HS SS plus-plus glove, plus-plus arm, low swing-and-miss
rate, some concerns on his swing, age 19.0 on draft day.
11.Kayson Cunningham L/R HS SS 60 Hit, low whiff rate in summer and fall
events (9%). age 19.1 on draft day.
17.Jace LaViolette L/L OF 1-1 candidate entering the year. 70 power, low
contact rate (74.7%), extreme low AVG as a 1st ronder (https://bit.ly/45hJ6p4)
21.Brendan Summerhill L/R OF one of the rumors linked to A's. Great contact
(and zone contact) rate (86.9%/92.1%), fractured his right hand and missed a
month. Multiple 50/55 tools. Obviously he is our Plan B this year (saving
money to spend elsewhere).
39.Dean Curley R/R SS Offensive track record, good Chase%(16.6%) and
90th%EV(107.9mph), real throwing issue.
Mock
BA:1210/0310/0331/0414/0428/0512/0609/0630/0707/0709
Ike Irish/Jace LaViolette/Eli Willits/Kayson
Cunningham/Ethan Conrad/JoJo Parker/Brendan
Summerhill/Tyler Bremner/Kayson Cunningham/
Tyler Bremner
MLB.com:1211/0507/0516/0530/0606/0614/0621/0627/0704/0710
Cam Cannarella/Kyson Witherspoon/Kyson Witherspoon/
Brendan Summerhill/Gavin Kilen/Ike Irish/
Gavin Kilen/Gavin Kilen/Brendan Summerhill/
Gavin Kilen
PG:0314/0328 Seth Hernandez/Gavin Fien
KL:0508/0612/0708 Jace LaViolette/Wehiwa Aloy/
Tyler Bremner
ESPN:0514/0528/0618/0630 JoJo Parker/Brendan Summerhill/Brendan
Summerhill/Gage Wood
--
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※ 編輯: ThomasHSNU (111.71.12.201 臺灣), 07/11/2025 16:52:17
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