[情報] 2024選秀報導(Rounds 1-3)
1st rd #4 Nick Kurtz Wake Forest (NC) 1B L/L 4YR JR
6' 5" 240lbs DOB:03/12/03
BA National Rank:8
Signed for/Slot money: $7M/$8.3708M
MLB.com:
https://www.mlb.com/video/2024-draft-nick-kurtz-1b
Scouting grades:
Hit: 60 | Power: 65 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 60 | Overall: 60
Wake Forest originally recruited Kurtz as a left-handed pitcher, but over the
course of winning consecutive Tennessee Division II 2-A state baseball
championships at Baylor School (Chattanooga), he emerged as a superior
prospect as a hitter. After batting .344/.498/.695 with 39 homers in his
first two college seasons, he entered 2024 as a candidate to go first in the
Draft. He got off to a slow start and missed two weeks with a shoulder
injury, then went on a rampage shortly after he returned and homered 14 times
in nine games, including six blasts in seven at-bats. He also topped NCAA
Division I with 78 walks.
Kurtz's signature tool is his well-above-average power to all fields, the
product of outstanding bat speed, strength and a left-handed stroke designed
to drive balls in the air. More than just a slugger, he's a complete hitter
with no discernible weakness who crushes left-handers and right-handers and
all types of pitches. He controls the strike zone, covers the entire plate
and hits the ball with authority all over the ballpark.
Kurtz also plays a quality first base and has average arm strength. The only
blemishes on his game are his below-average speed, which doesn't really
matter given his position and offensive upside, and an injury history that
includes a broken rib that knocked him out of the end of the 2023 College
World Series. If he's as good as scouts believe he is, he could turn into Jim
Thome with defensive value.
BA:
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects/
Perfectgame:
https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=440421
KL:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5622935/2024/07/09/mlb-draft-2024-top-100-prospects-final/
AthleticsNation:
https://www.athleticsnation.com/2024/7/14/24197815/oakland-athletics-select-1b-nick-kurtz-with-the-4th-overall-pick-in-2024-mlb-draft-prospects
Kubota:
https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/ENTDM6395050097?selected=CAD7198310679
Fangraph:
https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2024-mlb-draft
Full Report
A gigantic individual with enormous strength, Kurtz's performance plateaued
during his junior year at Wake, but he still clubbed more than 20 homers for
the second consecutive season and posted a 1.294 OPS. Kurtz has plus power
generated by high-effort swings that feature a back-side collapse. All of his
weight stays on his rear leg as he leans into it to create lift. This is
atypical of big league sluggers, whose weight tends to transfer to their
front side during their swing. Kurtz's current style of hitting — huge, slow
leg kick, bat wrap — leaves him very vulnerable on the outer third. To the
eye, this will be a bigger issue in pro ball. The data is a little more
reassuring — 87% z-contact%, 80% overall — than Kurtz's visual bat-to-ball
evaluation. This is also a stiffer rotational athlete than the typical impact
everyday player, and Kurtz's patience at the dish borders on passivity; he
lets a lot of hittable pitches go by. Because he's locked in at first base,
Kurtz has to mash to profile in an everyday capacity. Here's he's projected
to be more of a righty-mashing platoon option than a top 20 player at his
position.
https://www.thebaseballcube.com/content/player/239787/
age AB H 2B 3B HR SB CS BB SO avg obp slg
2022 Wake Forest ACC 19 204 69 14 1 15 2 0 48 38 .338 .471 .637
2023 Wake Forest ACC 20 190 67 10 0 24 5 0 63 50 .353 .527 .784
2024 Wake Forest ACC 21 176 54 11 1 22 4 0 79 44 .307 .532 .756
https://godeacs.com/documents/2024/6/1/Overall.pdf
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2nd rd #40 Tommy White LSU (LA) 3B R/R 4YR JR
6' 1" 228lbs DOB:03/02/03
BA National Rank:30
Signed for/Slot money: $3M/$2.3321M
MLB.com:
https://www.mlb.com/video/2024-draft-white-3b
Scouting grades:
Hit: 55 | Power: 60 | Run: 30 | Arm: 50 | Field: 40 | Overall: 55
Though White produced some of the best raw power and exit velocities in the
2021 class, pro teams wouldn't meet his asking price and he opted to attend
North Carolina State. He homered three times in his first college game and
nine times in his first eight contests en route to setting NCAA Division I
freshman and Wolfpack records with 27 long balls. He transferred to Louisiana
State as a sophomore and went deep 24 times while topping D-I with 105 RBIs
and helping the Tigers win the College World Series -- despite injuring his
right shoulder in the season opener and requiring minor surgery during the
summer.
White hit 24 more homers this spring to rank eighth all-time in NCAA Division
I with 75 for his career, generating huge right-handed power to all fields
with strength, bat speed and an uncanny ability to barrel balls. Known more
for his slugging, he's underrated as a hitter who makes repeated contact with
impressive exit velocities. Though he's overly aggressive and regularly
expands his strike zone, he rarely swings and misses.
As a well-below-average runner with average arm strength, White provides
limited value on the bases and in the field. Mostly a DH as a freshman, he
has primarily played third base since and likely will wind up at first base
in pro ball. He lacks range and is erratic at the hot corner, though he earns
praise for gritting through the 2023 season and filling a team need despite
his bad shoulder.
BA:
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects/
Perfectgame:
https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=479968
KL:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5622935/2024/07/09/mlb-draft-2024-top-100-pros
AthleticsNation:
https://www.athleticsnation.com/2024/7/14/24197816/oakland-athletics-select-3b-tommy-white-with-the-40th-overall-pick-in-2024-mlb-draft-prospects
Kubota:
https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/ENTDM6395050097?selected=CAD7198310679
Fangraph:
https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2024-mlb-draft
Full Report
A barrel-chested college baseball cult hero with plus-plus bat speed, White
was among the highest-profile transfers of the last few years, heading from
NC State to LSU after an incredible freshman season. He slashed
.355/.419/.704 throughout his college career with 75 homers in three seasons.
White has a thicker build in the Eugenio Suárez mold. He's a super loose and
explosive rotator. A surprisingly mobile, low-to-the-ground defender for his
size, White's arm strength fits at third. His hands aren't great but he has a
better chance to stay at the hot corner than you'd guess when he gets off the
bus.
White's peak measurable power rivals that of big league sluggers but was down
a tick in 2024 compared to 2023. Chase issues make his profile risky. White
got better in this regard as a junior (38% chase in 2023, 32% in 2024) but
still isn't good. He has much more typical big league athleticism/bat speed
look than some of the other flawed hitters in the 2024 class. White profiles
as a Jake Burger or Maikel Franco type player with better defense upon entry
to pro ball, though the body projection here might cause the defense to slip
if White thickens up as his 20s wear on the way most people do.
https://www.thebaseballcube.com/content/player/233219/
age AB H 2B 3B HR SB CS BB SO avg obp slg
2022 NC State ACC 19 235 85 12 0 27 1 1 23 50 .362 .425 .757
2023 LSU SEC 20 273102 24 0 24 0 0 23 41 .374 .432 .725
2024 LSU SEC 21 279 92 12 1 24 3 0 27 38 .330 .401 .638
https://static.lsusports.net/assets/docs/bb/24stats/24stats.pdf
----------
2rd rd #73 Gage Jump LSU (LA) LHP 4YR SO
6' 0" 197lbs DOB:04/12/03
BA National Rank:65
Signed for/Slot money: $2M/$1.0769M
MLB.com:
https://www.mlb.com/video/2024-draft-gage-jump-lhp
Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 50 |
Control: 50 | Overall: 50
California's top high school pitching prospect and one of the best prep
southpaws in the 2021 Draft, Jump slid to the Padres in the 18th round
because of his strong commitment to UCLA. He injured his elbow midway through
his freshman year, leading to Tommy John surgery that cost him the 2023
season. He transferred to Louisiana State, reuniting with former Bruins
teammate Thatcher Hurd, and his stuff has returned to previous levels this
spring.
Hitters have a difficult time picking up Jump's fastball, which ranges from
90-95 mph with significant induced vertical break and carry at the top of the
strike zone. It pairs well with his upper-70s curveball that has significant
downer break coming out of his high arm slot. He also spins a low-80s slider
with more lateral movement and has some feel for a fading low-80s changeup.
Jump lacks typical starter's size but he has gotten stronger since having his
elbow reconstructed and generates his stuff with arm speed more than effort.
He attacks hitters and had a history of throwing four pitches for strikes
before getting hurt. If he can maintain his stuff while upgrading his
command, he could become a mid-rotation starter.
BA:
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects/
Perfectgame:
https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=530578
KL:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5622935/2024/07/09/mlb-draft-2024-top-100-pros
AthleticsNation:
https://www.athleticsnation.com/2024/7/14/24198691/athletics-select-lhp-gage-jump-with-the-73rd-overall-pick-in-2024-mlb-draft-prospects
Kubota:
https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/ENTDM6395050097?selected=CAD7198310679
Fangraph:
https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2024-mlb-draft
Full Report
Another UCLA to LSU transfer. Big fastball carry, which he's had since high
school. Sits 93, tops 97. Thick build, violent delivery, very little feel for
location. Has been wild since high school and is a pure relief prospect.
Slider and curveball effectiveness below-average due to lack of command.
One-pitch up/down relief prospect.
https://www.thebaseballcube.com/content/player/233212/draft/
age W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO
2022 UCLA Pac12 19 1 1 3.86 7 3 16.1 10 8 7 3 11 22
2024 LSU SEC 21 6 2 3.47 17 15 83 66 35 32 9 22 101
https://static.lsusports.net/assets/docs/bb/24stats/24stats.pdf
----------
3rd rd #75 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Rutgers (NJ) SS R/R 4YR JR
6' 0" 190lbs DOB:01/31/03
BA National Rank:117
Signed for/Slot money: $1.0439M/$1.0439M
MLB.com:
https://www.mlb.com/video/2024-draft-joshua-kuroda-grauer-ss
Scouting grades:
Hit: 55 | Power: 40 | Run: 60 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45
A starter since he set foot on campus at Rutgers, Kuroda-Grauer started
putting his name on the map when he hit .300 as a freshman. He showed a
little more impact as a sophomore in 2023, earning an invitation to USA
Baseball’s Collegiate National Team Training Camp. From there he went to the
Cape Cod League, where he struggled in the regular season but hit .444 in the
playoffs. He carried that hot bat into his junior season, when he’s been
among the Division I leaders in hits, giving him the chance to be the second
Scarlet Knights hitter to go in the early rounds in as many years.
Compact, strong and athletic, Kuroda-Grauer does a lot of things well from
the right side of the plate. He almost never strikes out and seldom swings
and misses, combining his contact skills with an advanced approach that
points toward becoming at least an above-average hitter in the future.
Utilizing an upright stance and a simple swing, he works counts and makes
good swing decisions. There hasn’t been a ton of pop yet, but there is some
belief he could grow into 15-homer power in the future.
While he’s not a burner, Kuroda-Grauer does run well and can steal some
bases. Because of his above-average hands and actions to go along with a good
internal clock, he has the chance to stick at shortstop, even though he has
an arm that is just average. He could be a plus defender at second base
should a move be necessary, but it’s those bat-to-ball attributes that will
help him join 2023 second-rounder Ryan Lasko as a Rutgers position player
taken in the top five rounds.
BA:
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects/
Perfectgame:
https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=603571
AthleticsNation:
https://www.athleticsnation.com/2024/7/15/24199260/2024-mlb-draft-day-2-round-up-oakland-athletics
Kubota:
https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/ENTDM6395050097?selected=CAD7198310679
Fangraph:
https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2024-mlb-draft
Full Report
Plus contact performance, probably not a shortstop due to arm strength.
https://www.thebaseballcube.com/content/player/240336/
age AB H 2B 3B HR SB CS BB SO avg obp slg
2022 Rutgers Big10 19 197 59 8 0 5 3 0 20 35 .300 .365 .416
2023 Rutgers Big10 20 228 68 15 5 6 13 2 27 24 .298 .393 .487
2024 Rutgers Big10 21 222 95 19 1 5 24 3 23 18 .428 .492 .590
https://scarletknights.com/documents/2024/5/16/2024RutgersBaseball.pdf
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※ 編輯: ThomasHSNU (42.79.143.170 臺灣), 08/18/2024 01:12:53
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