Re: [問題] 為什麼球探、情蒐一定要到現場看？
※ 引述《CoffeeIsGood (咖啡好喝)》之銘言：
: 如題
: 我一直都很好奇為什麼球探啊、情蒐小組
: 一定要跑到現場看球
: 電視畫面不是拍的更清楚嗎？
: 各種慢動作、肢體、表情都很清楚到位
: 我也進場好幾次天母跟大巨蛋都坐本壘後面
: 但就覺得也不是看的非常精準球路、進壘位子
: 有時候都還要配合手機看電視畫面重播
: 很想知道球探、情蒐一定要到現場看的是什麼？
: 謝謝解答
其實你說的沒錯 要觀察球員不用實際到現場看球 看影片就可以
甚至用高速攝影機拍的影片有更多數據可以分析 更適合球探使用
這概念在近年MLB大行其道 很多球團都引進影片分析
取而代之的就是傳統球探部門被大幅縮編
最有名的例子是太空人隊
https://tinyurl.com/bdhxftpk
The greatest threat to traditional scouting is the Houston Astros, who have
laid off most of their scouts over the past few years. Between 2016 and 2019,
most teams increased the size of their scouting staffs, but the Astros
slashed theirs from 52 to 18, which is less than half the size of any other
club’s. The Astros are the only team in baseball to have done away with its
pro scouting department, which was once overseen by Kevin Goldstein, who now
fulfills a broad range of duties as the team’s special assistant to the GM,
player personnel. In other words, with rare exceptions, no Astros scouts
evaluate pro players in person, and the amateur scouts’ assignments are
often dictated by data that directs them toward the most statistically
intriguing talents.
In August 2017, when the Astros informed eight scouts that they wouldn’t be
brought back, GM Jeff Luhnow called the cut a “reconfiguring,” telling
MLB.com, “This is not any sort of reduction in staff size and scouting,”
and characterizing the news as “normal” and something “that happens every
year.” What the Astros are up to is obviously abnormal, but whether it’s
ill-advised remains to be seen. The Astros have replaced their pro scouts
with a small contingent of “scouting analysts” and roving video technicians
who capture high-speed, high-definition video of players and transmit it to
Minute Maid Park for automated processing that yields insights into
mechanics, pitch grips, and potential areas of improvement. Without having to
travel, the scouting analysts can quickly synthesize several sources of
information to provide a more comprehensive picture of a player’s
performance and potential than it’s typically possible to supply from the
stands.
太空人的做法是職業球員完全不派球探觀察 業餘球員則先看進階數據
進階數據吸引人的才派球探觀察
剩下的球技分析部分用影片取代 而大幅提高調查球員的效率
當然太空人的做法是比較極端 但也能看出傳統球探的價值已經大幅下降
可能只剩和球員聊天觀察球員個性這部分是主要功能了吧
--
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