Re: [外電] 小熊搶到古巴大物Jorge Soler
Scouting Report: Jorge Soler (OF)
BLUF: Potential stud right fielder with good defense and offense to spare,
but he comes with considerable risk.
The Player: Jorge Soler (OF, Technically Without a Team) – Young Cuban
defector that is rumored (Chicago Tribune) to have the framework of a deal in
place to sign with the Cubs once he is officially declared a free agent by
Major League Baseball. The 19-year old Soler defected last year and has been
receiving plenty of buzz since that time.
Scouting Report
Body: Very physical (6-3, 200) with explosive strength and athleticism.
Muscular but maintains flexibility and shows fast-twitch ability. Plus
athlete.
Makeup: Largely an unknown. Scouts I spoke with that scouted him in
international tournaments indicated he displayed strong competitiveness and a
good work ethic, pointing to positive makeup.
Hit: Soler has yet to face truly premium competition and as a result his hit
tool remains largely untested. He has plenty of bat speed and shows some feel
for the barrel and contact. Rarely struck out in international competitions
and most scouts I spoke with believe he can be an average hitter or maybe a
tick better if everything clicks. Grade – 30/50
Power: Arguably the highlight of his game. True plus-plus raw power to the
pull side, along with the strength to drive the ball out the opposite way.
Typically trusts his swing and allows his physicality to do the work for him,
rather than muscling up to drive the ball out. Doesn’t have a ton of loft in
his swing but shear bat speed allows him to get the ball out on a line. Could
be a special power prospect as he develops and adds loft and leverage to his
swing. Grade (raw power) – 50/70
Arm: Classic right field arm. Gets rid of it quickly with plenty of velocity
and good carry on all throws. Good, consistent mechanics allow him to be
accurate with most throws. Grade – 60/60
Fielding: Shows solid instincts in game situations. Gets a good read on the
ball off the bat and make the appropriate jump. Routes aren’t always pretty
but his speed can allow him to make up for it. High effort defender that doesn
’t back down from anything. Believes he can make plays in the outfield.
Potential weapon in right field. Grade – 50/60
Speed: Scouts turned in 4.22-4.36 seconds from home to first. Gets out of the
box well from the right side and is generally an above-average runner. Doesn’
t read pitchers that well and is unlikely to be a base stealing threat as he
reaches his prime. Doesn’t project to lose much, if any of his speed as he
reaches physical maturity. Grade – 50/50
Summation: Truly classic right field profile. Offers plus-plus raw power
that has a chance to translate if the hit tool comes together. Good athlete
with an impressive body. Runs well in the outfield and should be a plus
defender with a plus arm. Many of the nuances of the game are in various
stages of development and he will require refinement for all his tools to
play at once in the US. Raw ceiling could be a .275-.280 hitter with 30 home
runs in the heart of the lineup, all with very good outfield defense.
Relative Risk: High. High doesn’t begin to describe Soler’s risk level.
Handing a teenager more than $25 million and trying to develop him in a new
country and a new baseball environment is extremely risky, but the payoff
could be huge.
Future: Where Soler plays in 2012 depends very much on when he receives full
clearance from OFAC and MLB to sign with a club, presumably the Cubs. It
seems very likely that he would spend at least some amount of time in
extended spring training with the hope being that he heads to Low-A Peoria in
the summer. He doesn’t project to fly through the system and could take at
least three years to be on the big league radar.
進農場排名前三不是問題
私以為排名應是:1. Rizzo 2. Baez 3. Soler 4. Almora 5. Brett Jaskson
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