Team Offense, Arizona Diamondbacks
http://baseballmusings.com/?p=65572
The series on team offense continues with the Arizona Diamondbacks. The
Marlins finished sixteenth in the majors and eighth in the National League in
offense last season, scoring 4.40 runs per game.
The CBSSportsline probable batting order gives us a feel for the type of
lineup Kirk Gibson is likely to use. The OBP and slugging percentage used
come from the Marcel the Monkey forecast system, with the 2010 results used
for the pitcher slot. Plugging those numbers in the Lineup Analysis Tool
(LAT) produces the following results:
* Best lineup: 4.65 runs per game
* Probable lineup: 4.51 runs per game
* Worst lineup: 4.28 runs per game
* Regressed lineup: 4.26 runs per game
Given the limited talent provided Gibson, his lineup isn’t bad. He puts
Xaiver Nady, Melvia Mora and Juan Miranda near the bottom. He puts his three
best hitters at the top to get them the most at bats. There just isn’t much
he can do with these batters.
This group is projected to get on base at a pretty good clip. I would expect
them to be slightly above the NL average by the end of the year. They lack
power, however, so they’re going to need to take an extra base on hits and
steal a bit more than other teams. It would also help if Chris Young hung on
to the progress he made in 2010. He’ll play as a 27-year-old this season and
that’s a great age to post a career year.
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