[外電] Hawks Draft Preview: Part I

看板Hawks作者ZazaPachulia (皮卡丘)時間19年前 (2006/07/02 23:37)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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Hawks Draft Preview: Part I There has been much rhetoric about the status of the Hawks. What do we need? How will we acquire what we need? Who is the player, coach, general manager, or owners (or owner) that will get us what we need? Why are we in this situation? Well all those questions are going to partially answered in the upcoming weeks. On Wednesday, June 28th between 7:30 – 8:15, we will welcome the newest addition to a Hawks uniform. So in a multiple part series, we will analyze the needs of the Hawks from a statistical standpoint, and the best way to pinpoint those needs. So, enjoy an informative 2 weeks that will be spent in accordance with making us a big time contender. And we can only do this RealGM style. It seems to me that our most glaring weakness is our inability to keep the ball (15.06 turnovers a game, 28th in league in turnovers). We scored 97.2 ppg, which was better than six playoff teams, including Detroit and San Antonio. But that doesn’t matter because the name of the game is to score more than the other team, and it’s hard to do that when you give up 101.9 points a game. So it’s real safe to say that if make 3 fewer turnovers a game, we’re a playoff team. Our rebounding margin was a surprising -0.1, which was 14th in the league. This was with an undersized front line people. The top 5 teams in rebounding margin include Miami, Utah, Dallas, LA Clippers, and Cleveland. This was the part of the reason that Utah was able to stay in the playoff race. This was the reason why Cleveland and Miami gave Detroit (a -0.3 rebounding margin) fits. So clearly another rebounder wouldn’t hurt, right? For those who feel that a point guard is what we need, check this out: Dallas is 2nd to last in the league in assists. But it works for them. Phoenix is first in the league in assists. It works for them. Cleveland, Washington, and New Orleans all have stellar point guards and playmakers. They are in the bottom third of the league in assists. 9 of the top 10 teams in the league in assists were in the playoffs, with the other team being Utah (another team that emphasizes execution). What do these stats tell you? Assists are the product of ball movement. Do you have to have a true” point guard for that? Well, the top 5 teams in assists have Steve Nash, Chauncey Billups, Andre Miller, Jason Kidd, and Mike Bibby on them. But all five of those teams get out-rebounded on a regular basis as they all have negative rebounding margins. Go figure, the top 5 in assists all get out-rebounded. All five of those teams are at home right now. Miami and Dallas are 1st and 3rd in the league in rebounding margins, with +4.24 and +3.86 respectively. You do the math. It should be noted that the Hawks shot a decent 45% from the field, which by the way was better than nine playoff teams and New Orleans and Utah (who were in the thick of it). Offense wasn’t really a problem last season even though I must admit that we’ll probably lose 18 points per game in Al Harrington next season. So acquiring a player who can score and handle and rebound would be ideal. Trouble is that’s just like asking for a woman who looks like Halle Berry, cooks like Patti LaBelle, and a cleans like Florence from the Jeffersons. People like that are as rare as comets. Equally noted is the fact that we allowed opponents to shoot 48% on us. Let me state that another way. Teams made about half of their shots on us. This stat is the beneficiary of the truth that our starting center and power forward averaged .68 blocks, combined. If teams can regularly do a lay-up drill on us, then that would be because of a lack of defensive sound principles. And a lack of defensive sound principles leads to hacking, which we did at a frequency of 25 times a game (2nd most in the league). Nobody demonstrated this better than Esteban. So, we have statistically determined that we need to limit turnovers, rebound more, and play better defense. Acquiring scoring is not nearly as important as adding defense. Disagreements run rampant as to whether we need a point guard or another big man. Expectantly, this information will equip you to be better able to make a sound argument as to what we need. So much of the caliber of player we want (and need) relies on the system that the player in consideration fits. For example, if we run an up-tempo system, then the need for a big man rebounder is more important than a point guard because rebounds and blocked shots are what triggers fast breaks. If we are running a system that emphasizes half court sets, then the necessity for a good point guard is greatly exacerbated. What system are the Hawks running? Only Mike Woodson and BK know that for sure. But my guess, along with most Hawk aficionados, is that the need for a big man is more pressing. Ball movement is essential to winning basketball, but rebounding and interior defense is more. This group of players, players who could easily qualify for a 25 and under Men’s league, should run and utilize their distinct talents. Confidently, we have identified the deficient areas of the Hawks that we can now go forward with who we need. Next up: The Draft Prospects 資料來源 http://hawks.realgm.com/articles/553/20060622/hawks_draft_preview_part_i/ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 218.167.82.157