3 key in this off-season
看板Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)作者kobeslaker (It's the end to me)時間18年前 (2007/05/11 12:00)推噓35(37推 2噓 25→)留言64則, 33人參與討論串1/1
As was said in Part I of this series, the challenge the Lakers face is that
if they want to be contenders in the next couple of years they have to do it
via trade. They can’t do it through the draft (picking 19) nor do they have
the cap room to sign a major free agent.
The Lakers have three pieces other teams will be interested in, but really,
the bit issue is “The Andrew Bynum Question.” Lakers fans desperately
trying to think of a great deal are vastly overrating the desire any NBA team
has for Radmanovic, Cook, the barely-able-to-walk McKie (spare me a sign and
trade with him, please) — rose-colored glasses wearing fans are seriously
overvaluing every available Laker on the roster. Other GMs are not.
There are only three key cogs for talks. (To be fair, GMs may ask for Farmar
or Turiaf as part of a deal, but as throw ins, not key pieces.) Let’s look
at the three big trade pieces the Lakers have, starting with the big question
first:
Andrew Bynum. This is the big test not because of Bynum but because of what
it says about Lakers’ management. Bynum was Jim Buss’ pick and the young
Buss is trying to establish a reputation for himself within the organization
and around the league. Bynum was the sticking point in Jason Kidd talks back
in February, the Lakers refused to part with him.
The question now is: Has a second straight first-round playoff loss, this one
in ugly fashion after a season that was a step backwards, changed any minds?
Or specifically, one mind?
It’s easy to see the Lakers reluctance to part with him — legit
back-to-the-basket seven footers with loads of potential are a rare find. He’
s not yet 20 and improving, there were flashes this season of a guy who could
be a force in the paint. He shot 55.8% this season. And while he struggled
the second half of the year, reports are this has not tarnished his trade
value (GMs love them some potential).
But there are questions. One is his work ethic, something questioned by Phil
Jackson (and some other writers close to the team). He has come a long way in
two years and clearly has worked hard to improve his game, but if he is not
as passionate to keep improving how good does he really become? Frankly, we
can speculate but the only people who could answer this well are Kareem and
some assistant coaches. Their input should be given heavy weight.
Then there is this issue raised by ESPN.com’s David Thorpe (in an email to
Henry at True Hoop): How many true big men are left in the playoffs? Who is
left? Look at it: Dwight Howard, Shaquille O’Neal, Yao Ming all out;
remaining is Golden State without a true big, Utah and Phoenix playing fours
as the center, the Bulls have a center who is 6-9.
I’m not sold that the league is dramatically changing — if Greg Oden pans
out then three years from now every GM will be looking for his clone and
writers will be asking, “Where are all the great bigs?” The point is that
with the right guys along the front line to fit your system, you don’t need
a “classic” center to win.
And, the triangle offense (in its pure form) prizes versatility. I’m saying
the Lakers can win without a “true” center, if they have guys who can still
defend the paint. And offering up Bynum could bring someone like that.
If some minds within the Lakers brass think Bynum should be traded at all.
Kwame Brown. Don’t overestimate how much teams want him — what they want is
his expiring $9.5 million contract. Kwame’s reputation around the league may
be better than it was when he came here but it’s not good. He fills in the
salary for a trade if one happens. Nothing more.
And, despite what Bill Simmons may suggest, the demand for expiring contracts
alone seems to be waning among GMs. The Lakers were far from alone in the
last couple years of eating expiring deals because there was not much
interest from teams to take on your poor, your tired, your oversized-contract
players yearning to be free, just to gain a little cap room. You seem to have
to offer more than that now, although some fans are a little slow to see that
trend.
Lamar Odom. With everything that happened to him physically and mentally in
the past year, I don’t think you could have asked more of Lamar Odom. As was
evidenced in the playoffs, he is one of the few Lakers who “brought it”
this year.
And, I think with another scorer on board, he would fit just fine in the
triangle. But, if you are going after someone off All-Star caliber, then Odom
’s name will come up. I’m not completely opposed to moving him — but a
number of criteria have to be met:
Moving him removes the Lakers best rebounder (he grabbed 14.5% of the
available rebounds while on the court this season, only Bynum had a higher
percentage and I hesitate to call the youngster a better all-around guy on
the boards than Odom). He is one of the few guys who can be a presence inside
on this team. If you are going to move him, you’ve got to get someone who
can do more than just replace those skills, you need someone who can do them
better and bring more defensive presence inside. There are not many guys who
fit that bill.
And since more than just Odom would likely be part of such a deal, you need
to solve the PG spot as well to make this a viable option.
Here’s my thinking on Odom — the Lakers are better off keeping him and
bringing in front line or back-court help to pair with him and Kobe. If you
bring in a “classic” power forward and move Odom to the small forward, the
Lakers become long up front and a real match up problem for other teams.
Bring in a great PG and Odom will get the ball in better positions to do
damage.
Bottom line — if you are getting rid of someone like Odom, who gave so much
to the team this past year, you had better get a blockbuster back. One that
makes you an instant contender.
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