[翻譯] NBA's Most Cost-Efficient PGs

看板NBAGM作者poning (快來打我臉)時間13年前 (2011/08/22 11:27)推噓3(3推 0噓 2→)

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http://tinyurl.com/3ht7x23 NBA's Most Cost-Efficient PGs There is always much debate in professional sports about which players are overpaid or underpaid, which ones are the most efficient on the floor, and which ones are simply the most productive. But what about a marriage of all of those? Which NBA players are the most cost-efficient? 球迷最喜歡吵的就是overpaid/underpaid，誰物超所值，誰坐領高薪，但到底誰是成本效益最高的球員呢？ This piece kicks off a series looking at the starters at all five positions, one at a time, in an attempt to determine which players are the most cost-efficient players, taking into account their production and salary. The assumption is there should be a general correlation between a player's production – and for this purpose we will use John Hollinger's Player Efficiency Rating – and his salary. 本系列的客體是先發球員，以場上的五個位置做分類探討，考慮到他們的產值與薪資，也就是假定球員的PER(感謝霍霍霍林格)與薪資有關連。 Will that hold true? Take a look at the list of starting point guards below, with their 2010-11 salary and PER, plus a final column dividing their salary by PER to give a simple dollar amount of how much each point of PER cost their team. 趕快來看看下面的表格整理。 Player Salary PER S/E Mario Chalmers $854,839 10.3 $82,994 Ty Lawson $1,546,560 18.0 $85,920 Darren Collison $1,361,040 15.7 $86,690 Jrue Holiday $1,627,920 15.5 $105,027 Brandon Jennings $2,331,120 15.7 $148,479 Stephen Curry $2,913,840 19.5 $149,428 Rodney Stuckey $2,767,126 18.5 $149,574 D.J. Augustin $2,540,400 16.0 $158,775 Russell Westbrook $4,017,720 23.6 $170,242 Derrick Rose $5,546,160 23.6 $235,007 Luke Ridnour $4,000,000 15.1 $264,901 Mike Conley $4,913,007 15.9 $308,994 John Wall $5,144,280 15.9 $323,540 Kyle Lowry $5,750,000 16.5 $348,485 Andre Miller $7,269,264 17.9 $406,104 Beno Udrih $6,478,000 15.7 $412,611 Derek Fisher $3,700,000 8.9 $415,730 Raymond Felton $7,000,000 16.7 $419,162 Steve Nash $10,310,938 20.8 $495,718 Jameer Nelson $7,800,000 15.5 $503,226 Devin Harris $8,981,000 17.2 $522,151 Rajon Rondo $9,090,909 17.1 $531,632 Mike Bibby $5,887,788 10.9 $540,164 Jose Calderon $9,000,000 16.4 $548,780 Jason Kidd $8,610,500 14.5 $593,828 Chris Paul $14,940,153 23.8 $627,738 Tony Parker $13,500,000 20.4 $661,765 Mo Williams $9,300,000 13.9 $669,065 Chauncey Billups $13,150,000 18.8 $699,468 Deron Williams $14,940,153 21.2 $704,724 Kirk Hinrich $9,000,000 12.4 $725,806 Baron Davis $13,000,000 17.0 $764,706 TOTAL $217,272,717 AVERAGE $6,789,772 16.8 $403,178 Note there are 32 players on this list, not just 30. Why? Two players each were listed for the Denver Nuggets and the Miami HEAT. In Denver's case, when they traded Chauncey Billups to New York in the Carmelo Anthony trade they also acquired New York's starter, Raymond Felton, but elected to make Ty Lawson their starter and bring Felton off the bench. Felton deserved to be recognized. For Miami Mike Bibby - who started for the Atlanta Hawks until his trade deadline move to Washington, subsequent buyout, and signing with the HEAT – started most games in Miami, but Mario Chalmers took the starting job back in the playoffs. Arguments could also be made for other players, but generally these 32 players encompass the realm of "starting point guards" for 2010-11. 不是只有30隊怎麼列了32個？關鍵在交易。DEN送走Melo跟Billups以後，他們拿到Raymond Felton，但決定讓Ty Lawson打先發。不過Felton畢竟在尼克是先發控球，所以還是保留。另外熱火的Mike Bibby在老鷹是先發，在熱火的例行賽也是先發，到季後賽才被Mario Chalmers搶走。作者認為這32人的先發控球名單應該沒啥問題。 So what jumps out at you? Not surprisingly, players still on their rookie contracts calculate out as the most cost-efficient using our metric. In fact, that includes the first 10 players, from Chalmers to Derrick Rose. John Wall, the only other rookie contract player, is 13th. It's worth noting that of that group only Chalmers is a second-round pick and the most cost-efficient, though it comes with the cheapest contract and the second-lowest PER in the entire group. 你注意到什麼？不意外，拿新秀約的看起來S/E值就是卡好看。看看前十強裡是不是都是新秀約—只有Wall一個拿新秀約的是十名外(13名)。二輪的Chalmers這樣算起來是成本效益最高的，雖然他薪水最低、PER值倒數第二。 Look at the bottom of the list. Considering an average PER is 15.0, it shouldn't be a surprise to see names like Kirk Hinrich and Mo Williams down near the bottom. 來看看殿後的。考慮到平均PER值(譯註：不確定是聯盟還是這個名單的倒數十名平均)是 15.0的話，就不會意外Kirk Hinrich與Mo Williams落後了。 Note that six starting point guards earned salaries over $10 million last season: Steve Nash, Deron Williams, Chris Paul, Tony Parker, Chauncey Billups and Baron Davis. Only Billups and Davis didn't post a PER of at least 20.4, and Paul's PER of 23.8 topped the entire list. Even Davis, moved with a first-round pick from the Clippers for Mo Williams to get him off the books, seemingly marginalized with the drafting of Kyrie Irving at the June draft, and noted here as the least cost-efficient point guard among starters in the NBA still posted a PER of 17.0 – higher than the group's average of 16.8 – 14th among this group. 上個球季有六個先發控球薪水超過$10M-- Steve Nash、Deron Williams、Chris Paul、 Tony Parker、Chauncey Billups與Baron Davis。這六個人裡只有Billups與Davis的PER值低於20，CP3的23.8值PER是第一名。就算是Davis這個今年從快艇到騎士，下季還有可能被 Kyrie Irving幹掉的人，S/E榜敬陪末座的人，他的PER值17.0還是高過於本排行榜平均16.8 。(還可以排到第14名) Conclusion? Teams will always have to pay more for quality, so it's expected the higher the PER the more a player will be paid and the less "cost-efficient" he may become. Once a group of players reaches a certain point in PER, teams have to starter paying exponentially greater rates to get more efficiency; it's a sliding scale, not a linear one. 所以結論勒？球隊就是得花錢換品質，所以可以預期的是PER值越高的，拿到的錢越多，S/E值就越難看，也就是PER值越高，球隊就需要拿出呈指數成長的的薪水保住這樣高的PER值，這會讓薪資成為浮動成長而不會是線型成長。 -- 哲學的義務，是去除因誤解而生的幻想。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 211.22.7.197 ※ 編輯: poning 來自: 211.22.7.197 (08/22 11:29)