Re: [農場] Yanks working to improve Montero’s …
看板NY-Yankees作者KennyKuo (Gee Gee Gee)時間16年前 (2010/02/26 11:03)推噓21(22推 1噓 24→)留言47則, 23人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)
※ 引述《appshjkli (折耳貓)》之銘言：
: http://0rz.tw/o7Vou
: Early on in camp this year, the story to end all stories has been
: uber-prospect Jesus Montero. A career .700-.750-1.400 hitter in big league
: Spring Training, he has already made a big impression with his batting
: practice showings this year despite being in camp for just over a week. He
: going to begin the 2010 season as the everyday catcher for Triple-A Scranton
: though it’s still hard to believe that through his age-19 season, Montero
: is a .325-.379-.509 hitter in 1,071 minor league plate appearances despite
: reaching Double-A.
在今年才開始不久的春訓營裡，比起任何其他事情都值得討論的，
只有一件事(或者應該說只有一個人)，那就是我們的超級新秀--Jesus Montero!!!
今年春訓也不過才一個禮拜，他已經在打擊練習的時候嚇死一堆人了，
而他生涯在大聯盟春訓的打擊三圍是.700/.750/1.400。
今年，他會在3A以每日先發捕手的身分展開他的2010球季。
更讓人難以置信的是，儘管他在19歲時就從1A升上2A，打擊成績還是一樣威猛，
生涯在小聯盟累計成績是1071個打席，打擊三圍.325/.379/.509。
: PECOTA pegs Montero as a .299-.352-.498 hitter with 23 homers if given 528
: plate appearances in the big leagues next year, which is obviously an
: extremely optimistic projection. For comparison’s sake, Jorge Posada has
: matched that OBP and SLG in a single season just three times in his career.
: "He's going to hit,” said one evaluator that Buster Olney spoke to."There's
: no question about that. Some guys just know how to hit; he’s like that.”
: Yeah, he’s going to hit, but not like that this early in his career.
PECOTA預測:
明年如果讓Montero在大聯盟打到528個打席，
他可以打出.299/.353/.498外帶23轟的成績(這根本是All-Star等級的捕手)。
當然，這個預測很明顯地太樂觀了一些。
讓我們來做個小小的比較，你就知道這個預測有多樂觀了。
我們的當家Posada，在他的整個生涯裡，
也只有三季可以達到這種的上壘率跟長打率。
「他會打得很好的。」球評Buster Olney說:
「有的人就是知道怎樣把球打好，他就是這種人。」
對啦對啦~ 我們知道他會打得很好啦!! 不過應該不會這麼這麼早啦!!
: Of course, Montero’s bat was never the question, defense in. Olney discussed
: some of the things the Yankees are trying to help Montero become a passable
: catcher, including a unique set of throwing mechanics. Instead of popping up
: on both feet and firing to second, bench coach Tony Pena and the Yanks have
: him keeping his right foot in place while taking a short stride with his left
: foot. It sounds awkward, and I tried it a handful of times in my living room
: while writing this post, and it’s definitely not a natural feeling.
: (Disclaimer: I’m most likely less athletic than Montero). Basically, the
: only way someone could pull this off consistently is if they have a strong
: arm, which Montero does.
當然，Montero的打擊從來就不是個問題，他的問題在於守備。
Olney談了一些關於洋基想要幫助Montero成為一位還OK的捕手的事，
包括一個量身訂做的課程，來訓練Montero的傳球動作。
洋基要Montero在往二壘傳球的時候，不要雙腳同時彈(站)起來，
而是把右腳維持在原來的位置，只要將左腳向前跨一小步就好。
這聽起來還真是怪怪的。筆者在寫這篇文章的時候，自己在家裡客廳試了幾次，
嗯... 那感覺就是不大自然。(譯者: 這傢伙的客廳也太大了一點...)
不負責評論: 筆者不像Montero是個專業運動員，
這個傳球動作到底好不好，筆者只能嘴砲一下而已。
基本上，能夠做到這種傳球動作的人，必須要有一條強壯的手臂，
而這剛好是Montero擁有的。
: I’m not sure how long he’s been throwing like this, however he did thrown
: out 32% of attempted basestealers during his Double-A Trenton stint last
: season. Of course, he caught a grand total of 33 games for the Thunder, so
: this is statistically insignificant. Montero’s thrown out just 23% of all
: attempted basestealers during his career, but that number isn’t trustworthy
: at all because the Yanks don’t emphasize their pitchers holding baserunners
: at the A-ball level and below. Frankly, we just don’t know how well this
: has/will work.
我不大確定他已經用這種方法傳球多久了，然而，
他在2A當捕手的時候，的的確確讓32%試圖在他手上盜壘的人被他阻殺掉。
不過他在2A雷霆隊也只蹲了33場，樣本數還太少，這個阻殺率在統計上並不顯著。
Montero的小聯盟生涯阻殺率是弱弱的23%，但這個數字並沒有什麼大不了的。
因為洋基向來都不會叫他們1A(或更低層級)的投手盯緊壘上的跑者。
坦白說，我們其實沒辦法知道Montero的阻殺到底好不好。
: The consensus is that Montero will not be a catcher moving forward, however
: the Yankees are coming up with creative ways to make it work back there, even
: if it’s just for the time being. It’s not often catchers jump right into
: the big league lineup full-time as rookies, so all the Yanks will need
: Montero to do for the next few years is be able to fake it back there two or
: three times a week. The bat is so special, none of us will mind the defense.
球評們一直有個共識，那就是: Montero未來應該不會是個捕手。
不過洋基想出了一堆創意無限的方法，就是想讓Montero能蹲，
就算只是暫時性的也好。
反正，也沒有幾個菜鳥捕手可以一升上大聯盟就天天蹲，
所以洋基只需要Montero在未來幾年裡，成為一個每週能蹲個兩三場的捕手就夠了。
Montero的棒子太特別了，我們沒有人會去介意他防守好不好的。
--
讓Montero撐個兩三年，等到FA有大物捕手再去搶，這才是洋基作風嘛~
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 163.29.130.56
※ 編輯: KennyKuo 來自: 163.29.130.56 (02/26 11:06)
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